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EMPIRE
VALUATION CONSULTANTS. =
PRIVATE & CONFIDENTIAL
October 12, 2015
Alan Halperin, Esq.
Paul, Weiss, Rifkind, Wharton & Garrison LLP
Dear Mr. Halperin:
You have requested Empire Valuation Consultants, LLC ("Empire") to estimate the
fair market value of a 1% limited partnership interest (the "Interest") in Black
Family Partners, LP ("BFP" or the "Partnership") as of June 3, 2015 (the
"Valuation Date") on behalf of your client, Mr. Leon Black (the "Client").
It is
our understanding that this summary letter will be used by you and the Client for
estate planning purposes related to GRAT annuity payments.
Valuation Summary
Based on the following review and analysis, and subject to the attached Statement
of Limiting Conditions, it is our estimate that the fair market value of a 1%
limited partnership interest in Black Family Partners, LP is reasonably stated as
$19,700,000, rounded, as of June 3, 2015.
Methodology
BFP has been valued on a going concern basis.
Since the Partnership is
closely-held, and thus without a public market for its ownership interests, this
appraisal was conducted according to guidelines established by the Internal Revenue
Service ("IRS") and USPAP, and in conformity with the American Society of
Appraisers' Principles of Appraisal Practice and Code of Ethics, together with other
standards that were deemed relevant to this engagement.
350 Fifth Avenue, Suite 6115, New York, NY 10118
New York
Rochester
Boston
West Hartford
Tel: (212) 714-0122
empireval.com
EFTA00608765
Alan Halperin, Esq.
October 12, 2015
APO' GRATs - Valuation Date: June 3, 2015
Page 2
This summary letter is by its nature a "Restricted Use Appraisal Report" under
Standards Rule 10-2 of USPAP. As such, it does not contain the required
disclosures regarding the nature, history, outlook, ownership, or other factors
regarding BFP, nor does it contain details regarding the valuation analyses
considered and used. Therefore, it is for the exclusive use of you, the Client, and
the Client's advisors who have the requisite knowledge to understand the risks,
opportunities, and the valuation theories and analyses discussed and applied in this
situation.
For purposes of this report, fair market value is defined in accordance with
Treasury Regulations established for income, estate and gift taxes as the price at
which ownership interests would change hands between a willing buyer and a
willing seller, neither being under any compulsion to buy or sell and both having
reasonable knowledge of relevant facts.
Sources of Information
Information used in determining the fair market value of the Interest was provided
by the documents and sources listed below:
•
A
copy
of
BFP's
Amended
Limited
Partnership
Agreement,
dated
May 17, 2007 as amended December 2009 (the "BFP Agreement");
•
A copy of BFP's pro forma tax returns, prepared from Mr. Leon Black's
personal tax returns, for the years ending December 31, 2010 through 2012;
•
A copy of BFP's internally prepared financial statements for the years ended
December 31, 2013 and December 31, 2014;
•
Documents and information regarding BFP's assets include the most current
available: (1) capital account statements; (2) K-1 statements; (3) operating
agreements, including amendments; and (4) financial statements;'
•
Conversations and correspondence regarding BFP, its management policies,
financial status and investments with Mr. Richard Joslin, BFP's CFO, and
Mr. Richard
of BFP (collectively referred to as "Management");
and
' See Appendix A for a list of defined terms regarding BFP's investments and key agreements
reviewed in this report.
EFTA00608766
Alan Halperin, Esq.
October 12, 2015
APO' GRATs — Valuation Date: June 3, 2015
Page 3
•
Other reviews, analyses, and research as were deemed necessary.
Partnership Profile
BFP operated as an investment holding company.
The Partnership was formed on
May 17, 2007. As of the Valuation Date, the Partnership's primary asset was an
interest in BRH Holdings LP ("BRH").
BRH owned 89.17% of AP Professional
Holdings LP ("Holdings"), which held 56.42% of the Apollo Operating Group
("AOG") units! The Partnership was also invested in co-investment funds managed
by Apollo Global Management LLC and its consolidated affiliates (the "Company"
or "Apollo"). In addition to the Apollo co-investment entities, BFP was invested in
additional private investment funds and companies. Additionally, BFP has issued
multiple promissory notes.
Based on capital account balances available as of the Valuation Date, the
Partnership had a capital account balance of $2.42 billion, rounded!
Pro forma
financial statements for BFP, compiled using the records of Raich, Ende, Matter &
Co LLP for 2010 through 2012 and internally prepared financial statements for
2013 and 2014, are presented in Exhibits A through C.
A. Apollo Operating Group
Apollo was formed as a Delaware limited liability company on July 3, 2007 and
completed a reorganization of its predecessor businesses on July 13, 2007 (the
"Reorganization"). Apollo is managed and operated by its manager, AGM
Management, LLC, which in turn is wholly-owned and controlled by Leon Black,
Joshua Harris and Marc Rowan (the "Managing Partners"). Apollo has three
primary business segments: private equity ("PE"); Capital Markets ("CM"); and
Real Estate ("RE"). See Apollo's public filings for an organizational diagram for
Apollo and its ownership structure.
Apollo also entered into an exchange agreement with Holdings that allows the
partners in Holdings, subject to the vesting and minimum retained ownership
requirements and transfer restrictions set forth in the partnership agreements of the
Apollo Operating Group, to exchange their AOG Units for the Company's Class A
shares on a one-for-one basis up to four times each year, subject to customary
2 Percentages based on Apollo Global Management LLC's 10-Q filing as of March 31, 2015.
The Tax Receivable Agreement benefits associated with the AOG Units held by BFP and the July
2007 reorganization of Apollo do not have a stated book value and are not included in the
$2.42 billion total.
The value of these assets are included in the valuation section of this
report.
EFTA00608767
Alan Halperin, Esq.
October 12, 2015
APO' GRATs - Valuation Date: June 3, 2015
Page 4
conversion rate adjustments for splits, unit distributions and reclassifications. A
limited partner must exchange one partnership unit in each of the ten Apollo
Operating Group partnerships to effect an exchange for one Class A share.
On April 4, 2011, Apollo completed the initial public offering ("IPO") of its
Class A shares. Apollo received net proceeds from the initial public offering of
approximately $382.5 million, which was used to acquire additional AOG Units.
Shares of Apollo traded between $22.42 and $23.05 per share and closed at $22.89
per share on the Valuation Date, with the mean value being $22.74 per share.
B. Description of Assets
BFP was invested in cash, marketable securities, multiple Apollo funds, Apollo
Operating Group units through BRH and Holdings and non-Apollo investment funds.
Details regarding the assets are provided below.
A summary of the capital account
balance for each interest is presented in Exhibit D.
Cash, Money Market, and Marketable Securities: The Partnership had a checking
account held at Bank of America with a balance of $15.9 million as of the
Valuation Date. Additionally, BFP had a brokerage account with JP Morgan, which
held $9,433 in cash, $4.8 million in Apollo Investment Corp.4 stock (603,632
shares with a mean value of $7.90 per share), $863,520 in Environmental Solutions
Worldwide (Ticker: ESWW)' stock, $1.1 million in AP Alternative Assets, LP6
stock (28,730 shares with a mean value of $36.75 per share). Finally, BFP held
$927,853 in K12, Inc.' stock (66,704 shares with a mean value of $13.91 per
share) as of the Valuation Date.
Apollo Private Equity Investment Funds: BFP participated in Apollo's PE funds,
specifically AIF IV, AIF V, AIF VI, and COF III.
For each fund, BFP invested
in a related co-investor entity established for Apollo affiliates and employees to
participate in Apollo's individual PE funds.
As of the Valuation Date, the
Partnership had a capital account balance in ACIV, ACV, ACVI, and ACC III.
The Partnership's co-invest interests were not subject to management or carried
4 Apollo Investment Corp. ("AINV") is a publicly traded business development company ("BDC")
managed by Apollo.
BFP held 14,392 shares in ESWW.
The shares were thinly traded with a most recent closing
price of $60.00 per share.
6 AP Alternative Assets, LP ("AAA") is a publicly traded investment company managed by Apollo.
The company is listed on the Amsterdam stock exchange.
7 K12, Inc. ("LBW) was received as an in-kind distribution from BFP's investment in Knowledge
Universe Education M.
EFTA00608768
Alan Halperin, Esq.
October 12, 2015
APO' GRATs - Valuation Date: June 3, 2015
Page 5
interest fees. In effect, they earned the underlying fund's return on investment, net
of any non-fee fund expenses.
The AIF funds employed a 1.5% management fee, while COF III employed a
1.25% management fee. For the AIF funds, the management fees could vary based
on life-cycle of the fund.
The AIF funds and COF III employed a 20% carried
interest fee structure.
Carried interest was subject to an 8% preferred for its
fee-paying limited partners.
The fund's limited partners could not withdraw, and
transfers required the permission of the respective fund GP entity.
The fund size
for AIF IV, AIF V, AIF VI, and COF III was $3.6 billion, $5 billion,
$10.1 billion, and $867.4 million, respectively. ACIV, ACV, ACVI, ACC III were
bound to invest and divest at the same time as AIF IV, AIF V, AIF VI, and
COF III, respectively. AIF IV and AIF V were all on extension in order to
liquidate remaining positions.
ACIV, ACV, ACVI, and ACC III had no control
over the funds, or their selection or timing of investment acquisitions or
divestitures. Withdrawal from ACIV, ACV, ACVI, and ACC III was not permitted
and transfers required the consent of the respective managing members.
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EFTA00608769
Alan Halperin, Esq.
October 12, 2015
APO' GRATs - Valuation Date: June 3, 2015
Page 6
Apollo Private Equity Co-Invest Entities
Entity
Capital Account
Value
Term Expiration
ACIV
$388,708
The underlying fund was on indefinite extension. There was
no indication when the remaining portfolio companies would
be sold.
ACV
$2,376,964
The underlying fund was on contractual extension. There
was no indication when the remaining portfolio companies
would be sold.
ACV1
$23,519,975
The fund's term expires January 12, 2016. However, the
fund could be extended for two additional years. As of the
Valuation Date, it was expected that the fund would extend
its term to Janu.
12, 2017.
ACC III
$6,084,149 The fund's term expires September 11, 2019.9 However, the
fund could be extended for three additional ears.
Apollo Capital Market Fund Interest: ASC is invested in capital market funds
affiliated with Apollo.
Apollo's capital market funds held securities from all
portions of a portfolio company's capital structure, with a focus on distressed
companies. BFP's interest in ASC was not subject to management or performance
fees.
BFP requested a full withdrawal from ASC on January 25, 2015. According
to Management, ASC's agreement terms will result in BFP's withdrawal effective as
of February 28, 2016.
BFP's capital account balance was $2.9 million at the
Valuation Date.10
FCI II: BFP made a $25 million commitment to FCI II on June 21, 2013. FCI II
co-invests in Financial Credit Investment II, L.P. ("FCI Fund") as a Schedule I
limited partner.
FCI Fund purchased a portfolio of 67 life insurance policies from
a European bank with a total policy face amount of $371 million for approximately
$27 million.
The balance of BFP's future capital contributions are expected to be
for premiums, fees and expenses. The Partnership's interest in FCI II was not
subject to management or carried interest fees.
In effect, it earned the underlying
Based on most recent quarterly account statements. Capital account balances were adjusted to
account for distributions and contributions made between the capital account date and the
Valuation Date.
According to the COF III agreement, COF III's term expires on the 5' anniversary of the final
close date. The final close date is defined as the initial closing date of January 7, 2013 or the
most current subsequent closing date.
According to Management, a subsequent closing was
completed on September II, 2014.
10 Based on the most recent monthly account statement.
EFTA00608770
Alan Halperin, Esq.
October 12, 2015
APO' GRATs - Valuation Date: June 3, 2015
Page 7
fund's return on investment, net of any non-fee fund expenses.
BFP's capital
account balance was $12.7 million at the Valuation Date.
FCI Fund employed a 0.5% management fee and 10% carried interest fee structure.
The management fees could vary based on life-cycle of the fund.
Carried interest
was subject to a 6% preferred return for its fee-paying limited partners. The fund's
limited partners could not withdraw, and transfers required the permission of the
fund GP.
FCI II had no control over the fund, or its selection or timing of
investment acquisitions or divestitures.
Withdrawal from FCI II was not permitted
and transfers required the consent of the general partner.
AHL: BFP made a $52 million commitment to AHL on April 21, 2014 to purchase
a total of 2.0 million shares at $26 per share.
The first capital call of $10.4
million resulted in the purchase of 400,000 shares on the date of the commitment.
The second and final capital call of $41.6 million resulted in the purchase of
1,600,000 shares as of April 2, 2015. BFP's capital account balance was $52.0
million at the Valuation Date.
AHL is a life insurance holding company focused principally on the retirement
market and whose business, through its subsidiaries, is focused primarily on issuing
or reinsuring fixed and equity indexed annuities. AHL's subsidiaries include Athene
Annuity & Life Assurance Company, Athene Life Insurance Company, Investors
Insurance Corp, and Athene Life Re Ltd.
Products offered by AHL, through its
subsidiaries, include: (1) retail fixed and equity indexed annuity products; (2)
institutional products, such as funding agreements; and (3) co-insurance and
reinsurance arrangements with third party life insurance and annuity providers.
APTP: APTP is a venture capital fund launched by Apollo principals and managing
partners.
BFP has a nominal capital account balance of $25,579.
The fund has
been inactive for years and was not expected to resume investment activities.
All
remaining assets in APTP were considered side pocket investments.
APSHL: APSHL is an investment fund launched by Apollo principals and managing
partners.
BFP has a nominal capital account balance of $0." The fund has been
inactive and was not expected to resume investment activities.
All remaining assets
in APSHL were considered side pocket investments.
" According to the Partnership's 2013 tax return K-I for APSHL, the Partnership's capital account
balance was negative. Therefore, the carrying value was considered de minimis.
EFTA00608771
Alan Halperin, Esq.
October 12, 2015
APO' GRATs - Valuation Date: June 3, 2015
Page 8
Apollo Ownership Interests: The Partnership has an indirect ownership position in
the Apollo Operating Group through AOG Units held through BRH.
In total BFP
held 92,727,166 AOG Units.
At the Valuation Date, Apollo's stock closed at
$22.89 per share, with a mean value of $22.74 per share.
AOG Units could be
exchanged for Class A shares at various future dates.12
The agreements governing
the AOG Units are discussed in greater detail below. The impact of the agreement
provisions was considered in the estimation of fair market value for the AOG
Units.
On an unadjusted basis the capital account value of the AOG units was
$2,108,152,119.'3
This TRA allows BFP to share in the future tax savings
provided to Apollo upon the exchange of BFP's AOG Units.
In addition to the
AOG Units held, the Partnership also received an annual payment from Apollo in
connection with the TRA associated with the Apollo ownership sold in the July
2007 transaction which resulted from the reorganization of Apollo and its listing on
GSTrUE.'4
Non-Apollo Investment Interests: BFP's other investments included interests in
three fixed-term private equity funds, five evergreen hedge funds, five development
stage/private companies and multiple promissory notes.
All of these investments
were non-controlling and non-marketable, and subject to certain restrictions.
None
of the funds made regular distributions. Each subset is described further below.
Private-Equity Funds: These investments were subject to transfer restrictions (i.e.
requires fund general partner consent), and withdrawal was not permitted prior to
the end of the fund's term. Distributions were only anticipated upon the harvest of
underlying investments, and the timing and amount of distributions would be
determined by each fund's manager or general partner.
A summary of key
information associated with these funds is presented in the following table.
12 7.5% of the block of AOG Units became exchangeable on each of March 29, 2013,
March 29, 2014, and March 29, 2015.
II Based on the mean value per share of $22.74.
14 GSTrUE is a secondary market for qualified institutional and individual investors.
Apollo stopped
trading on GSTrUE after its public listing in 2011.
EFTA00608772
Alan Halperin, Esq.
