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ADW Capital Partners, L.P.
2/17/2016
4th Quarter and 2015 Performance Report "
2)
2015
2015
O4
Inception
To Date
Average
Annual Return
ADW Capital Partners, L.P.
Gross Return
-3.31%
9.65%
319.79%
33.23%
Net Return
22111
ImaiskvaikaugakS
Dow Jones
7.70%
0.21%
69.16%
I
11.70%
7:
NASDAQ
8.71%
6.96%
98.18%
I
15.49%
(1) The table above reflects the performance of the Fund for the current quarter, year-to-date and since inception of
the Fund. Net returns are net of underlying management and performance fees and expenses as well as brokerage
and/or custodial fees and expenses. All returns include the reinvestment of dividends and other earnings. Quarterly
and year-to-date figures are estimates and unaudited and have been calculated by the Fund's independent
administrator, SS&C Fund Services. The Fund's performance results have been audited for calendar years 2011,
2012. 2013, and 2014 by the Fund's independent auditor, Marcum LLP. Inception-to-date figures incorporate audited
results from prior years and unaudited results from the current year. Statements from the fund's prime broker (BTIG)
and custodian (Goldman Sachs) can be provided upon further request. Past performance is not necessarily an
indication of future performance or profitability. See Important Notes on page 5.
(2) References to Dow Jones. S&P 500. NASDAQ. Russell 2000 and other indices are for informational
purposes only. See Important Notes on page 5.
CONFIDENTIAL
1
EFTA00605975
ADW Capital Partners, L.P.
12/17/2016
Dear Partners,
It is our pleasure to report results for the 4th quarter of 2015 and our 201h quarter since inception
— memorializing our fifth year in operation.
At the risk of sounding like a broken record, we want to reiterate a critical point discussed in all
quarterly letters. ADW Capital Partners, L.P. (the "Fund") operates a concentrated, tax-sensitive
and long-term strategy designed to minimize correlation to the broader indices with a focus on
avoiding permanent capital loss. Inevitably, this approach will result in periods of
underperformance. By the same token, our efforts to maintain a lower correlation strategy driven
by company-specific outcomes may produce significant outperformance in periods of market
weakness, as we saw in 2011. We are not traders, return chasers or month-to-month stock
jockeys. We are investors who look for opportunities to return multiples on the Fund's capital in
a tax-efficient manner over an extended period of time. While this strategy may yield lumpy
results, we believe it limits idea dilution and protects the Fund's returns from Uncle Sam and
Wall Street.
Portfolio Update — Our Patient Approach at Work:
While the Fund is not always in a position to discuss names in the portfolio because we are
actively adding or subtracting to a position, we do like to update our partners on certain
situations when we feel it is appropriate and not detrimental to the Fund's activities.
Many of these holdings continue to be challenged in 2016 along with the broader market. What
we find interesting versus other periods of market weakness is that the Companies in our
portfolio continue to report improving results. In many cases, the reported results of our
Companies are truly breathtaking and would render under normal environments huge price
discovery to the upside. Instead, sovereign wealth fund flows, ETF rebalancing, and
sensationalist media are driving the price discovery or "lack thereof."
While perhaps it is trite or even arrogant to say that the market is getting it wrong and I was/am
getting it right, we think Benjamin Graham captures it best: "In the short run, the market is a
voting machine but in the long run, it is a weighing machine."
As many of you know, my first love even before stocks was history. As a child, I was a voracious
reader of biographies, encyclopedias, and literally anything I could get my hands on that told
"stories of the past". My compendium of useful and useless factoids even earned me a spot on
my high school's nationally ranked quiz bowl team and multiple appearances on the locally aired
"It's Academic" TV Show. But as an adult what my study of history has given me is an
appreciation that while history does not exactly repeat itself, it often rhymes.
We have studied the industries and companies we have invested in across a number of cycles
and environments to see what "we can learn from the past." Over time, many of these industries
and companies have consolidated and/or rationalized cost structures yielding better
companies/investments than in previous eras.
CONFIDENTIAL
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ADW Capital Partners, L.P.
12/17/2016
What surprises us the most or perhaps offers the most opportunity is that in many cases, these
companies are trading at significantly lower multiples than they did in other periods of extreme
market weakness — in some cases even March of 2009 levels.
While we acknowledge more industries/companies are being disrupted than ever, we believe
unfounded macro fears and an overly indulgent institutional imperative for "unbridled secular
growth" has left many companies and industries trading at multiples lower than even the most
extreme economic environments. While this phenomenon can go on for an extended period of
time as people vote with what is popular / being aired on TV, we have every confidence that the
weighing machine of excess profits in out of favor companies/industries will eventually
normalize some of today's skewed corporate valuations.
IDW Media Holdings f/Wa CTM Media Group (OTC:IDWM)
The Fund initially profiled our investment in IDW Media Holdings — "IDWM" in our 1Q 2015
letter. To respect our previous reader's time we encourage you to look back to the letter for
background in an effort not to repeat ourselves.
We do want to talk to you today about IDW's current progress but also to highlight again the
power of history and how we are using it to our advantage. As many of you know, I made a
sizable personal investment in IDT (the parent company of IDWM) prior to starting the fund that
earned me a 15x return in less than a year and a half. Prior to making this investment and
subsequently I spent a lot of time learning about Howard Jonas — its founder and majority
shareholder. Howard was and STILL is an entrepreneur and business builder at his core. While
there have been a number of setbacks along the way — one of which when paired with the great
recession allowed us to come in to IDT at an amazing level, he has always come back and
found a way to nurture, grow, and monetize his various assets. These monetizations have come
in the way of spinoffs but have also included outright sales.
In studying Howard's / IDT's various monetizations we stumbled across a transaction that took
place in late '06. While the transaction was complex in nature — it involved redemption of a
minority investment in IDT, cash consideration, and assumption of debt, when all the parts were
put together it was effectively a sale of IDT's Entertainment division for almost $500 MM. IDT
Entertainment was a studio that Howard and his team started from scratch and effectively sold
to John Malone (Liberty) for $500 MM. IDT Entertainment had no meaningful IP/content and
effectively licensed and grew its catalog of content organically.
While history doesn't repeat itself, it often rhymes. For several years post its own spinoff from
IDT, IDWM grew its core businesses — digital billboard/brochure stand/location based
advertising and its comic book/media/games business — IDW Publishing. Management of these
two businesses consistently blocked and tackled to build a niche and growing platform that we
estimate was earning roughly $7 MM of EBIT (after all corporate overheads). With a nice
runway for stable growth in its core businesses, Howard decided to "reinvest" some of these
profits into an arena that could catapult the business to the next level. Howard decided to setup
IDW Entertainment (it's only one letter off from the business he sold to John Malone).
But IDW Entertainment has something that IDT didn't...AN INTERNAL PORTFOLIO OF
CONTENT. IDW Publishing is the fourth-largest comic book / graphic novel company globally
and has successfully built a group of extremely talented editorial, artists, and writers. The
Company is also aggressively acquiring new content through acquisition of whole companies
CONFIDENTIAL
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ADW Capital Partners, L.P.
12/17/2016
and successful partnerships with creators. One of the Company's most famous properties,
"Locke and Key," is co-owned with Joe Hill (Stephen King's son).
In the last year, we estimate the Company has invested almost $3 MM in incremental fixed
costs to launch its entertainment division that has yet to bear revenues/profits, but the fruits we
believe are imminent. On April 1, 2016, SyFy will air "Wynonna Earp," the first of three television
series that IDW has successfully sold. We expect at least two of the three will air this year and
potentially three. "Brooklyn Animal Control" will star Jane Alexander (Oscar winner) and was
sold to USA. "Dirk Gently Holistic Detective Agency" is based on characters from renowned
author Douglas Adams and was recently sold to BBC. We believe IDW's strategy to leverage its
existing portfolio of content through TV shows where they are putting up minimal capital is low
risk and has the potential for geometric return. We also don't believe we are paying for it in the
stock at these prices.