October 12, 2015
APOI GRATs - Valuation Date: June 3, 2015
Page 9
Non-Apollo Private Equity Investments — Key Terms
Entity -
BFP's Capital`
Account Value
Description
Fee
Structure
Term
Expiration
Ilk()
$3,822,318
The fund is focused on
investments in Asia, with a
focus on China.
2%/20%
12/5/2015"
N\ CI'
$1,484,393
The fund is focused on active
minority investments located in
emerging markets, with a focus
on BRIC.1e
2%/20%
2/23/2019
rE.N4
$998,593
The fund is targeting $1 million
investments in growth stage
"Big Data" companies. Total
hind size is $25 million.
2%/20%
4/1/2023
Hedge Funds:
The evergreen funds allowed withdrawal of cap'tal based on a
combination of lock-up periods and limited opportunities to withdraw (e.g. annually,
quarterly). Although the interests were subject to transfer and other restrictions, the
withdrawal rights were considered to be most important.
A summary of key
information associated with the evergreen funds is presented in the following table.
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" Based on most recent quarterly
account for distributions and
Valuation Date.
16 Stated annually, as "management
17 As of the Valuation Date, it was
December 5, 2016.
1s Brazil, Russia, India and China.
account statements. Capital account balances were adjusted to
contributions made between the capital account date and the
fee percentage/performance fee percentage."
expected that the fund would extend its term to
EFTA00608773
Alan Halperin, Esq.
October 12, 2015
APO' GRATs - Valuation Date: June 3, 2015
Page 10
Non-Apollo Hedge Fund Investments — Key Terms
I. min
BFP's Capital
Account Value
Description
Fee
Structure
Withdrawal
Date'
ACP
$18,603,995
Debt focused special situations
hind.
1.5 %/20%
6/30/2016
CVRF
$19,790,178 Debt and equity event-driven
hind.
1.5 %/20%
12/31/2015
KSC
$ I ,024,397
Global long/short credit and
event-driven fund.
1.5 %/20%
N/A22
LC
$28,365,105
Lon onl , bruit. fund.
1.75%/0%
9/30/2015
MG
$27,968,994 Arbitra:e fund
0%23/20%
9/30/2015
Truckast LLC ("Truckast"): BFP initially invested in iCrete LLC which had
developed proprietary technology for mixing concrete. BFP held a Class B interest
in iCrete. According to the Partnership's 2013 K-1, BFP had a capital account
balance of $1.2 million and a capital sharing percentage of 0.7655%.
iCrete had a
$5.9 million members' deficit as of December 31, 2012.14
As of the writing of
this report, and effective December 5, 2013, Pacific Concrete Technologies, LLC
acquired of all of the right, title, and interest in and to certain property formerly
owned by iCrete, LLC, including 100% of the membership interests of iCrete.
Further, on December 5, 2013, Pacific Concrete Technologies, LLC transferred
100% of the membership interests of the company to GKW Holdings. GKW
Holdings formed Truckast to hold these interests.
KUE: Knowledge Universe Education L.P. was a holding company with a portfolio
of development stage secondary education companies. The carrying value of BFP's
interest in KUE was estimated to be $22.6 million.
In October 2013, BFP
received a $1.4 million cash distribution and $0.8 million stock distribution (105,951
shares of LRN from KUE and 75 shares from KU Management). In addition, BFP
received a cash distribution of $4.4 million in October 2014. The KUE Agreement
was amended August 9, 2013.
In April 2015 KUE reorganized into separate
19 Based on the most recent monthly account statements.
20 Stated annually, as "management fee percentage/performance fee percentage."
21 Withdrawal date represents when BFP was allowed to withdraw its capital from the underlying
fund as of the Valuation Date based on the provisions of the respective underlying fund
agreement. This applies only to ACP, CVRF, LC and MG.
22 Entire balance is a side pocket investment.
KSC retained $117,838 from the withdrawal of
unrestricted capital for future management fees with respect to the side pocket investment.
24 There is no management fee. However, partners bear pro rata levels of fund expenses.
24 The most recent financial statement available at the Valuation Date.
EFTA00608774
Alan Halperin, Esq.
October 12, 2015
APO' GRATs - Valuation Date: June 3, 2015
Page 11
business units to facilitate liquidation of the separate business units.
All business
units were expected to be liquidated and KUE dissolved by October 2017.
When BFP invested in KUE, the investment also included an investment in KU
Management Inc. ("KUE GP"), KUE's general partner.
Based on the initial
investment, BFP's capital contribution was allocated 99.9% to KUE and 0.1% to
KUE GP. KUE GP's carrying value was estimated at $26,512.
Curation Media: BFP made a capital commitment of $1.3 million to Curation
Media.
With an initial closing in late March 2015, BFP made its first contribution
of $650,000.
The remaining capital is expected to be called by the end of June
2015.
Curation Media's purpose is to create, own and operate a music download
service involving the playlists of celebrities and other "tastemakers" where a portion
of music rental fees will be donated to charity.
BFP's investment in Curation
Media was estimated at $650,000 as of the Valuation Date.
ESWW Convertible Notes: ESWW, through its wholly-owned subsidiaries, is
engaged in the designing, developing, manufacturing and selling of emissions control
technologies. The company also provides emissions testing and environmental
certification services with its primary focus on the North American on-road and off-
road diesel retrofit market. ESWW manufactures and markets a line of catalytic
emission control and enabling technologies for a number of applications. ESWW is
focused on the international medium duty and heavy duty diesel engine market for
on-road and off-road vehicles, as well as the utility engine, mining, marine,
locomotive and military industries. ESWW also offers engine and after treatment
emissions verification testing and certification services.
In 2013, BFP invested $2.9
million in ESWW in the form of convertible notes.ls
As of the Valuation Date,
the ESWW convertible notes have a book value of $2,993,379, including accrued
interest.
The notes pay 10% interest that is compounded quarterly and paid
semi-annually. The notes will convert at a rate of $80 per share to common equity
on March 22, 2018, or sooner if a majority of the note holders elect to convert the
notes to common stock.
Rally Labs: Rally Labs LLC markets and distributes an over-the-counter drug called
Blowfish, which is an effervescent, morning-after hangover remedy.
BFP invested
$200,000 on June 28, 2013 as part of Rally Labs effort to raise $2 million in
investment capital in order to finance its general business operations and marketing
initiatives to support a national rollout. The Partnership bought 20,000 units at a
price per unit of $10.00. The total offering was 200,000 units. The full allotment
13 The total aggregate offering was $4,596,929.
EFTA00608775
Alan Halperin, Esq.
October 12, 2015
APO' GRATs - Valuation Date: June 3, 2015
Page 12
of units offered by the company represents 25% of the Rally Lab's fully-diluted
capitalization. BFP's carrying value was estimated at $181,277.
Artbinder, Inc.: Artbinder has developed and is marketing a digital platform for art
galleries. BFP invested $9,998 to purchase 1,715 series A preferred shares on
May 9, 2014 as part of Artbinder's effort to raise capital for capital expenditures,
working capital, and general corporate purposes.
Promissory Notes and Receivables: As of the Valuation Date, the Partnership had
the following notes with related parties: (1) two outstanding notes with Leon Black,
totaling $42.2 million, net, including accrued interest; and (2); two notes with
PLB LLC totaling $3.2 million (including accrued interest).
Note terms end
between March 13, 2016 and September 16, 2016.
Annual interest rates are
between 0.18% and 0.25% for the notes. All notes are interest only with principal
payments due at the end of each note's term.
As of the Valuation Date, the Partnership had a redemption receivable in the
amount of $865,113, a receivable from LBF Holdings, LLC in the amount of
$174,135, and a receivable from BRH Holdings, LP in the amount of $127,695.
As of the Valuation Date, BFP held notes payable by Phaidon Global with a
balance of $7.5 million, including accrued interest.
Interest accrues on the notes at
1-month LIBOR plus 200 basis points.
The notes are a result of a $15.0 million
credit line to Phaidon Global which expired on September 30, 2014.
Liabilities: BFP had no liabilities at the Valuation Date.
Summary: Based on the most recent capital account statements and holdings
information provided by Apollo and BFP Management, the Partnership's total assets
had an aggregate market value of $2.4 billion (which excluded the TRA benefit).
Since BFP had no liabilities, its aggregate partners' capital was $2.4 billion (based
on the mean value per share for each of the marketable securities as of the
Valuation Date). See Exhibit D.
Valuation adjustments necessary to reflect the market value of the Partnership's
individual assets taking into consideration various restrictions that hinder BFP's
control over the assets and lack of a ready market to dispose of or trade its assets
is considered in detail in the valuation section of this report.
EFTA00608776
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October 12, 2015
APO' GRATs - Valuation Date: June 3, 2015
Page 13
C. BFP Agreement Provisions
BFP was formed pursuant to Delaware Revised Uniform Limited Partnership Act
(the "Act"). The BFP Agreement dictates the rights, responsibilities and restrictions
placed on the Interest.
A summary of key provisions impacting the fair market
value of the Interest is presented below.
•
Management:
The Partnership shall be managed solely at the discretion of
the GP (i.e. Black Family GP, LLC). (7.1-7.2.) No LP shall have the
ability to act on behalf of the Partnership in its capacity as such. (7.6.)
There are no restrictions on the actions of the GP, and the GP may not be
removed. (7.4.)
Upon an event of withdrawal by the GP, a successor GP
shall be appointed by a majority in interest of the LPs. (7.7.)
•
P&L Allocations and Distributions:
P&L allocations shall be made on a
pro rata basis. (5.2.)
The timing and amount of distributions shall be
determined by the GP in its sole and absolute discretion.
Such distributions
are based on sharing ratios. (5.4.)
•
Costs:
Any costs incurred by the GP on behalf of the Partnership for its
operations shall be reimbursed by the Partnership. (Article 4.)
•
Restrictions on Transfer:
Transfers of economic interests are permitted.
However, no transferee shall become a partner without the prior written
consent of the GP. (9.1.)
Upon death, a partner's economic rights shall be
transferred to his legal representative. (9.3.)
In addition to the required
consent of the GP, other administrative tasks must be completed in order to
effect the admission of a transferee as a substitute LP. (9.4.)
•
Restrictions on Withdrawal: Any Partner may withdraw any portion of his,
her, or its capital account at any time.
Upon such withdrawal, the
Partnership shall distribute to such Partner assets of the Partnership with an
aggregate fair market value equal to (i) the value of all of the assets of the
Partnership, multiplied by (ii) such Partner's Sharing Ratio, multiplied by (iii)
the percentage of such Partner's capital account being withdrawn by such
Partner.
If the Partnership's assets consist of assets other than cash or
marketable securities, the FMV shall be determined by a qualified appraiser
selected by the GP. (3.4.)
•
Books and Information: The GP shall cause complete books and records to
be maintained at the principal offices of the Partnership.
Such records shall
EFTA00608777
Alan Halperin, Esq.
October 12, 2015
APOI GRATs - Valuation Date: June 3, 2015
Page 14
be open to inspection and examination of all partners in person or by their
duly authorized representatives, who have the right to make copies at their
own expense during normal business hours. (8.1.) The GP may, but is not
required to, have annual financial statements prepared.
Such statements need
not be audited.
If prepared, copies of such statements shall be delivered to
the LPs. (8.2.) The Partnership's accountants shall prepare all federal, state
and local income tax returns for the Partnership. (8.3(a).)
•
Dissolution:
The Partnership will be dissolved at such time as the first of
the following should occur: (1) the bankruptcy or dissolution of the GP; (2)
the determination of the GP to dissolve the Partnership; (3) the entry of a
decree of judicial dissolution; (4) any event under the act sufficient to cause
dissolution. (10.1.)
•
Amendment:
The Agreement may only be amended by the unanimous
agreement of the Partners. (12.1.)
AOG Unit Agreement Provisions
The Interest and AOG Units are subject to provisions of multiple agreements. The
impact of these agreements is that the value of an AOG Unit will vary from the
value of a share of Apollo's Class A stock, based on the restrictions and benefits
imposed on the AOG Units.
Transfer and exchange restrictions remove the ability
to participate in a liquid market.
The TRA outlines how the tax benefit derived
from an AOG Unit exchange is shared between the exchanging unit holder and
Apollo.
Empire reviewed the key agreements, as well as the summary for each agreement
that is included in Apollo's public filings.
The descriptions provided below are
paraphrased from the content provided in the filings, and are intended to have the
meaning conveyed therein.
A. The Exchange Agreement
BFP entered into an exchange agreement with Holdings which provides for the
exchange of AOG Units owned by Holdings for Class A shares of Apollo. Subject
to certain procedures and restrictions26 and upon 60 days' written notice prior to a
26 Restrictions include the vesting schedules applicable to the Managing Partners, as well as any
applicable transfer restrictions and lock-up agreements.
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designated quarterly date, each of Holdings' owners27 has the right to cause
Holdings to exchange the AOG Units owned indirectly by such owner for BFP
Class A shares.
The Class A shares received in the exchange would then be sold
immediately at the prevailing market price, or at a lower acceptable price, and the
net proceeds distributed to the owner affecting the exchange.
In connection with
the exchange, BFP's interest in the AOG Units will be correspondingly increased
and the voting power of the Class B share will be correspondingly decreased.
B. The Principals Agreement
The Principals Agreement provides that each Managing Partner's Pecuniary Interest28
in the AOG Units that he holds indirectly through Holdings shall be subject to
vesting. The Managing Partners own Holdings in accordance with their respective
sharing percentages.
Pursuant to the Principals Agreement, the AOG Units
attributable to each of the managing partners is fully vested as of the Valuation
Date.
C. The Shareholder Agreement
While the Exchange Agreement allows for quarterly exchanges of AOG Units into
Class A shares of BFP, the Shareholder Agreement restricts the amount and timing
of such exchanges involving a Managing Partner's aggregate equity interest ("Equity
Interests") via its transfer restrictions. These restrictions are described below.
No Managing Partner" may affect cumulative transfers of Equity Interests,
representing more than:
1. 0.0% of his Equity Interests at any time prior to the second anniversary of
the date on which the registration statement of which the S-1 forms a part
became effective (the "shelf effectiveness date"), i.e. March 29, 2011;
2. 7.5% of his Equity Interests at any time on or after the second anniversary
and prior to the third anniversary of the shelf effectiveness date;
3. 15% of his Equity Interests at any time on or after the third anniversary
and prior to the fourth anniversary of the shelf effectiveness date;
27 Including Managing Partners, contributing partners, and certain transferees thereof.
29 Pecuniary Interest - With respect to each Managing Partner, the number of AOG units that would
be distributable to such Managing Partner assuming that Holdings were liquidated and its assets
distributed in accordance with its governing agreements.
29 This applies to Managing Partners and their permitted transferees.
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4. 22.5% of his Equity Interests at any time on or after the fourth anniversary
and prior to the fifth anniversary of the shelf effectiveness date;
5. 30% of his Equity Interests at any time on or after the fifth anniversary and
prior to the sixth anniversary of the shelf effectiveness date; or
6. 100% of his Equity Interests at any time on or after the sixth anniversary
of the shelf effectiveness date.
Certain transfers were not subject to the restrictions described above, including
transfers: (1) from one founder to another founder; (2) to a permitted transferee of
such Managing Partner; and (3) in connection with a sale by one or more of the
Managing Partners in one or a related series of transactions resulting in the
Managing Partners owning or controlling, directly or indirectly, less than 50.1% of
the economic or voting interests in Apollo or AOG, or any other person exercising
control in Apollo or the AOG by contract, which would include a transfer of
control of their manager.
D. Tax Receivable Agreement
In the event that an exchange pursuant to the Exchange Agreement is a taxable
transaction, Apollo Management Holdings, L.P. and the AOG entities that it
controls will make a Section 754 election which may result in an adjustment to the
tax basis of a portion of the assets owned by the AOG at the time of the
exchange.
The taxable exchanges may result in increases in the tax depreciation
and amortization deductions from depreciable and amortizable assets, as well as an
increase in the tax basis of other assets, of AOG that otherwise would not have
been available.
A portion of any increase in depreciation and amortization tax
deductions, as well as the increase in the tax basis of such other assets, will reduce
the amount of tax that APO Corp. would otherwise be required to pay on future
income.
Additionally, Apollo's acquisition of AOG Units in such an exchange may result in
increases in tax deductions and tax basis that reduces the amount of tax that APO
Corp. would otherwise be required to pay in the future.
This occurred in
connection with the Apollo's acquisition of AOG Units from the Managing Partners
in the strategic investors' transaction in July 2007.
The TRA requires APO Corp. to pay the Managing Partner (or to a permitted
transferee of such Managing Partner, i.e. BFP) or contributing partner involved in
such an exchange 85% of the amount of actual cash savings, if any, in U.S.
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Federal, state, local and foreign income tax that APO Corp. realizes30 as a result of
these increases in tax deductions and tax basis, and certain other tax benefits,
including imputed interest expense.
APO Corp. expects to benefit from the
remaining 15% of actual cash savings, if any, in income tax that it realizes.
For purposes of the TRA, cash savings in income tax will be computed by
comparing APO Corp's actual income tax liability to the amount of such taxes that
APO Corp. would have been required to pay had there been no increase to the tax
basis of the tangible and intangible assets of the applicable AOG entity as a result
of the transaction and had APO Corp. not entered into the TRA.
The tax savings
achieved may not ensure that APO Corp. has sufficient cash available to pay the
tax liability or generate additional distributions to its investors.
Also, APO Corp.
may need to incur additional debt to repay the TRA if its cash flows are not met.
The term of the TRA will continue until all such tax benefits have been utilized or
expired, unless APO Corp. exercises the right to terminate the TRA by paying an
amount based on the present value of payments remaining to be made under the
agreement with respect to units that have been exchanged or sold and units which
have not yet been exchanged or sold.
The present value of remaining payments
will be determined based on certain assumptions, including that APO Corp. would
have sufficient taxable income to fully utilize the deductions that would have arisen
from the increased tax deductions and tax basis and other benefits related to
entering into the tax receivable agreement.
No payments will be made if a Managing Partner or contributing partner elects to
exchange his or her AOG Units in a tax-free transaction.
In the event that other
of Apollo's current or future subsidiaries become taxable as corporations and acquire
AOG Units in the future, or if Apollo becomes taxable as a corporation for U.S.
Federal income tax purposes, each will become subject to a tax receivable
agreement with substantially similar terms.
Valuation of Black Family Partners, LP
A. Introduction
Generally, there are three commonly used approaches, to determine the value of a
company/asset, none of which is necessarily superior to the others.
These three
approaches are the Income, Market and Cost Approaches.
The nature of the
J0 Or is deemed to realize in the ease of an early termination payment by APO Corp. or a change
of control.
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business, industry, and economic circumstances of the particular company/asset being
valued at the specific valuation date, as well as the availability of data will dictate
which approach(es) will ultimately be used in determining the company's/asset's
value.
B. Valuation Methodologies Applied
1. Income Approach
Discounted Cash Flows Methodology ("DCF"):
The discounted future income
methodology can use cash flows as a basis to forecast the income which the
business or asset will generate. Thereafter, an aggregate present value is calculated
for the future cash flows using a required rate of return known as the discount
rate.
The strength of this methodology is that it facilitates the analysis of
operational practices and their impact upon the business' value.
Its weakness,
however, is that it relies heavily upon projections of cash flows or net income
which, for some firms, are difficult to make with any accuracy.
The DCF method was applied to value certain BFP assets represented by expected
future cash flow sources.
For BFP, as an investment holding company, an asset
based approach was considered more appropriate.
2. Market Approach
Guideline Company Methodology:
The objective of the guideline company
methodology is to identify business entities that have publicly traded securities, as
well as business and financial risks, which are comparable to those of the entity
being valued.
The pricing multiples of the selected public companies are then used
to derive a market value for the owners' capital of the company under analysis.
For an investment holding company, comparison with similar publicly traded
investment companies, such as closed-end funds, is generally considered appropriate.
There are two important pricing multiples that can be derived from the freely
traded shares in investment holding companies: (1) discount to net asset value
("NAV"); and (2) price to yield.
Discount (or premium) to NAV is calculated by
dividing the company's market price by its reported NAV per share, and then
subtracting the result (as a percentage) from 100%.
A discount to NAV is also
referred to as an investment company discount ("ICD").
The other important
pricing measure for public investment holding companies, particularly for those that
earn substantial income (e.g., municipal bonds, utility stocks, commercial real estate)
and pay out most of this income, is yield (i.e., the dividend per share divided by
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the market price per share).
When either of these pricing measures is applied to
the closely held investment company's corresponding financial figures, the end result
is the fully marketable value of owners' capital on a non-controlling (i.e., minority)
interest basis.
This methodology was applied, in conjunction with a variant of the NAV method,
described below, to derive the fair market value of BFP.
3. Asset Accumulation Method
The asset accumulation method ("AAM") focuses primarily on the balance sheet.
It
requires restatement of the company's assets and liabilities in order to reflect their
market values.
Using this method, the value of the subject enterprise's equity is
equal to the market values of its assets less its liabilities. The general method of
individual asset and liability revaluation has also been referred to as the net asset
value method, the adjusted net asset value method, the adjusted book value method,
and the asset build-up method.
Application of this method will typically indicate the value of 100% of the subject
company equity on a controlling ownership interest basis.
However, the method's
relevance generally weakens when valuing an operating company whose value is
best reflected as a going concern.
Exceptions are when sale of the company's net
assets is considered highly probable, when the realizable value of its net assets
equals, or exceeds, the value of its distributions to its owners, or when the
company's value is tied directly to the value of its underlying investments.
Note that unless otherwise noted, use of this method assumes that transaction and
built-in gains tax costs are reflected in the consideration of the discounts for lack of
control and marketability.
Because the Interest is an investment in an investment holding company, the value
of its underlying assets and any related liabilities are important to an investor.
This is true even though a minority interest is being valued, and such an interest
obviously does not have the right to liquidate the Partnership or its assets.
Therefore, the AAM was used to determine the minority value of the Interest.
C. Valuation Summary
The AAM was used to value the Interest.
First, the adjusted book value of BFP's
assets (except cash and marketable securities) were calculated. The summary of
which is presented in Exhibit D.
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The assets were placed in three groups. The first group consisted of the interests in
fixed-term funds," most of which were not expected to liquidate for several years
after the Valuation Date.
The most recent available capital account balances were
used as a starting point, reflecting the pro rata NAV in each fund associated with
the subject interests.
A restriction period discount was then applied to reflect the
rights and restrictions associated with each investment, together with its economic
characteristics.
Application of this adjustment resulted in a cash equivalent value
(i.e. fair market value) that was included in the derivation of BFP's adjusted book
value ("ABV"). This analysis is presented in Exhibits E-1 through E-3.
The second group consisted of BFP's interest in the capital market funds.32
The
capital market investments, i.e. hedge funds, are subject to risk33 between the
Valuation Date and their earliest possible withdrawal dates.
One quantitative
method to assist in determining the restriction period discount applicable to the
subject interests is to estimate the costs that would be incurred by an investor if he
were to attempt to "hedge" his position over the restriction period.
In other
words, if an investor is restricted from selling his interest should he change his
outlook (or the stock price begins dropping), he would want protection (a hedge)
from potential losses that could be incurred during the restriction period, yet would
not want to give up the upside potential, as that is the reason for the investment in
the first place.
This provides a reasonable tool to estimate at least the
liquidity-related portion of the restriction period discount.
However, it was
considered that this method of estimating a restriction period discount would only
result in a "floor" value for the discount.
Several factors contribute to this,
including, but not limited to, the following: (1) to the extent that they are available,
volatility metrics for hedge funds are generally based on monthly (not daily)
reported data, which may lead to a smoothing of volatility measures over time; (2)
volatility metrics based on historical investment returns only provide a measure of
the historical risk of the underlying investment portfolio, but do not measure the
business risk of the fund itself; (3) these measures do not account for risks
associated with the fund general partner's right to suspend or curtail withdrawals in
certain situations; (4) such an analysis cannot capture the adverse impact of a gate,
which generally limits withdrawals to a certain percentage of fund assets; and
(5) perhaps most importantly, public investment vehicles that would be required for
an investor to implement a perfect hedge against an illiquid asset such as a hedge
31 ACIV, ACV, ACVI, ACC HI, HAO, WCP and TEN4.
32 ASC, FCI II, AHL, APTP, APSHL, ACP, CVRF, KSC, LC and MG.
J3 Risks included factors that could affect future performance of each fund.
Risk factors may
include, but are not limited to, the fund remaining a going concern, the fund maintaining the
same investment strategy, regulatory issues, or a change in investment manager.
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fund interest simply do not exist.
Despite these complications, a theoretical put
option model was considered as one indicator to use in estimating a restriction
period discount for the unrestricted portions of the capital market interests.
In
addition, certain restricted stock data was also considered, largely because the put
option model implicitly does not account for certain risks outlined above.
The put
option model and the restricted stock data are discussed further below. This analysis
is presented in Exhibits F-1 through F-3.
Additionally, the fair market value of AOG Units held by the Partnership was
estimated based on a restricted stock analysis that employed a put option model to
estimate a restriction period discount applicable to the AOG Units and the TRA
benefit payable to BFP pursuant to the TRA agreement.
A DCF analysis was
employed to value both the existing TRA payment stream and potential future TRA
benefit from the AOG units held by BFP at the Valuation Date. These analyses are
presented in Exhibits G-1 through H-2.
Once BFP's adjusted book value was estimated, the pro rata ABV associated with
the Interest was calculated.
Next, a combined discount for lack of control and lack
of marketability was applied to estimate the fair market value ("FMV") of the
Interest.
Valuation of Fixed-Term Fund Interests
In assessing the fair market value of the Partnership's underlying PE fund
investments the capital account balance associated with each interest was used as a
starting point.
An appropriate restriction period discount was then applied to
account for the economic characteristics of the interest, its performance, and the
investment risks associated with the underlying investment fund, together with the
rights and restrictions attributable to the interest as described in the fund's
governing documents.
Market and general economic conditions at the Valuation
Date were also a consideration.
In estimating an appropriate restriction period discount to apply to the Partnership's
underlying PE fund investments, we considered the economic and financial risks of
each investment as a prospective investor may perceive them.
In addition to each
fund's vintage year, investment strategy, portfolio composition and other descriptive
information provided earlier in this report, several risk factors were considered,
including, but not limited to, the following: (1) remaining term; (2) stage of
lifecycle; (3) remaining capital commitment; (4) cumulative returns; (5) distributions;
(6) preferred returns to limited partners, if any; and (7) potential carried interest
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payments to the general partner, if any.
The general impact of each on the
selected restriction period discount is discussed below.
On a relative basis, estimated restriction period discounts would be greater for funds
with: (1) longer remaining terms, which would also suggest that the funds were
earlier in the fund cycle and could have greater investment risk; (2) larger unfunded
capital commitments, which could reduce the number of potential buyers;34
(3) capital appreciation as the expected source of value creation, as investors in
funds expected to create value through cash flow (i.e., debt service income or
rental income) were likely to receive distributions earlier than investors in otherwise
similar funds that were invested for capital appreciation; (4) lower distributions as a
percentage of contributed capital and net multiples of contributed capital, both of
which could suggest a lack of strong historical performance; and (5) no preferred
return, which would provide less of a return to limited partners before carried
interest payments could be made to general partners or managers.
In selecting a reasonable restriction period discount to be applied to each of the
Company's underlying private investments, several benchmarks were considered.
These included, but were not limited to, the following: (1) discounts to NAV
associated with publicly-traded closed-end investment companies ("CEICs"); (2)
restricted stock studies; and (3) the limited market data available for the private
equity interests in the secondary market. Each is described further below.
•
CEIC Samples:
Two closed-end fund samples were developed: (1)
business
development
companies
("BDCs")
and
CEICs
invested
in
underlying private equity investments; and (2) capital appreciation securities.
The BDC sample included nine domestic closed-end funds invested primarily
in mezzanine debt, private equity and venture capital securities.
Implied
discounts to NAV ranged from a premium of 5.9% to a discount of
37.7%, with mean and median observed discounts of 14.8% and 13.2% for
the sample.
Note that equity focused funds ranged from a premium of
5.9% to a discount of 37.7%. The capital appreciation sample had implied
discounts that ranged between 4.7% and 15.3%, with mean and median
implied discounts of 11.3% and 12.1%. Note that the CEICs in the capital
appreciation sample invested in publicly traded equity securities. See
Exhibits I-1 and I-2.
34
In addition to the fact that the landscape of potential willing buyers would be limited to
"accredited investors" in most situations, any potential buyer would need to have the capacity to
fund future capital calls.
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•
Restricted Stock Studies: Addendum 4 to this report describes the results
of several restricted stock studies which encompass several hundred
restricted stock transactions that were completed between 1966 and 2013.
Addendum 4 demonstrates that restricted stock discounts have declined over
time as Rule 144 resale provisions have become less restrictive.
Median
restricted stock discounts for studies involving transactions completed prior
to 1990, involving minimum required holding periods of at least two years,
generally range from 25% to 45%.
Median discounts associated with these
studies are generally concentrated between 30% and 35%.
•
Secondary Market Data:
Median bids for all fund sectors had implied
discounts to NAV of 16.9%?
Application of the PE Analysis: Application of a selected restriction period
discount to each PE interest resulted in their respective market values, which were
then included in the derivation of the Company's ABV.
BFP's existing PE interest included four Apollo co-invest interests, and three
non-Apollo related PE fund interests.
Details regarding the funds were presented
earlier in the report. All funds had remaining capital that could be called.
ACIV,
ACV, ACVI, HAO and WCP were only likely to have fund related expenses
called. ACC III and TEN4 were recently formed and would have substantial capital
calls, relative to their respective commitment, in the next few years. Apollo related
PE interests did not pay management or carried interest fees. All of the PE fund
interests were restrictive in that transfers were not allowed without the fund general
partner's consent and withdrawals were not permitted. The Partnership did not have
the ability to influence the future investments or divestitures of its holdings.
The primary risk factor for the interests was the likely remaining term of each
fund. The term, in addition to the other risk characteristics of the interests, were
considered in the selection of the appropriate restriction period discounts.
The
following table summarizes the estimated cash equivalent value of the PE interests.
(THIS SPACE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK)
35 NYPPEX Holdings, LLC's ("NYPPEX") 2015 Mid-Year Secondary Private Equity Market Trends
and Outlook Worldwide, August 2015.
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Selected Restriction Period Discounts
Entity
Remaining
Term
(yrs.),,,
Capi tal
Account
Selected
Discount
Market
Value,
rounded
ACIV
2.00
$388,708
25%
$290,000
ACV
2.00
$2,376,964
25%
$1,780,000
ACVI
1.61
$23,519,975
20%
$18,820,000
ACC III
4.28
$6,084,149
35%
$3,950,000
HAO
1.51
$3,822,318
25%
$2,870,000
WCP
3.73
$1,484,393
35%
$960,000
TEN4
7.83
$998,593
35%
$650,000
See Exhibit D for summary details of BFP's ABV and Exhibits E-1 through E-3
for PE restriction period discount details.
Valuation of Capital Market Interests
The Partnership has five Apollo related evergreen fund interests (ASC, FCI II,
AHL, APTP, and APSHL,) and five non-Apollo related interests (ACP, CVRF,
KSC, LC and MG). Empire's analysis began by segregating the capital accounts
between unrestricted capital, which had liquidity rights with knowable withdrawal
dates, and side-pocket investments, which had no liquidity rights or known term.
A summary of the capital account balance for each capital market fund interest is
presented in Exhibit F-1.
Also included in Exhibit F-1 is each interest's allocation
between side-pocketed investments and liquid investments available for withdrawal
proceeds or requests.