In recent months, IDWM has sold off with the broader market and now trades for roughly a $95
MM enterprise value. If we eliminate the "growth investments/capex" for the entertainment
division, the core businesses are generating roughly $10 MM of EBIT(DA) and that still includes
corporate overheads and various independent company costs. We think to a strategic the base
businesses could contribute almost $12 MM of EBIT(DA) immediately and still ascribes zero
value to the Company's entertainment division where revenues/profits are forthcoming. At 8x
EBIT for the core businesses we believe the opportunity to own the Company's entertainment
division for free is quite compelling. We would also point out that David Ozer, who is running
IDW Entertainment, was also an integral part of the successful growth and monetization of IDT
Entertainment. While history doesn't repeat itself it often rhymes. We think IDW is at a point
where the financial results are about to inflect. It is an orphan stock that is not even listed on a
major exchange, let alone has research coverage. We anticipate that in conjunction with the
airing of its upcoming TV shows, media/investor interest will build and will ultimate culminate
with a NASDAQ listing/"IPO" in late 2016 or early 2017. We also think longer term a sale to a
major media company or someone like John Malone a la IDT Entertainment seems to make
sense given the history.
Below is link to the Wynonna Earp trailer:
Operational Update/Conclusion:
We want to thank all of you again for the opportunity to steward your capital and look forward to
many more years with you as partners.
As always, we are available to answer any and all of your questions regarding the operations of
the Fund or about the exciting opportunity set we are currently deploying capital into.
Regards,
Adam D. Wyden
CONFIDENTIAL
4
EFTA00605978
ADW Capital Partners, L.P.
I 2/17/2016
IMPORTANT NOTES
This report is being furnished by ADW Capital Management, LLC ("AMY) on a confidential
basis to existing limited partners in ADW Capital Partners, L.P. (the "Fund') and does not
constitute an offer, solicitation or recommendation to sell or an offer to buy any securities,
investment products or investment advisory services. This report is being provided to existing
limited partners for informational purposes only, and may not be disseminated, communicated
or otherwise disclosed by the recipient to any third party without the prior written consent of
ADW. Any offer or solicitation of an investment in the Fund may be made only by delivery of the
Fund's confidential private offering memorandum to qualified investors.
An investment in the Fund involves a significant degree of risk, and there can be no assurance
that its investment objectives will be achieved or that its investments will be profitable. Unless
otherwise noted, the performance results of the Fund included in this report are presented on a
net-of-fees basis and reflect the deduction of, among other things, underlying management and
performance fees and expenses as well as brokerage and/or custodial fees and expenses.
Performance results also include the reinvestment of dividends and other earnings. Certain of
the performance information presented in this report are unaudited estimates based upon the
information available to ADW as of the date hereof, and are subject to subsequent revision as a
result of the Fund's audit. An investor's actual performance and actual fees may differ from the
performance information shown due to, among other factors, capital contributions, withdrawals
and eligibility to participate in "new issues." The value of investments can go down as well as
up. Past performance is not necessarily an indication of future performance or profitability. An
investment in the Fund is subject to a wide variety of risks and considerations as detailed in the
confidential private offering memorandum of the Fund.
References to Dow Jones, SW 500, NASDAQ, Russell 2000 and other indices herein are for
informational and general comparative purposes only. There are significant differences between
such indices and the investment program of the Fund. The Fund does not invest in all or
necessarily any significant portion of the securities, industries or strategies represented by such
indices. References to indices do not suggest that the Fund will, or is likely to achieve returns,
volatility or other results similar to such indices.
This report and the accompanying discussion include forward-looking statements. All
statements that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements, including any statements
that relate to future market conditions, results, operations, strategies or other future conditions
or developments and any statements regarding objectives, opportunities, positioning or
prospects. Forward-looking statements are necessarily based upon speculation, expectations,
estimates and assumptions that are inherently unreliable and subject to significant business,
economic and competitive uncertainties and contingencies. Forward-looking statements are not
a promise or guaranty about future events.
The information in this presentation is not intended to provide, and should not be relied upon for,
accounting, legal, or tax advice or investment recommendations. Each recipient should consult
its own tax, legal, accounting, financial, or other advisors about the issues discussed herein.
CONFIDENTIAL
5
EFTA00605979
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| Filename | EFTA00605975.pdf |
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| Indexed | 2026-02-11T23:00:41.712999 |