Put Option Analysis: The Partnership is subject to risk with respect to the
unrestricted capital between the Valuation Date and the earliest possible withdrawal
dates.
One quantitative method to assist in determining the restriction period
discount applicable to the Partnership's underlying investments is to estimate the
costs that would be incurred by an investor if he were to attempt to "hedge" his
position over the restriction period.
In other words, if an investor is restricted
from selling his interest should he change his outlook (or the stock price begins
dropping), he would want protection (a hedge) from potential losses that could be
10 The terms for ACIV and ACV were past their contractual length, including extensions. Two years
was used as an estimate for the period of time required to liquidate the remaining assets of
each fund.
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incurred during the restriction period, yet would not want to give up the upside
potential, as that is the reason for the investment in the first place.
This provides
a reasonable tool to estimate at least the liquidity-related portion of the restriction
period discount.
However, it was considered that this method of estimating a restriction period
discount would only result in a "floor" value for the discount.
Several factors
contribute to this, including, but not limited to, the following: (1) to the extent that
they are available, volatility metrics for hedge funds are generally based on monthly
(not daily) reported data, which may lead to a smoothing of volatility measures
over time; (2) volatility metrics based on historical investment returns only provide
a measure of the historical risk of the underlying investment portfolio, but do not
measure the business risk of the fund itself; (3) these measures do not account for
risks associated with the fund general partner's or managing member's right to
suspend or curtail withdrawals in certain situations; (4) such an analysis cannot
capture the adverse impact of a gate, which generally limits withdrawals to a
certain percentage of fund assets; and (5) perhaps most importantly, public
investment vehicles that would be required for an investor to implement a perfect
hedge against an illiquid asset such as a hedge fund interest simply do not exist.
Due to these complications, it was considered that the application of an adjustment
to each investment's capital account value based on a put option analysis only
captured a portion of the overall risks associated with the investment, and did not
result in the fair market value of the underlying investment.
Instead, it was
recognized that the investments remained subject to material business risks that were
not captured by such an adjustment.
Black Scholes Option Pricing Model Description: A put option gives the holder
the right, but not the obligation, to sell a stock at a fixed price (a "strike" or
"exercise" price) to a buyer.
This type of option rises in value as the underlying
stock price drops below the price at which the holder can sell it.
The greater the
drop in price, the more valuable the right to sell the shares at a fixed, higher
price, becomes.
A put option, with an exercise price equal to the capital account
balance as of the Valuation Date, can be used to hedge a stock holding from
downward price drops, since the value of the put rises to offset any drop in the
stock price.
The two assets combined, at expiration, should approximately equal
the value of the stock position at the time the hedge was put in place, net of the
costs related to the hedge.
The Black-Scholes option model for valuing call options (the right but not the
obligation to buy a share of stock at a fixed price) was developed by Fisher Black
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and Myron Scholes in the 1970s.
The model is widely used in the pricing of
options in the public markets, in risk-management (hedging), and in the accounting
for compensation options under Financial Accounting Standards Board ("FASB")
guidelines.
The model, using short sales and borrowings, reflects results assuming
that the option value is equal to the security price, times a probability (that the
ending price will exceed the strike price), minus the present value of the exercise
price, times a probability.
In valuing a put option, the output of the Black-Scholes model can be modified to
determine the probability of a downward movement in a stock's price over time
(relevant to a put), as opposed to an upward movement in the price (relevant to a
call).
To do so, the model's probabilities are changed to their reciprocals, and
certain signs are changed to make the stock position assumed by the model a short
position, instead of a long position with borrowed funds.
These adjustments result
in a put option model."
The model has six inputs that determine value: (1) stock price; (2) exercise price;
(3) risk-free rate; (4) the life, or term, of the option; (5) expected volatility; and
(6) dividend yield.
The first three inputs are easily observable; the impact of the
last three inputs requires further discussion, as do the manner in which they were
derived.
1. Asset Price: The value of the underlying asset or stock.
In this case, the
unrestricted capital account balance of the Partnership's interest in a fund.
2. Exercise Price: The price at which the holder of the option could sell the
underlying asset upon exercise of the option.
In this situation, the exercise
price is equal to the asset price.
3. Risk Free Rate:
The risk rate used in the model is the continuously
compounded risk-free rate for the term corresponding to the length of time
remaining on an option.
The appropriate yield was benchmarked by the
return on U.S. Treasury securities having maturities that correspond with
the term of the option.
The Federal Reserve Statistical Release H.15 was
used to determine the appropriate risk-free rate.
4. Term of the Option: The term, or expected remaining life, of an option
also has a significant impact on value.
The longer the expected remaining
life, the longer the stock has to potentially rise or fall to greater extent,
37
Model based on article by James R. Mountain, Journal of Accountancy, January 19%.
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making the option more valuable.
A longer term option on a high
volatility stock can have significant value, whether it is a put or a call
option.
In this case, the term would be the period of time between the Valuation
Date and the earliest possible withdrawal date after the Valuation Date.
5. Volatility: The volatility of the underlying stock price has a significant
impact on the value of an option.
Volatility is a measure of how far up
or down a stock could potentially go over a given period of time, based on
the historical day-to-day trading patterns.
Higher volatility increases the
value of both call and put options.
The higher the volatility, the higher
the possible profits from owning an option and, hence, the higher the
option's value.
This relationship is somewhat counterintuitive, as the
prospect of high volatility and greater investment risk generally lowers
equity prices.
The key difference, relative to equity pricing, is the limited
downside risk of an option, which gives its owner the right but not the
obligation to sell.
Empire was provided with historical return and volatility specific to BFP's
investments, as well as comparable benchmark hedge fund index returns and
volatility were considered in estimating volatility for each subject interest.
6. Dividends:
Dividend payments impact value, but to a much lesser extent.
Dividend payments reduce the value of a call option and increase the value
of a put option, because cash flows out of the company to its shareholders
but not to the option holders. The net result is that the prospective growth
in the stock value of the company is slowed.
When dividends are to be
paid before the option expires, it is necessary to adjust the formula.
In general, BFP's fund investments did not make regular distributions
unless it is associated with investor withdrawals.
As a result, dividend
yield was assumed to be 0%.
The Black-Scholes put option implied discounts are presented in Exhibit F-2. Other
factors were also considered.
Other Factors: The analysis outlined above indicates a theoretical cost of a
protective put option of the value of the underlying security.
However, the full
cost incurred to hedge the value of the capital accounts until they could be
redeemed would also include: (1) transaction costs associated with establishing such
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October 12, 2015
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custom put options, or a series of custom put options, over the stated period of
time; (2) the financial counter-party
in the put
transaction would require
compensation for assuming the risk associated with incomplete financial information
resulting from the investments' private status; (3) payment methods that may be
employed by the funds, i.e. payments may not be in cash; and (4) delayed and
staggered payment after capital withdrawal from the funds.
The total implied restriction period discount implied by the Black-Scholes put option
pricing model and consideration for other factors is presented in Exhibit F-2.
Restricted Stock Data: Restricted stock studies were sought for use in determining
one possible benchmark for the discounts appropriate for application to each
investment.
Relevant restricted stock studies are summarized and described in
Addendum 4 to this report.
Overview: The restricted stock studies demonstrate that discounts do exist to
compensate investors for their relative inability to liquidate an investment over the
course of a given holding period.
The statistics associated with the studies fell
within a reasonably close range, although variation of implied discounts was noted
within each of the studies.
Variations in observed discounts were generally
attributed to company-specific (i.e., investment specific) factors.
The restricted
stock study data also supports the notion that discounts declined when holding
periods were reduced, which can be anticipated based on accepted financial theory.
Based on these studies, we estimated that the discounts appropriate for lock-up
periods of two years could be as high as 33%.
While data points underlying the
specific studies suggested that discounts could range much higher, it was considered
that such high levels of discounts were frequently observed with investments that
were subject to high levels of stock price volatility or business risk.
As a result,
the overall median restricted stock discount of approximately 33% for a two-year
holding period was considered a reasonable upper boundary for use in this analysis.
TVA Study - Holding Period Analysis:
Addendum 4 includes a description of a
study completed by Trugman Valuation Associates, Inc. ("TVA") that was published
in the fall of 2009. After a detailed screening process, TVA identified 80
transactions occurring between January 1, 2007 and August 19, 2008.
The
summary statistics associated with this study are presented at the beginning of
Addendum 4.
As a component of its study, TVA completed a holding period analysis by
analyzing the impact of contractual registration rights on implied discounts.
TVA
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indicated that a large majority of the 80 transactions in the study had registration
rights.
TVA performed additional research to verify the actual registration date,
and calculated the number of days between the transaction date and the actual
registration date.
If no registration statement was filed with respect to a specific
transaction, TVA assumed that the securities remained unregistered for the entire
required holding period.ig
TVA separated this data into quartiles, resulting in the
statistics shown in the following table.
TVA Analysis of Registration Rights
Quartile
Days Before
Registration
Average
Discount
Median
Discount
Standard
Deviation
I
0-31 days
11.6%
10.0%
8.0%
2
32-63 days
14.3%
12.9%
11.3%
3
64-185 days
20.4%
15.9%
18.4%
4
185+ days
26.9%
18.8%
18.6%
TVA's registration rights analysis suggests that implied discounts are positively
correlated to implied holding periods, and provides useful information to assist in
the development of benchmark discounts for holding periods up to six months.
This analysis implies that holding period discounts even for short periods of time
can be relatively significant. Although this information is helpful, the lack of block
size and volatility data associated with each quintile makes the data difficult to
interpret.
For example, registered shares may still be subject to trading restrictions
depending on the block size. Therefore, it is not clear based on the published data
that the subject blocks of stock would be fully liquid upon registration.
Further,
discounts are generally recognized to increase as volatility increases, and the data
presented does not permit an assessment of the relative impact of volatility on the
observed discount.
Analysis of FMV Study Data: Addendum 4 describes the 2013 edition of the FMV
Restricted Stock Study' (the "2013 Discount Study") in detail, together with
Empire's analysis of the underlying transaction data.
To provide some additional
data that will assist in developing benchmark discounts to account for the illiquidity
of hedge fund investments, we refer to Empire's analysis of stock price volatility on
implied discounts. This is considered relevant given the relatively low volatility that
may be associated with hedge fund investments in comparison to many of the
companies included in the data set.
38
365 days prior to the change in Rule 144 on February 15, 2008, and 182 days thereafter.
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As described further in Addendum 4, the 779 transactions in the 2013 Discount
Study were filtered and sorted based on certain key variables, including volatility.
The sorted data included 345 transactions, and was divided into quintiles.
The
lowest quintile of volatility data had historical stock price volatility ranging from
19.0% to 55.7%, with an average of 42.4%. Implied discounts associated with this
quintile ranged from 0% to 84.6%.
This quintile reflected a median discount of
13.1%, as compared to a discount of 20.0% for the 337 transactions for which
volatility data was available.
Conclusion: The overall restricted stock study data suggests that discounts are
clearly applicable to account for lock-up periods during which an investment cannot
be sold. The holding period analysis conducted by TVA provided the most relevant
data for short periods.
However, it must be considered that the underlying
securities in these transactions may not be fully liquid upon registration, whereas a
hedge fund investor generally has liquidity as of a given withdrawal date.
Further,
the underlying stock price volatility associated with the transactions in the TVA
Study is likely to be higher than the volatility associated with the subject hedge
funds.
Taking these and other factors into account, we estimated a reasonable
range of discounts likely applicable to investments with lock-up periods up to two
years. This is shown in the following table.
Estimated Restriction Period Discounts
Lock-up Period
Estimated Discount
Range
0-1 Months
1-5%
1-6 Months
5-7%
6-12 Months
7-10%
13-18 Months
11-25%
19-24 Months
26-33%
It should be recognized that these estimated ranges are likely to overlap; i.e., the
restriction period discount ultimately appropriate to a specific investment is
dependent on the attributes of that particular investment.
Application of the Capital Market Analysis: Application of a selected restriction
period discount to each capital market fund interest resulted in their respective
market values, which were then included in the derivation of the Partnership's
ABV.
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Side-pocket investments were considered to be more like a PE investment.
As
such, side-pocket portions of the capital account balances were discounted based on
methods described above with respect to PE investments. Note, FCI II had an
unfunded capital commitment balance of approximately $15.2 million.
All other
investments considered did not have required capital contributions in the foreseeable
future. The following table summarizes the estimated cash equivalent value of the
capital market interests.
Selected Restriction Period Discounts - Capital Market Funds
Entity
Side Pocket
Capital
Unrestricted
Capital
Selected Side
Pocket RPLP
Selected Liquid
Capital RPD
Market Value
ASC
$24,739
$2,832,651
30%
6.00%
$2,680,000
FCI II
$12,709,156
$0
30%
n/a
$8,900,000
AHL
$52,000,000
$0
30%
n/a
$36,400,000
APTP
$25,579
$0
30%
n/a
$18,000
APSHL
$0
$0
n/a
n/a
$0
ACP
$0
$18,603,995
n/a
7.00%
$17,300,000
CVRF
$0
$19,790,178
n/a
5.00%
$18,800,000
KSC
$1,024,397
$0
30%
n/a
$720,000
LC
$0
$28,365,105
n/a
5.00%
$26,950,000
MG
$0
$27,968,994
n/a
4.00%
$26,850,000
See Exhibit D for summary details of BFP's ABV and Exhibits F-1 through F-3 for
capital market fund restriction period discount details.
Valuation of Miscellaneous Interests
A. Valuation of Interest in Truckast
Truckast was a development stage company whose primary product was proprietary
software for the concrete industry.
As of the Valuation Date, Truckast has yet to
be profitable and, according to the accountants review for 2012 financial statements,
its ability to survive as a going concern was not certain.
BFP had no ability to
cause an exit event for the company's current investors and the company had a
perpetual term.
Additionally, BFP could not sell or transfer its interest in Truckast
in the interim without written consent from its managing member.
As such, a
combined discount of 35% for lack of control and marketability was applied to
" Restriction Period Discount
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October 12, 2015
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BFP's capital account balance. Therefore, the fair market value of BFP's interest in
Truckast was estimated to be $796,301 [$1,225,078 x (1 - 35%)]. See Exhibit D.
B. Valuation of Interest in KUE
KUE was a development stage holding company whose subsidiaries were for profit
education companies for the 'IC through 12' level. BFP's capital account balance
indicated a price-to-book value for KUE of approximately 0.66 times. Comparable
guideline companies have price-to-book ratios between 0.0 times and 5.5 times, with
a mean and median of 1.8 times and 1.3 times. Therefore, BFP's capital account
balance was considered a reasonable proxy for the fully marketable minority value
for the subject interest. BFP had no ability to cause an exit event for the
company's current investors and the company had a perpetual term.
Additionally,
BFP could not sell or transfer its interest in KUE in the interim without written
consent from its managing member. KUE did make its first distribution to its
investors during the third quarter of 2013.
Further, the company is seeking to
liquidate all business units and dissolve KUE by October 2017.
As such, a
combined discount of 20% for lack of marketability and lack of control was applied
to BFP's capital account balance of $22,551,206. Therefore, the fair market value
of BFP's interest in KUE was estimated to be $18.0 million [$22,551,206 x (1 -
20%)].
The same discount was applied to BFP's interest in KUE GP, resulting in
a value of $21,210 for the subject interest [$26,512 x (1 — 20%)]. See Exhibit D.
C. Valuation of Interest in Curation Media
Curation Media was a development stage company with the purpose to create, own
and operate a music download service involving the playlists of celebrities and other
"tastemakers" where a portion of music rental fees will be donated to charity. The
remaining capital calls are expected to be completed by June 2015. Therefore,
BFP's capital contribution of $650,000 as of the Valuation Date was considered a
reasonable proxy for the fully marketable minority value for the subject interest.
A
discount of 35% for lack of marketability was applied to BFP's capital contribution
of $650,000. Therefore, the fair market value of BFP's interest in Curation Media
was estimated to be $422,500 [$650,000 x (1 - 35%)]. See Exhibit D.
D. Valuation of Interests in ESWW Stock and Convertible Notes
The ESWW stock had a market price of $60.00 per share at the Valuation Date.
The stock is thinly traded, with a median trading volume of 100 shares per day
traded in the six months prior to the Valuation Date. The stock only traded on 45
days over the same period.
The company had approximately 130,000 shares
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outstanding.
Based on BFP's specific block of stock and control position an
illiquidity discount was considered appropriate. Based on the restricted stock studies
and TVA study discussed above and the size of the block relative to the depth of
the market a 10% discount was considered reasonable.
Therefore, the adjusted
value of the ESWW common stock held by BFP was $777,168.
As of the Valuation Date, the ESWW convertible notes have a book value of
$2,993,379, including accrued interest.
The notes have a conversion price of $80
per common share.
The notes have an annual interest rate of 10% paid semi-
annually in March and September. The notes mature March 22, 2018. The
estimated value of the ESWW convertible notes are based on the sum of the
conversion value of the notes' face value plus the present value of expected future
interest payments. Similar to the illiquidity discount applied to the common stock
position, the value of the notes attributable to the conversion value was adjusted to
account for its illiquidity and restriction period. Again, the notes would not convert
until March 2018.
Based on the studies mentioned above and the specific attributes
of the ESWW convertible notes, an illiquidity discount of 25% was applied to the
market price at the Valuation Date. Based on an adjusted share price of $45.00 per
share the estimated market value of the ESWW convertible notes was $2.4 million,
at the Valuation Date.
E. Valuation of Interest in Rally
Rally was a development stage company whose primary product was an over the
counter hangover remedy.
BFP had no ability to cause an exit event for the
company's current investors and the company had a perpetual term.
Additionally,
BFP could not sell or transfer its interest in Rally in the interim without written
consent from its managing member. As such, a combined discount of 35% for lack
of control and marketability was applied to BFP's capital account balance.
Therefore, the fair market value of BFP's interest in Rally was estimated to be
$117,830 [$181,277 x (1 - 35%)]. See Exhibit D.
F. Valuation of Interest in Artbinder
Artbinder developed and is marketing a digital platform for art galleries.
BFP had
no ability to cause an exit event for the company's current investors and the
company had a perpetual term.
As such, a combined discount of 35% for lack of
control and marketability was applied to BFP's capital account balance. Therefore,
the fair market value of BFP's interest in Artbinder was estimated to be $6,499
[$9,998 x (1 - 35%)]. See Exhibit D.
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Valuation of Apollo Ownership Interests
At the Valuation Date, the Partnership held the following ownership interests in
Apollo and the Apollo Operating Group.
The mean between the high and the low
of Apollo's stock was $22.74 per share on the Valuation Date.
Apollo Ownership Units
nit
Pe
' of Units
Grant Date
Unrestricted
Value
I AOG
I
92,727,166
I 7/13/2007 I $2,108,152,119 I
The AOG Units were restricted from trading. By definition, restricted shares cannot
be considered as marketable as freely tradable shares.
Therefore, in order to
determine the market value of the units, the impact of these restrictions must be
considered and incorporated into the valuation.
Empirical studies indicate that the factors which most influence the size of the lack
of marketability discounts applicable to a block of restricted stock are: (1) the
length of time which the stock has to be held (time value of money) before sale
(resale restrictions); (2) the volatility of the security (risk); (3) the size of the block
and the stock's available trading float; (4) the capitalization size and creditworthiness
of the corporation; and (5) the outlook for the company, its industry, and its
relative position therein.
The analysis for the AOG Units is presented below.
A put option analysis, as
described previously was applied to estimate the appropriate restriction period
discount.
Additionally, the TRA benefit associated with AOG Units is considered
and valued separately below.
The DCF method was applied to value the TRA
benefit.
A. Apollo Operating Group Units
The AOG Units were subject to a schedule that restricted their trading established
in July 2007 when Apollo was formed through the consolidation of the Apollo
operating group.
Again, according to the Exchange Agreement, AOG Units would
be exchangeable into Class A Apollo shares.
Since Apollo had successfully
completed its IPO the restriction period had officially begun and the restriction
period was known for the Partnership's AOG Units.
Based on annual delivery on
March 29 that began in 2013 and will go through 2017, a put option analysis could
be modeled for each block of AOG Units delivered or available for exchange. As
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of the Valuation Date, BFP's first, second, and third tranches were exchangeable,
but due to the insider status of Leon Black and his affiliation with the Partnership,
the 20.9 million exchangeable AOG units were still subject to SEC Rule 144
trading restrictions.
Again, the Black-Scholes option pricing model was previously discussed.
Specific
input parameters used for the put option model are presented in Exhibit G-1. These
included: (1) block value; (2) exercise price; (3) term; (4) volatility; (5) dividend
yield; and (6) risk-free rate.
An incremental adjustment for other factors not captured by the theoretical implied
discount derived from the put option model was added to the implied discount and
ranged between 1.0% and 2.0%.
Overall, implied discounts for the restriction
period imposed on the AOG Units ranged between 8.5% and 18.9%. Applying the
implied discounts to the appropriate AOG Unit blocks resulted in a restriction
period adjusted market value of $1.77 billion, rounded, for BFP's AOG Units. See
Exhibit G-1.
As noted above, the AOG Units have an associated TRA benefit derived from the
tax shield provided upon exchange to APO Corp. The value of the TRA benefit is
calculated in the following section.
B. AOG Unit TRA Tax Shield
As with many complex assets, the TRA could be valued using different methods or
inputs.
In this instance, valuing an explicitly projected future cash flow stream for
the TRA, incorporating the myriad of assumptions for Apollo's status upon future
conversions (e.g., future share price values, tangible asset values, business segment
breakouts related to the TRA, existence and timing of IPO, etc.) was viewed as
being highly unreliable and purely speculative in nature.
In order to simplify the
analysis, it was assumed the exchange occurs immediately at today's price and
known facts about the business.
A present value for the amortization benefit was
then calculated.
Since this derived value would not begin flowing for a number of years (1.8 years
on a weighted average basis based on conversion restrictions as discussed earlier),
the TRA value was assumed to be locked-up for that period of time.
This treats
the asset similar to a restricted stock that could, in fact, fluctuate up or down in
value over the 1.8 years.
The TRA value could go up or down if any of many
things, including the following, change: company share price, business mix, tangible
versus intangible assets, future interest/discount rates, etc.
To account for this
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restriction period, a lack of liquidity/marketability discount was calculated and
applied to the present value of the TRA derived below, again similar to the put
option analysis approach applied to the AOG Units (excluding the TRA benefit) in
the previous section.
While one can argue there are other methods one might use,
this was considered to provide a reasonable estimate of this portion of the value of
the AOG Units.
Projected TRA Cash Flows: In order to complete a DCF analysis, it is necessary
to develop an explicit forecast for TRA cash flows, together with a required rate of
return by which those cash flows can be discounted back to their present value.
The TRA cash flows are derived from the step-up in basis upon the exchange of
the AOG Units into Class A shares for sale. Again, according to Management, the
basis of the AOG Units is $0.
Therefore, upon an exchange of the Units, the
price per Class A share multiplied by the number of Units exchanged for Class A
shares represents the step-up in basis.
The value of Apollo's Class A shares is derived from the expected future cash
flows attributed to its ownership of APO Asset Co., LLC and APO Corp.
However, the tax benefit derived by the step-up in basis upon the exchange of the
AOG Units is realized only by APO Corp.
According to internal reports provided
by Apollo regarding fair value of reporting units in the Apollo Operating Group,
APO Corp. accounted for approximately 69.99% of Apollo's value.
Consequently,
the aggregate value amortizable due to a future exchange is estimated to be $1.5
billion.
This amount is amortizable over a 15-year period, or $98.4 million per
year.
This results in an annual tax benefit of $39.7 million per year based on an
effective tax rate of 40.35%.
The effective tax rate is based on Apollo's
projections for the statutory federal and state corporate tax rates. See Exhibit G-3.
To the extent that APO Corp. does not have sufficient taxable income to fully
recognize the amortization expense derived from the exchange, the remaining
balance can be carried over as a net operating loss carry-forward until such time as
a sufficient taxable income amount is earned where the expense can be charged and
a tax benefit realized.
The cash flows attributable to the tax benefit of an exchange of the AOG Units
have been determined. Next, an appropriate discount rate must be applied in order
to determine the present value of the TRA's tax benefit.
Derivation of Required Rate of Return: The discount rate to be derived for the
tax benefit of the TRA represents the required rate of return which an investor
would demand at a point in time in order to invest in the TRA asset.
This
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discount rate reflects current rates of return seen in the public capital markets plus
a number of company- and industry-specific factors.
The appropriate required rate of return for the TRA is based on Apollo's cost of
equity, since the tax benefit is based on taxable income, i.e. after debt service.
The equity discount rate to be derived for an entity's cash flows represents the
required rate of return that an investor would demand at a point in time in order to
hold an ownership interest in its capital. This discount rate reflects current rates of
return seen in the public capital markets plus a number of company- and industry-
specific factors.
Additionally, market-based rates of return at the Valuation Date are summarized in
the following table.
Details regarding the selection of discount rates based on
comparable guideline companies are presented in Exhibit H-1 and H-2.
(THIS SPACE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK)
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Summary of Required Rates of Return
Required Rate
Source
of Return
20-year U.S. Treasury Rate (risk-free rate)J0
2.87%
Prime Rate
3.25%
Large Cap Stocks"
9.07%
Small Cap Stocks"
15.27%
The discount rate, or the rate of return that investors require, incorporates the
following elements:
•
A "risk-free rate," which generally is the rate available on instruments
considered to have no default risk, such as U.S. Treasuries. The risk-free
rate compensates the investor for renting out their money and for the
expected loss of purchasing power (inflation) during the holding period.
•
A premium for risk, which incorporates the degree of uncertainty as to the
realization of the expected return. The risk premium includes: (1) systematic
risk related to the movements in returns on the investment market in general;
and (2) unsystematic risk, which is risk specific to the subject investment.
This discount rate reflects current rates of return seen in the public capital markets,
plus a number of company- and industry-specific factors.
Capital Asset Pricing Model ("CAPM"):
The cost of equity estimate was
developed with the CAPM.
The CAPM is a model that is commonly used to
obtain discount rates for valuation purposes.
The basic logic of the CAPM model
is that a company's risk premium is determined by the sensitivity of its stock price,
i.e. equity value, to the price changes of the market as measured by an appropriate
broad-based index, e.g. S&P 500 ("systematic risk," measured by Beta).
This
4° Federal Reserve Statistical Release H.15.
41 Ibid.
Stocks, Bonds, Bills and Inflation: 2015 Classic Yearbook, Morningstar, Inc., 2015, Chicago, Illinois. For
large capitalization stocks the calculation is a sum of the risk-free rate and the expected returns
of 6.2% realized on large capitalization stocks over the risk-free rate (Table 11-7, page 158).
07 Ibid. Small capitalization stocks, which are riskier by virtue of their smaller revenue and income
base and capitalization, have returned an additional 6.2% above the return witnessed for large
capitalization stocks (Table 7-6, page 109 [mean return, micro-cap of 18.390 less Table 6-7,
page 91 [mean return, large-cap of 12.1%[).
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model has been one of the primary underpinnings of applied work in finance due to
its simple, intuitive logic and ease of application.
The model used to develop our estimates of cost of equity is as follows:
Ke =
+ Rp (Beta) + Rsm
Where:
Ke
Rp
Lin
=
Beta
Cost of Equity
Risk free rate of return
Market Risk Premium
Small Company Risk Premium
Sensitivity of the security to changes in the
market
The cost of equity, Kg was identified based upon publicly available information.
Betas of a group of selected U.S.-traded guideline companies were obtained from
the Blootnberg Network.
The betas were first unlevered based upon the respective
firms' capital structures and an unlevered beta was selected for Apollo to use as a
proxy for the three GP entities considered in this section. Then, the selected beta
was relevered based upon the guideline companies' debt-to-equity ratios and Apollo's
expected long-term debt-to-equity ratio. See Exhibit H-1.
The resulting cost of equity of 12.3% is based upon an unlevered beta factor of
1.3.
The determination of the cost of equity using the CAPM is included in
Exhibit H-2.
Asset Specific Risk Adjustments:
Again, the unadjusted equity rate of 12.3%
selected above is without consideration of asset specific risk factors for the TRA.
Therefore, in order to reflect asset-specific risks, an additional risk adjustment must
be considered for application to the equity discount rate derived above.
Risk
factors relevant to the revenue stream are discussed below.
•
The exact timing of the future tax benefits is based on achieving sufficient
taxable income necessary to receive the tax benefit over the minimum period
of 15 years.
•
The taxable income sufficient to fully recognize the TRA tax benefit may be
impacted by the exchange of other AOG Units with similar tax receivable
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agreements, as well as the existing
tax benefit
resulting
from
the
restructuring of AOG and subsequent 144A sale in 2007.
•
TRA payments are on par with unsecured debt, and are senior to dividend
payments to AOG Class A shares.
Based on the risk factors cited above, a TRA specific discount rate of 12.0% was
selected.
Conclusion of Fully Marketable Value of TRA:
Applying the discount rate of
12.0% to the forecasted TRA tax benefit cash flows results in the present value of
the incremental benefit at $270.2 million.
The calculated benefit related to the
exchange of the AOG Units is shared 85% by the AOG Unit-holder and 15% by
APO Corp (a wholly-owned subsidiary of Apollo.) Therefore, the fully marketable
value attributable to the TRA associated with the AOG Units is $229.6 million.
Put Option Analysis — TRA: The put option analysis described above with respect
to the restriction period of the AOG Units was applied to determine the restriction
period discount for the TRA.
Below are the specific inputs utilized to derive the
cost of hedging the TRA with a put option as of the Valuation Date.
See also
Exhibit G-4.
•
Current Stock Price and Exercise Price: $229.6 million per the analysis
discussed above and presented in Exhibit G-4.
•
Volatility: 30% was selected as the volatility input. This figure was
determined after analyzing the historical and implied volatilities of the
comparable guideline companies and reviewing the Company's volatility
assumptions as stated in its SEC filings. A sample set of guideline
companies' volatility measures was gathered and is presented in Exhibit G-2.
•
Dividend yield: 0% was used as this is a hypothetical situation.
Since the
option holder will get any dividends paid since they own the underlying
shares, their position is not harmed by such payments.
•
Term: The term used was based on the schedule provided by the Exchange
Agreement.
Based on the Shareholders Agreement, the Units can be
exchanged after the expiration of a two-year lock-up following the successful
pricing of the Company's IPO.
The exchange is subject to a schedule that
allows the Unit-holder to exchange 7.5% of the aggregate Units held in each
of four successive years.
The remaining 70% of the Units can be
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exchanged in the fifth year following the initial lock-up. Again, the first,
second, and third tranches were exchangeable as of the Valuation Date, but
were subject to SEC Rule 144. The weighted average time to exchange and
dribble-out the entire block (considering SEC Rule 144 for the dribble out) is
1.8 years." This is the period which the hypothetical buyer would have to
wait before effectively beginning to realize the benefit of the TRA payments.
•
Risk-free Rate: The Valuation Date yield of 0.69%, on a continuously
compounded basis, based on the 2-year U.S. Treasury note.
The theoretical cost of a put option for the Units calculated to be 15.4% of the
fully marketable value of the TRA. See Exhibit G-4.
The TRA was not publicly
traded (like the Class A shares).
Therefore, based on the implied lack of marketability discount from the put option
analysis, Empire selected 15% for the lack of marketability discount applicable to
the fully marketable value of the TRA. Applying a 15% lack of marketability
discount to the fully marketable value of $229.6 million for the TRA results in a
fair market value estimate of $195.0 million, rounded, for the TRA associated with
the AOG Units. See Exhibit G-3.
C. 2007 Transaction TRA Benefit
Management provided projections for existing TRA dividend payment liability.4S
The aggregate projected TRA dividend payments and pro rata 41.68%46 share
attributable to BFP are presented in Exhibit G-5.
Next, an appropriate discount
rate must be applied in order to determine the present value of the TRA dividends.
As estimated above, Apollo's cost of equity was 12.3%.
Pursuant to the TRA,
dividend payments made pursuant to the agreement are always subordinate to any
debt payments Apollo may have at the Valuation Date or in the future.
This
argues for a rate of return of at least a high-yield corporate bond.°
At the same
time, the dividend payments were considered less risky than Apollo's cost of equity
41 1.8 years = [(20,863,612 units x 0.58 years) + (6,954,537 units x 1.08 years) + (64,909,016
units x 2.33 years)]/(20,863,612 units + 6,954,537 units + 64,909,016 units).
45 The term 'existing' is used to distinguish it from the potential TRA tax benefit associated with the
92.7 million AOG units discussed in the previous sections of this report.
Whereas the existing
TRA tax benefit amount, and to a large extent timing, are known, it is not the case for the
potential TRA tax benefit associated with the possible future sale of AOG units.
46 The pro rata share of 41.68% is based on the historical sharing ratio attributable to BFP at the
July 2007 transaction that triggered the TRA benefit.
07 BB rated corporate bonds had an average yield of 6.60% at the Valuation Date.
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since the TRA dividend did have a contractual claim on the Company's cash flows
prior to any shareholder distributions.
As such a reasonable range to consider for
the discount rate applicable to the existing TRA benefit was between 6.6% and
12.3%.
The projected existing TRA dividend payments were considered more like
debt than equity. Therefore, Empire selected 10% as the required rate of return to
apply to the projected existing TRA dividend payments.
Concluded Value of the Existing TRA Dividends:
A 10% discount rate was
applied to BFP's projected pro rata share of existing TRA dividends.
The present
value of BFP's aggregate TRA dividend was $81.0 million, rounded.
See
Exhibit G-5.
Valuation of Black Family Partners, LP
A. BFP's Adjusted Book Value
As discussed above, a willing buyer would typically assess the value of BFP's
capital on the basis of its underlying assets. Thus, it is reasonable to utilize AAM
as a valuation method.
Book value, unadjusted, is another name for the shareholders' equity account as it
appears on the balance sheet.
Again, ABV as a willing buyer would assess it
involves determining the value of a company's bundle of assets, less its liabilities,
but before transaction costs.
This analysis began by using the Partnership's Valuation Date balance sheet.
In
doing so, each asset and liability was assessed to determine its estimated market
value as of the Valuation Date.
A summary of the Partnership's assets and
liabilities adjusted to reflect their market values as of the Valuation Date is
summarized below.
In general the adjustments made to stated capital account
balances reflect the restrictions imposed upon BFP and its inherent inability to
realize the stated capital account balance value of its assets.
Detailed analyses
regarding the adjustments were discussed above.
•
Cash and Money Market: The Partnership had a checking account with
$15.9 million and a money market fund with $9,433. No adjustments were
made to the cash account balances.
•
AINV Stock: The Partnership held 603,632 shares of AINV stock.
The
stock closed at $7.92 per share on the Valuation Date, with a mean value of
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$7.90 per share.
Therefore, the block of stock had a value of $4.8 million
(based on the mean per share value) at the Valuation Date.
•
ESWW Stock: The Partnership held 14,392 shares of ESWW stock.
The
stock closed at $60.00 per share on the Valuation Date, with a mean value
of $60.00 per share. The per share price was reduced by 10% for
illiquidity, as discussed above Therefore, the block of stock had an adjusted
value of $777,168 (based on the mean per share value) at the Valuation
Date.
•
AAA Stock: The Partnership held 28,730 shares of AAA stock.
The stock
closed at $37.25 per share on the Valuation Date, with a mean value of
$36.75 per share. Therefore, the block of stock had a value of $1.1 million
(based on the mean per share value) at the Valuation Date.
•
LRN Stock: The Partnership held 66,704 shares of LRN stock.
The stock
closed at $13.90 per share on the Valuation Date, with a mean value of
$13.91 per share.
Therefore, the block of stock had a value of $927,853
(based on the mean per share value) at the Valuation Date.
•
PE/Fixed-Term Entity Direct Interests: The PE interests were direct
investments in various Apollo private equity funds and non-Apollo private
equity funds.
The capital account balances were adjusted, as summarized in
detail previously in this report.
The following table presents the capital
account balance and adjusted book value of each interest.
PE/Fixed-Term Fund Interests
Entity
Capital Account
Balance
Adjusted
Book Value,
rounded
ACIV
$388,708
$290,000
ACV
$2,376,964
$1,780,000
ACVI
$23,519,975
$18,820,000
ACC III
$6,084,149
$3,950,000
HAO
$3,822,318
$2,870,000
WCP
$1,484,393
$960,000
TEN4
$998.593
$650,000
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•
Capital Market/Hedge Funds: The Partnership had investments in five
Apollo related funds and five unrelated funds.
The following table presents
the capital account balance and adjusted book value of each interest.
Capital Market Fund Interests
Entity
Capital Account
Balance
Adjusted
Book Value,
rounded
ASC
$2,857,390
$2,680,000
FCI II
$12,709,156
$8,900,000
AHL
$52,000,000
$36,400,000
APTP
$25,579
$18,000
APSHL
$0
$0
ACP
$18,603,995
$17,300,000
CVRF
$19,790,178
$18,800,000
KSC
$1,024,397
$720,000
LC
$28,365,105
$26,950,000
MG
$27,968,994
$26,850,000
•
Apollo Operating Group Ownership: The Partnership, through BRH and
Holdings, holds a block of AOG Units. AOG Unit ownership has significant
restrictions regarding when the Partnership is able to sell the respective units.
These details were discussed previously.
Additionally, the AOG Units have
the TRA which provided an economic benefit to the Partnership via its
indirect ownership of the AOG Units not captured by Apollo's stock price.
Apollo Operating Group Interests
EMU,
Capital Account
Adjusted Book
Balance
Value
AOG Units (w/o TRA)
TRA Benefit (future)
$2,108,152,119
$1,770,000,000
TRA Benefit (existing)
$0
$0
$195,000,000
$81,000,000
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•
Miscellaneous Interests: A summary of the Partnership's other assets is
presented in the following table.
Miscellaneous Interests
Entity
Capital Account
Adjusted Book
Balance
Value
Truckast LLC
$1,225,078
$796,301
Knowledge Universe Education LP
$22,551,206
$18,040,965
KU Management, Inc.
$26,512
$21,210
Curation Media
$650,000
$422,500
ESWW Convertible Notes
$2,993,379
$2,441,007
Rally Labs, LLC
$181,277
$117,830
Artbinder Inc.
$9,998
$6,499
•
Promissory Notes and Receivables: No adjustments were made to BFP's
related party note balances or receivables.
•
Liabilities: The Partnership had no liabilities at the Valuation Date.
Based on the estimated market value of BFP's assets and liabilities, the
Partnership's ABV can be stated at $2,313,242,496, or $23,132,425 for a pro rata
1% limited partnership interest. See Exhibit D.
B. Discount for Lack of Control and Marketability
The appraisal of any business is as much an art as a science. One reason that the
value of a closely-held business is never completely objective is that much of this
value lies in less quantifiable factors, such as marketability and control.
The value
that was derived above using the asset accumulation method is a fully controlling,
fully marketable value.
However, a minority shareholder of BFP has neither a
control position nor a ready market for his or her interest.
The following discussion will address the factors which are considered relevant
when determining appropriate discounts for control and lack of marketability.
It
should be noted that the criteria used to determine each discount individually can
overlap.
As such, although the following discussion addresses each discount
separately, a combined discount for lack of control and marketability was applied to
the freely tradable value of BFP's equity to determine its fair market value.
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1. Discount for Lack of Control
When valuing a company, a valuation methodology which utilizes required rates of
return from the public market is generally assumed to be a minority interest value.
However, when consideration is given for a controlling interest position, as is the
case when using the asset accumulation method, the controlling interest holder has
the ability to exercise the prerogatives of control (e.g., the ability to set dividends
and salaries, and make daily business decisions).
The value of this control is
usually recognized by a premium over the non-controlling interest valuation, as is
demonstrated by the transaction data cited below.
Since a non-controlling interest
position is being valued, some discount for lack of control, or the inverse of the
stated premiums, must be considered.
The application of a discount for lack of control is particularly warranted in
appraising limited partnership and non-managing membership interests in investment
holding companies.
Even without overt restrictions, a holding company interposes
itself between an owner and the investment assets, thus creating administrative costs
that would otherwise not be present.
If an investor can purchase the same
investment assets directly, without a discount there is no incentive for that investor
to buy an interest in a holding company at its pro ram capital account value. The
owners of non-controlling interests lack the ability to control operations, make or
determine the level of distributions, or force dissolution.
In order to benchmark an appropriate discount for lack of control to use in valuing
a non-managing membership interest, several benchmarks were considered.
These
included: (i) generic evidence of lack of control; and (ii) a sample of CEIC's
invested in U.S. Government and Agency bonds.
Mergerstat Data:
Publicly traded stocks are by definition freely tradable interests.
Thus, when a bidder seeks control of a public company, a premium over its stocks'
market pricing is usually paid.
This is because certain prerogatives, or levels of
control, are transferred with percentages of ownership above 50%, such as the
authority to:
•
Determine management compensation and perquisites;
•
Declare and pay dividends;
•
Sell or acquire assets and/or liabilities;
•
Change the articles of incorporation or by-laws; and
•
Liquidate, dissolve, sell, or recapitalize the company.
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In determining an enterprise value, then, the incremental value of control is usually
recognized by a premium over the non-controlling interest valuation, as is
demonstrated by the transactions cited below. Conversely, the use of an asset-based
valuation method is implicitly assumed to generate a 100% controlling interest, or
enterprise, value. Since a non-controlling interest is under analysis, however, the
inverse of these stated premiums" should be considered representative of the
diminution of value due to lack of control.
A publication by FactSet Mergerstat LLC ("Mergerstat"), entitled MergerstateReview
2015 was surveyed for comparatively generic evidence of the discounts appropriate
for lack of control in companies.
Mergerstat tracks merger and acquisition activity
for public companies.
For all industries over the five years 2010 to 2014: (i) the
mean control premiums paid over a stock's market pricing varied from 42.1% to
54.1%; (ii) the median premiums varied from 28.7% to 37.8%; and (iii) the
five-year transaction-weighted average of the median premium was 33.7%.
This
latter premium corresponds to a discount for lack of control of 25.2% (1 - [1 + (1
+ 33.7%)]).
Additionally, information from Mergerstat's® First Quarter 2015 Control Premium
Study (the "Premium Study") was considered.
It
reported that,
between
April 1, 2014 and March 31, 2015, there were 511 transactions across all industries
in which control was acquired, with a median premium of 28.2% and a mean
premium of 42.4%.
These premiums mathematically correspond to respective lack
of control discounts of 22.0% and 29.8%.
Closed-End Investment Company Benchmark:
Discounts to NAV, or ICDs,
associated with publicly traded closed-end funds or limited partnerships provide
estimates that can serve as a base to determine a reasonable proxy for a lack of
control discount.
Generally, ICDs tend to be lower for funds with diversified
portfolios of low risk assets (i.e., U.S. government and agency securities).
ICDs
tend to increase as the portfolios become more risky (equities and private
investments) or less diversified (either concentrated in one industry or with a
concentration in a specific security).
A sample of four CEICs invested primarily in government bonds and securities is
presented in Exhibit I-3.
ICDs associated with this sample ranged between 4.2%
and 10.1%, with mean and median implied discounts of 7.0% and 6.8%
respectively. The sample's median yield was 4.4%.
48 Implied discount for lack of control equals I - (I + It + control premiuml).
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2. Discount for Lack of Marketability
a. Background
Since there is no public market in which the Interest can be sold, we applied a
discount for lack of marketability ("DLOM") to account for its illiquid nature.
In
selecting an appropriate DLOM, we performed both a qualitative and quantitative
analysis.
The qualitative analysis involved an assessment of key factors impacting
marketability, as well as relevant restricted stock studies.
The quantitative
assessment involved analyzing restricted stock data based on key financial measures
that influence the degree of marketability for the interest in question.
b. Restricted Stock Studies — Qualitative Assessment
As part of the qualitative analysis, we reviewed restricted stock studies covering
transactions between 1966 and 2013. These studies are summarized in Addendum 4
of this report.
The studies, which cover several hundred transactions over the
specified time period, concluded that mean or median lack of marketability discounts
typically range between 25% and 35%.
It is important to note that all shares of restricted stock observed in these studies
would be tradable (subject to blockage issues) on an established public exchange
following the expiration of a defined restriction period.'
As the required holding
period decreased from two years to one year, observed restricted stock discounts
declined.
This is consistent with financial theory that the required discount should
decline as holding period restrictions are relaxed.
However, changes in the securities laws which have resulted in shorter required
holding periods do not make the older restricted stock studies obsolete.
In contrast
to restricted stock, which can trade on an exchange once the restricted period has
lapsed, shares of most privately-held companies will never have access to such a
market because the characteristics of those businesses do not make them candidates
for public stock offerings.
As a result, the observed discounts in the pre-1990
restricted stock studies (i.e., when the restrictions were most stringent) provide a
useful comparison along with the more current studies.
49
Due to changes in securities law over time, the initial restriction period declined from two years
to one year in 1997.
Prior to that, the adoption of Rule I44A in 1990 provided partially
improved liquidity, but did not modify the two-year holding period requirement.
The initial
required restriction period was reduced to one year effective April 1997 and further
shortened, to six months, effective February 2008.
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c. Estimated Lack of Marketability Discount - Qualitative Analysis
The impact of the qualitative factors on marketability is determined after reviewing
many factors including, but not limited to, the factors discussed below.
•
Level of Distributions:
A company with a history of paying consistent
distributions is generally considered more marketable than one that does not
have such a history.
BFP was invested in fixed-term funds, evergreen funds and development
stage companies, assets seeking capital appreciation.
BFP's interest in BRH
(comprised of the AOG Units owned through Holdings and TRA dividend
payments) provided a potential source of capital appreciation and a source of
cash dividends.
While BFP receives cash dividends from its investments, the
proceeds have historically been used to fund new investments or commitments
to existing investments and not distributed to BFP's partners.
However, the
Partnership has recently begun to make distributions of unreserved cash.
Distribution amounts and timing are at the discretion of the general partner.
Accordingly, there is no formal policy in place for distributions, and a
limited partner cannot assume or expect distributions at any given time (or at
all).
If made, any distributions must be pro ram among all members.
This
situation tends to enhance the marketability of the subject interest.
•
Information Access & Reliability: A purchaser of a non-controlling interest
has to accept the information provided, and that information can often be
curtailed by the general partners or managers.
Concern about this issue is
mitigated somewhat when management has a history of providing the
minority owners with audited financial statements and/or access to the
company's books and records.
The Partnership does not prepare audited financial statements or file its own
tax return.
This situation tends to reduce the marketability of the subject
interest.
•
Transfer and Withdrawal Restrictions:
The ability of an investor to
transfer or liquidate his interest, along with the time required to do so, is a
major factor in assessing the appropriate DLOM.
BFP permits transfers without the prior written consent of the general
partner. However, the consent of the general partner is required for such
transferee to be admitted as a partner of BFP.
Although BFP does provide
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for the withdrawal of capital, all such withdrawals would be made in-kind at
the discretion of the general partner.
To be clear, a partner requesting a
withdrawal of capital would receive assets upon withdrawal, and the assets
distributed would be selected at the discretion of the general partner.
Since
at the Valuation Date BFP had significant unfunded capital commitments in
the fixed-term funds, there would be no incentive for the general partner to
distribute cash in the event that a withdrawal was requested; all available
cash was required to meet capital commitments. Therefore, distributed assets
were expected to be illiquid.
There was no way to exit or redeem capital
for the underlying investments representing approximately 90% of BFP's
adjusted asset value.
This situation was significantly less attractive than one
in which a withdrawing partner was required to receive cash or marketable
securities upon a withdrawal.
This combination of factors tends to reduce
the marketability of the Interest.
However, the reduction in marketability of
the Interest was mitigated by the ability to at least withdraw assets.
•
Expected Holding Period: The length of the expected holding period of the
interest impacts marketability; the longer the expected holding period, the less
marketable an asset will be.
For example, the presence of a near-term exit
event, such as dissolution, an IPO, or a sale/merger, generally improves
marketability.
While the existence of legal restrictions may adversely impact
an owner's ability to sell, the absence of such restrictions does not
necessarily improve marketability if there is no active public market in which
an asset can be sold. Separately, to the extent that the owner of an equity
interest in a subject company has a contractual or legal right to "put" the
stock back to the company or the other owners, the marketability of an
interest is typically improved.
Probability of an Exit Event:
BFP does not have a specific term and the
Partnership is not considering liquidation.
This situation tends to reduce the
marketability of the Interest.
Existence of Put Rights: BFP's partners do not specifically possess put
rights. This situation tends to reduce the marketability of the Interest.
•
Historical Trading Activity:
To the extent that arms' length transaction
activity exists involving shares of the subject company's stock, marketability
may be improved.
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Empire is not aware of any historical trading activity involving limited
partnership interests in BFP. This situation tends to reduce the marketability
of the subject interest.
d. Restricted Stock Study Data - Quantitative Assessment
In 2013, FMV Opinions updated The FMV Restricted Stock Study' (referred to
here as the "2013 Discount Study"), which contains 779 restricted stock transactions
occurring from 1980 to 2013, and provides data on approximately 50 variables for
each transaction.
The market reference price used to calculate the discount is the
average of the highest and lowest share price for the month of the transaction.
The overall average discount in the 2013 Discount Study data is 18.6%, while the
median discount is 14.6%.5'
Several conclusions reached by the 2013 Discount
Study are listed in Addendum 4.
The underlying data from the 2013 Discount Study can be used to estimate a
DLOM for closely-held companies.
The 2013 Discount Study recommends using a
two-step process in which: (1) a quantitative analysis of the company-specific risk
factors results in an "as if" publicly traded Restricted Stock Equivalent Discount; sx
and (2) a second quantitative analysis is used to estimate an incremental discount
above the Restricted Stock Equivalent Discount to recognize the similar illiquidity
characteristics between privately-held companies and large blocks of restricted stock
to estimate a Private Company Discount Increment.
We followed this process for
the quantitative part in estimating the lack of marketability discount.
e. Summary Findings from the 2013 Discount Study Data
Please see Addendum 4 for a description of how we analyzed the data, and the
conclusions drawn, from the 2013 Discount Study.
Some of the more significant
findings from this analysis are highlighted below.
5° Determining Discounts for Lack of Marketability: A Companion Guide to the FMV Restricted Stock
Study." FMV Opinions, Inc., 2013 (data used within study current through March 2013).
SI The reported overall discounts are based on the full data set of 779 transactions.
52 For this step, we limited the sample to transactions involving block sizes of 20% or less of a
firm's outstanding stock following the restricted stock transaction.
Due to the relatively long
periods generally required to liquidate larger blocks of restricted stock following the expiration of
the initial restriction period, larger blocks of restricted stock in the 2013 Discount Study tend to
have illiquidity characteristics more similar to stock in privately-held companies (in blocks of any
size), for which no market exists.
Therefore, an adjustment based on the differential discounts
between small and large blocks of restricted stock is appropriate to estimate a DLOM.
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Analysis of Size Metrics:
As shown in Exhibit J-1, implied restricted stock
discounts are inversely related to a company's size, measured as revenue, market
value, book value or total assets.
Analysis of Risk Metrics:
Discounts are positively correlated with volatility, given
that a greater lack of marketability discount would be demanded by an investor for
taking on greater risk. See Exhibit J-2.
Analysis of Profitability Metrics:
Discounts are inversely related to net profit
margins. See Exhibit J-2.
Dividend Payments: As shown in Exhibit J-2, discounts for dividend paying firms
are less than for those not paying dividends.
f.
Quantitative Analysis Based on 2013 Discount Study
Restricted Stock Equivalent Discount:
The previously identified variables were
considered in calculating the Restricted Stock Equivalent Discount.
Each of the
inputs was analyzed to identify the relevant quintile for each metric.
The median
observed restricted stock discount from the appropriate quintile was then selected for
that measure. This is described in greater detail below.
•
Historical Financial Metrics:
These metrics were based on the subject
entity's most recent annual financial results.
Regarding net profit margin and dividends, the analysis was based on
whether or not the subject company was: (1) profitable or not profitable; and
(2) dividend paying or non-dividend paying.'
BFP was both profitable and
distributing on a regular basis during the period reviewed.
•
Market Value of Equity:
This is equivalent to the aggregate marketable
minority interest value of the subject entity's equity derived in Empire's
analysis.
•
Volatility:
Empire reviewed the volatility measures for Apollo and
comparable companies since the AOG Units through BRH and Holdings were
the largest holding of the Partnership.
See Exhibit G-2.
Based on these
33 In the event that the subject company is a pass-through entity, the company would be considered
to be "dividend-paying" if it paid dividends or distributions in excess of those required for the
payment of related income taxes.
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observations we selected 30% as a reasonable estimate for the Partnership's
expected volatility.
Exhibit J-3 summarizes the calculation of the Restricted Stock Equivalent Discount.
In deriving this discount, the results of the analysis of each metric were weighted
as follows:
(1) 33.33% to market value of equity;" (2) 33.33% to volatility; and
(3) 33.33% to dividend policy.
As a result of this analysis, a reasonable Restricted Stock Equivalent Discount for
BFP was estimated at 13.0%. Again, see Exhibits 1-1 through J-3.
Private Company Discount Increment:' A Private Company Discount Increment
was selected based primarily on an analysis of the differential discounts between
large and small block transactions and also considers the qualitative factors
impacting marketability.
As shown in Exhibit J-4, a range of Private Company Discount Increments of 1.27
times to 2.12 times the Restricted Stock Equivalent Discount was calculated.
This
calculation is based on a comparison of: (1) the median Restricted Stock Equivalent
Discount of 20% for all 345 transactions involving less than 20% of the
post-transaction shares outstanding; and (2) the minimum and maximum observed
median discounts for block sizes in excess of 20% shown in Exhibit J-4.
Applying the range of Private Equity Discount Increments to the selected Restricted
Stock Equivalent Discount of 13.0% for BFP indicates that a reasonable DLOM
would range from 17% to 27%, rounded, with a mid-point of 22%.
C. Conclusion
Empire selected a combined discount for incremental
lack of control and
marketability based on the foregoing review and analysis, including but not limited
to: (i) a member's ability to withdraw from the Partnership, per the Agreement
provisions described above; (ii)
restriction period discounts applied
to the
Partnership's assets; and (iii) the market based evidence for discounts of lack of
control and lack of marketability, a combined discount for lack of control and
marketability of 15% was considered appropriate. Applying a 15% discount to the
fully
marketable value of $23,132,425 results in a fair market value of
54 The Partnership's revenue and book value metrics were based on internally prepared financial
statements and were not considered indicative of BFP's actual size from a financial perspective.
55
See Addendum 4 for further detail regarding the Private Company Discount Increment.
EFTA00608817
Alan Halperin, Esq.
October 12, 2015
APO' GRATs - Valuation Date: June 3, 2015
Page 54
$19,700,000, rounded, for a 1% non-managing membership interest as of the
Valuation Date. [$23,132,425 x (1 - 15%).] See Exhibit D.
Valuation Summary
Given the foregoing review and analysis, and subject to the attached Statement of
Limiting Conditions, it is our estimate that the fair market value of a 1% limited
partnership interest
in
Black Family Partners, LP is reasonably stated as
$19,700,000 as of June 3, 2015.
It is our understanding that this report will be
used by you and Mr. Leon Black for estate planning purposes related to GRAT
annuity payments.
This appraisal is not intended for any other purpose nor for any other users and
the sharing of the contents herein is not permitted without the express written
consent of Empire Valuation Consultants, LLC. Empire has no obligation to update
this appraisal for information that comes to our attention after the date of this
report.
Respectfully submitted,
Empire Valuation Consultants, LLC
Jeff
ultz
or Valuation Associate
a
avid J. TWompson, CFA
Manager
n
Scott A. Nammacher, ASA, CFA
Managing Director
EFTA00608818
Addendum 1-1
STATEMENT OF LIMITING CONDITIONS
1. Financial statements and other related information provided by or on behalf of
the client entity or its representatives, in the course of this engagement, have
been accepted without any verification as fully and correctly reflecting the
enterprise's business conditions and operating results for the respective periods,
except as specifically noted herein. Empire Valuation Consultants, LLC has not
audited, reviewed, or compiled the financial information provided to us and,
accordingly, we express no audit opinion or any other form of assurance on this
information.
2. Public information and industry and statistical information have been obtained
from sources we believe to be reliable. However, we make no representation as
to the accuracy or completeness of such information and have performed no
procedures to corroborate the information. Information used was limited to that
available on or before the Valuation Date, or which could be reasonably
ascertained as of that date. We reserve the right to make such adjustments to the
valuation herein reported as may be required by consideration of additional or
more reliable data that may become available subsequent to the issuance of this
report.
3. We do not provide assurance on the achievability of the results forecasted by
the client entity because events and circumstances frequently do not occur as
expected; differences between actual and expected results may be material; and
achievement of the forecasted results is dependent on actions, plans, and
assumptions of management.
4. The conclusion of value arrived at herein is based on the assumption that the
current level of management expertise and effectiveness would continue to be
maintained, and that the character and integrity of the enterprise through any sale,
reorganization, exchange, or diminution of the owners' participation would not be
materially or significantly changed.
5. This report and the conclusion of value arrived at herein are for the exclusive
use of our client for the sole and specific purposes as noted herein. They may
not be used for any other purpose or by any other party for any purpose.
Furthermore the report and conclusion of value are not intended by Empire
Valuation Consultants, LLC and should not be construed by the reader to be
investment advice in any manner whatsoever. The conclusion of value represents
the considered opinion of Empire Valuation Consultants, LLC, based on
information furnished to them by the client entity and other sources.
6. Neither all nor any part of the contents of this report (especially the
conclusion of value, the identity of any valuation specialist(s), or the firm with
which such valuation specialists are connected or any reference to any of their
professional designations) should be disseminated to the public through advertising
EFTA00608819
Addendum 1-2
media, public relations, news media, sales media, mail, direct transmittal, or any
other means of communication without the prior written consent and approval of
Empire Valuation Consultants, LLC.
7. Future services regarding the subject matter of this report, including, but not
limited to testimony or attendance in court, shall not be required of Empire
Valuation Consultants, LLC unless previous arrangements have been made in
writing.
8. Empire Valuation Consultants, LLC is not an environmental consultant or
auditor, and it takes no responsibility for any actual or potential environmental
liabilities. Any person entitled to rely on this report, wishing to know whether
such liabilities exist, or the scope and their effect on the value of the property, is
encouraged to obtain a professional environmental assessment. Empire Valuation
Consultants, LLC does not conduct or provide environmental assessments and has
not performed one for the subject property.
9. Empire Valuation Consultants, LLC has not determined independently whether
the client entity is subject to any present or future liability relating to
environmental matters (including, but not limited to CERCLA/Superfund liability)
nor the scope of any such liabilities. Empire Valuation Consultants, LLC's
valuation takes no such liabilities into account, except as they have been reported
to Empire Valuation Consultants, LLC by the client entity or by an environmental
consultant working for the client entity, and then only to the extent that the liabil-
ity was reported to us in an actual or estimated dollar amount. Such matters, if
any, are noted in the report. To the extent such information has been reported to
us, Empire Valuation Consultants, LLC has relied on it without verification and
offers no warranty or representation as to its accuracy or completeness.
10. Empire Valuation Consultants, LLC has not made a specific compliance
survey or analysis of the subject property to determine whether it is subject to,
or in compliance with, the Americans with Disabilities Act of 1990, and this
valuation does not consider the effect, if any, of noncompliance.
11. No change of any item in this appraisal report shall be made by anyone
other
than
Empire
Valuation Consultants,
LLC, and
we shall
have no
responsibility for any such unauthorized change.
12. Unless otherwise stated, no effort has been made to determine the possible
effect, if any, on the subject business due to future Federal, state, or local
legislation, including any environmental or ecological matters or interpretations
thereof.
13. If prospective financial information approved by management has been used in
our work, we have not examined or compiled the prospective financial information
and therefore, do not express an audit opinion or any other form of assurance on
the prospective financial information or the related assumptions. Events and
EFTA00608820
Addendum 1-3
circumstances frequently do not occur as expected and there will usually be
differences between prospective financial information and actual results, and those
differences may be material.
14. We have conducted interviews with the current management of the client
entity concerning the past, present, and prospective operating results of the
company, as applicable for this analysis.
15. Except as noted, we have relied on the representations of the owners,
management, and other third parties concerning the value and useful condition of
all equipment, real estate, investments used in the business, and any other assets
or liabilities, except as specifically stated to the contrary in this report. We have
not attempted to confirm whether or not all assets of the business are free and
clear of liens and encumbrances or that the client entity has good title to all
assets.
16. The fee established for the formulation and reporting of these conclusions is
not contingent upon the value or other opinions presented.
17. Neither the appraiser nor any officer or employee of Empire Valuation
Consultants, LLC has any interest in the property appraised.
18. We assume that there are no hidden or unexpected conditions of the assets
valued that would adversely affect value.
19. No opinion is intended for matters which require legal or specialized
expertise, investigation or knowledge, beyond that customarily employed by
appraisers.
EFTA00608821
Addendum 2
CERTIFICATION OF APPRAISERS
We the appraisers certify that, to the best of our knowledge and belief:
1. Our analyses, opinions and conclusions were developed, and this report was prepared, in
conformity with the Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice.
2. All statements of fact contained in this report are true and correct.
3. The reported analyses, opinions, and conclusions are limited only by the reported assumptions
and limiting conditions, and are our personal, unbiased professional analyses, opinions, and
conclusions.
4. Neither Empire nor any of its employees has, to the best of our knowledge, either a present
or intended financial interest in the entity that is the subject of this report, in any affiliates
that may exist, or with respect to the parties involved.
5. Empire has performed services as an appraiser regarding the property that is the subject of this
report on a quarterly basis since August 2013.
6. We have no bias with respect to the entity that is the subject of this report or to the parties
involved with this assignment.
7. Empire's engagement in this assignment was not contingent upon developing or reporting
predetermined results.
8. The professional fee paid to Empire for the preparation of this report is not contingent upon
its conclusion, including: developing or reporting a predetermined value or direction of value
that favors the cause of the client, the amount of the value opinion, the attainment of a
stipulated result, or the occurrence of a subsequent event directly related to the intended use of
this appraisal.
9. No one provided significant business appraisal assistance to the persons signing this
certification, unless specifically stated herein.
The American Society of Appraisers has a mandatory recertification program for all of its
Accredited Senior Appraisers.
The senior members signing below, designated by the "ASA," are
in compliance with that program.
Jef
Senior Valuation Associate
Da
Mana
Scott A. Nammacher, ASA, CFA
L Tho
son, CFA
Managing Director
October 12, 2015
EFTA00608822
Addendum 3-1
EMPIRE VALUATION CONSULTANTS, LLC
Valuation Services
Empire Valuation Consultants, LLC provides valuations to private equity and hedge
funds, business owners, attorneys, accountants, commercial bankers, investment bankers,
trust departments, insurance agents, and financial planners, among others.
Empire's
consultants have prepared or managed the preparation of over 20,000 appraisals for the
following reasons:
•
Private Equity & Hedge Fund Marking • Financial and SEC Reporting
•
Transfer Pricing
• Fairness Opinions
•
Solvency Opinions
• Litigation Support
•
Buy/Sell Agreements
• Redemptions
•
Gifting Programs
• Recapitalizations
•
Estate Taxes
• Going Private Transactions
•
Mergers & Acquisitions
•
Stock Option Plans
•
Blocks of Publicly
•
Dissenting Shareholder Suits
Traded Securities
•
Impairment Testing
•
Employee Stock Ownership
•
Intellectual Property
Plans (ESOPs)
•
Purchase Price Allocations
Other Financial Services
Litigation Support & Expert Testimony
Empire can assist you with research and litigation support and its professionals are
available to provide expert testimony in matters involving questions of valuation.
ESOP Feasibility Studies & Preliminary Valuations
Empire is available to work with our client's team of financial advisors or
participate in independent feasibility studies and preliminary valuation reviews in
connection with ESOP formation planning.
EFTA00608823
Addendum 3-2
JEFFREY T. SCHULTZ
Academic Degrees
M.B.A.
University of Rochester, William E. Simon Graduate School of
Business Administration, Finance, 2004
B.S.
Rochester Institute of Technology, College of Business,
Manufacturing and Materials Management, 1996
Employment
Empire Valuation Consultants, Rochester, New York
Senior Valuation Associate, 2006 - Present.
Ontario and Trumansburg Telephone Cos., Phelps, NY
Customer Service and Sales Manager, 2004 - 2006.
Rochester Gas and Electric Corp., Rochester, NY
Subprocess Owner, 1980 - 2003.
Experience
Mr. Schultz joined Empire Valuation Consultants in 2006, bringing with
him strong quantitative and fmancial analysis experience, as well as
significant operational, managerial and consulting skills.
While at Rochester Gas and Electric, he was responsible for creating and
providing testimony for gas and electric rate cases.
Mr. Schultz' work
also involved developing detailed analysis that highlighted the costs,
projected savings,
and
net
present value for numerous technology
deployments.
Mr. Schultz is a former Board Member of the Wayne Central School
District Board of Education.
During his tenure, he acted as the Board's
President, Vice President, and Chairperson for the District's Audit
Committee.
EFTA00608824
Addendum 3-3
DAVID J. THOMPSON, CFA
Academic Degrees
M.B.A.
University of New South Wales & University of Sydney, Australian
Graduate School of Management, Finance, Dean Scholarship winner,
2005
Ed.M.
University at Buffalo, Secondary Mathematics Education, 1997
B.A.
University at Buffalo, Mathematics, with distinction, magna cum laude
1994
Employment
Empire Valuation Consultants, Rochester, New York
Manager, 2011 - Present
Senior Valuation Associate, 2008 - 2011
Valuation Associate, 2006 - 2008
Idea Connections Consulting, Inc., Rochester, New York
Vice President of Operations, 2002 - 2003 and 2005 - 2006
IKON Office Solutions, Buffalo New York
Senior Application Developer, 1998 - 2002
Experience
David is a Chartered Financial Analyst.
Since joining Empire, David has been
involved in hundreds of business valuations covering a diverse array of industries.
He has been involved in the valuation of various classes of equity and debt, family
limited partnerships, limited liability companies, intangible assets, purchase price
allocations and stock options.
These valuations have been for estate and gift tax
reporting,
employee
stock
ownership
plan
administration,
acquisitions,
recapitalizations, matrimonial litigation, general corporate reporting, and SEC
reporting. He has extensive experience with the valuation hedge fund and private
equity fund management companies and general partners.
Prior to joining Empire, David worked as Vice President of Operations at Idea
Connections where he was responsible for financial analysis and projections, effective
cost control, project management and assisted in the negotiations for the separation
of the group from its parent company. While with IKON he developed workflow
and document management applications for private companies and government
agencies.
EFTA00608825
Addendum 3-4
SCOTT A. NAMMACHER, ASA, CFA
Academic Degrees
M.B.A.
New York University Graduate School of Business, Finance, 1985
B.S.
University of Minnesota, Business, 1977
Employment
Principal and Managing Director, Empire Valuation Consultants, LW, New York,
New York, 1992-Present
Manager, Financial Valuations, Arthur Andersen & Co., New York, 1990-1991
V.P., Marigold Capital Development, Investment Banking Div. of Marigold
Enterprises, Greenwich, Connecticut, 1989-1990
Manager - Domestic Finance, PepsiCo, Inc. Purchase, New York, 1985-1989
Experience
Mr. Nammacher is an Accredited Senior Appraiser (ASA) of the American Society
of Appraisers and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has over 20 years
of experience in financial consulting and business valuations. He has valued the
equity, debt, warrants, NOLs, etc. of publicly and privately held businesses for
acquisitions, divestitures, stock repurchases, estate and gift tax reporting, buy/sell
agreements, recapitalizations, and general corporate planning purposes.
Mr.
Nammacher has also developed business plans and financing packages, and has
been involved in completed transactions totaling over $1.5 billion. In addition, he
played key roles in the successful launch of a new business publication.
Mr. Nammacher has testified as an expert witness in U.S. Tax Court, U.S.
Bankruptcy Court, Delaware Chancery Court and other courts and arbitration
settings around the country, and published a book and several articles on "junk
bonds." He also received the prestigious "Graham & Dodd Scroll Award" from
the Financial Analysts Journal for outstanding financial writing relating to a cover
story he co-authored.
He served two terms as an elected member of the American Society of Appraisers'
Business Valuation Committee, the oversight entity for the business valuation arm
of the ASA.
He has spoken on valuation issues around the country and has
chaired an annual valuation conference in New York City for over 17 years. He
co-chaired the first joint AICPA/ASA valuation conference ever presented.
EFTA00608826
Addendum 4-1
LACK OF MARKETABILITY BENCHMARK STUDIES
Overview of Restricted Stock Studies'
Studs
Years Cu' cred
# of
Transactions
Mean
Discount
Median
Discount
Two-Year Holding Period (Pre-1990)
SEC, Overall Average
1966-1969
398
25.8%
24.0%
SEC, Non-reporting OTC Companies
1966-1969
112
N/A
32.6%
Gelman
1968-1970
89
33.0%
33.0%
Trout
1968-1972
60
33.5%
N/A
Moroney
Unknown
146
35.5%
33.0%
Maher
1969-1973
33
35.4%
33.3%
Standard Research Consultants
1978-1982
28
N/A
45.0%
FMV Opinions, Inc. (2013)2
1980-1989
58
23.2%
23.2%
Management Planning, Inc. (2011)
Pre-1990
79
30.5%
32.3%
Hemel & Smith
1980-1987
106
20.1%
13.3%
Willamette Management Associates
1981-1984
33
N/A
31.2%
Silber
1981-1988
69
33.8%
35.0%
Two-Year Holding Period (Post-1990)
FMV Opinions, Inc. (2013)
1990 - 3/31/97
141
23.5%
21.0%
Management Planning, Inc. (2011)
1990 - 4/30/97
110
25.1%
22.5%
Bruce Johnson
1991-1995
72
20.0%
N/A
Columbia Financial Advisors, Inc.
1996-1997
23
21.0%
14.0%
One-Year Holding Period
Columbia Financial Advisors, Inc.
1997-1998
15
13.0%
9.0%
FMV Opinions, Inc. (2013)
4/1/97-11/15/07
169
25.3%
21.1%
Management Planning, Inc. (2011)
511997 - 2/2008
164
20.8%
16.6%
Tnigman Valuation Associates, Inc.
1/1/07-11/15/07
46
17.9%
14.7%
Six Month Holding Period
Trugman Valuation Associates, Inc.
11/16/07-12/31/08
34
18.4%
14.4%
Management Planning, Inc.(2011)
2/2008 - 2009
49
5.9%
5.0%
FMV Opinions, Inc. (2013)
11/16/07-2013
27
17.8%
14.4%
Stout Risius Ross, Inc.
9/2005 to 5/2010
98
10.9%
9.3%
Citations are included with the subsequent description of each study.
2 The results of the FMV Opinions, Inc. studies for all holding periods exclude transactions which
took place at implied premiums, as well as those which included registration rights.
EFTA00608827
Addendum 4-2
The restricted stock studies are divided into three primary groups: (1) studies ending
before May 1997, when the required holding period under SEC Rule 144 was two
years; (2) studies ending after May 1997, when the required holding period was
reduced to one year, and prior to November 15, 2007; (3) studies including
transactions after November 15, 2007, when the SEC announced that the required
holding period would be reduced to six months.' The first group is subdivided into
two categories, before 1990 and after 1990. In 1990, the SEC adopted Rule 144A,
which relaxed the SEC filing restrictions on private transactions.
The rule allows
qualified institutional investors to trade unregistered securities among themselves
without filing registration statements, which improved liquidity.
As noted above, the rule change which reduced the Rule 144 required holding
period to six months was announced by the SEC on November 15, 2007, and
would take effect 60 days after its publication in the Federal Register.
The rule
was published in the Federal Register on December 17, 2007,3 and took effect on
February 15, 2008.
Therefore, although the rule did not take effect until February
15, 2008, the pending rule change would have been a consideration to potential
buyers after its announcement on November 15, 2007.
The studies are discussed further in the following sections of this document.
Institutional Investor Study:6 The SEC published study #77-287 in 1971, called the
"Institutional Investor Study." The Institutional Investor Study examined the amount
of discount at which transactions in restricted stock, or letter stock, took place
compared to the prices of identical but unrestricted stock on the open market from
1966 through 1969.
The study shows that the discounts on the letter stocks were the least for New
York Stock Exchange ("NYSE") listed stocks, but increased, in order, for American
Stock
Exchange
("ASE")
listed
stocks,
over-the-counter
("OTC")
reporting
companies and OTC non-reporting companies.
For OTC non-reporting companies,
the largest number of restricted stock transactions fell in the 30% to 40% discount
range.
Slightly over 56% of the OTC non-reporting companies experienced
discounts greater than 30% on the sale of their restricted stock.
A little over 30%
of the OTC reporting companies experienced discounts over 30%, and over 52%
experienced discounts over 20%.
The following table segments the data observed
by the SEC according to the size of the discount.
3 Securities and Exchange Commission.
4 "SEC Votes to Adopt Three Rules to Improve Regulation of Smaller Businesses."
www.sec.govinews/press/2007/2007-233.htm.
Federal Register, Vol. 72, No. 241., pg. 71551. December 17, 2007.
6 "Discounts Involved in Purchases of Common Stock (1966-1969)," Institutional Investor Study
Report of the Securities and Exchange Conunission, H.R. Doc. No. 64, Part 5, 92d Congress.,
1st Session. 1971, pp. 2444-2456.
EFTA00608828
Addendum 4-3
Institutional Investors Study Data
Discount (Premium)
Number of
Transactions
Percent of
Study Total
-15.0% to 0.0%
26
6.5%
0.1% to 10.0%
67
16.8%
10.1% to 20.0%
78
19.6%
20.1% to 30.0%
77
19.3%
30.1% to 40.0%
67
16.8%
40.1% to 50.0%
35
8.8%
50.1% to 80.0%
48
12.1%
-15.0% to 80.0% (total)
398
100.0%
The magnitude of the discount for restric ed securities from the trading price of the
unrestricted securities was generally related to the factors listed below.
•
Earnings:
Earnings played the most significant role in determining the
discounts at which these stocks were sold from the current market price.
The degree of risk of an investment is determined more by earnings
patterns, rather than sales patterns.
•
Sales:
Companies with the largest sales volumes received the smallest
discounts and the companies with the smallest sales volumes received the
largest discounts.
•
Trading Market:
Discounts were greatest on restricted stocks with
unrestricted counterparts traded over-the-counter, followed by those with
unrestricted counterparts listed on the ASE, while the discounts for those
stocks with unrestricted counterparts listed on the NYSE were the smallest.
Gelman Study:7
Milton Gelman conducted a study analyzing the prices paid by
four closed-end investment companies specializing in restricted securities investments.
Based on an analysis of 89 transactions between 1968 and 1970, Gelman found both
the mean and median discounts to be 33%.
Almost 60% of the transactions were
at discounts of 30% or more, and over one-third were at discounts of 40% or
more.
7 Gelman, Milton. "An Economist-Financial Analyst's Approach to Valuing Stock of a Closely Held
Company," Journal of Taxation, June 1972, pp. 353-354.
EFTA00608829
Addendum 4-4
Trout Study:'
Robert Trout studied 60 transactions involving the purchase of
restricted stock by mutual funds between 1968 and 1972.
He observed a mean
discount of 33.5%.
Moroney Study:9
In an article published in 1973, Robert Moroney presented the
results of his study of the prices paid in 146 transactions for restricted securities by
10 registered investment companies.
The mean discount in these transactions was
35.5%, and the median discount was 33%.
Although the years covered in this
study are likely to be 1969-1972, no specific years were given in the published
account.
Maher Study:10
In 1976, Michael Maher published the results of a study of
restricted stock discounts in 33 transactions taking place from 1969 to 1973.
He
found that the mean discount was 35.4%.
The median discount calculated to be
33.3%.
Standard Research Consultants Study:"
In 1983, Standard Research Consultants
conducted a study of 28 private placements of common stock from October 1978
through June 1982. A median discount of 45% was observed.
Hertzel & Smith:12
In a 1993 article published in the Journal of Finance, Hertzel
& Smith analyzed a sample of 106 private placements from the 1980-1987 period
with overall average and median discounts of 20.1% and 13.3%, respectively.
A
lower average discount was observed for registered shares. The authors theorized
that the discounts observed in private placements can be explained as compensation
to the investors for costs they incurred to reduce asymmetries of information.
The
authors performed regression analysis on the data to test their theory.
They
regressed the discount on a number of variables associated with increased
uncertainty about firm value, such as evidence of distress or high market-to-book
ratios.
Willamette
Management
Associates
("Willamette")
Study:"
Willamette
Management Associates analyzed private placements of restricted stocks that occurred
during the period from January 1, 1981 to May 31, 1984.
Most of these
8 Trout, Robert R. "Estimation of the Discount Associated with the Transfer of Restricted
Securities," Taxes, June 1977, pp. 381-385.
9 Moroney, Robert E. "Most Courts Overvalue Closely Held Stocks," Taxes, March 1973, pp. 144-
154.
10 Maher, J. Michael. "Discounts for Lack of Marketability for Closely-Held Business Interests,"
Taxes, September 1976, pp. 562-571.
" "Revenue Ruling 77-287 Revisited," SRC Quarterly Reports, Spring 1983, pp. 1-3.
12 Hertzel, M, and R. Smith (1993), "Market Discounts and Shareholder Gains for Placing Equity
Privately," Journal of Finance, 48, 459485.
13 Valuing a Business: The Analysis and Appraisal of Closely Held Companies (Fifth Edition),
Shannon P. Pratt and Alina V. Niculita (New York: McGraw Hill: 2008), p. 425.
EFTA00608830
Addendum 45
transactions occurred in 1983.
Willamette identified 33 arm's length transactions
during that period for which an unrestricted publicly traded equivalent was available.
The median implied discount for the 33 transactions in this study was 31.2%.
Silber Study:16
In 1991, William Silber published the results of a study of
restricted stock discounts in 69 transactions taking place between 1981 and 1988.
He found that the mean discount was 33.8% and median was 35%.
This study
found larger discounts when the size of the restricted stock block was large in
proportion to the total shares outstanding.
Additionally, the study indicated that
firms with higher revenues, earnings and market capitalizations are associated with
lower discounts.
Bruce Johnson Study:Is
Mr. Johnson conducted a restricted stock study in which
he examined 72 transactions that occurred between 1991 and 1995.
These
transactions exhibited a median implied discount of 20%.
Columbia Financial Advisors, Inc. ("CFAI") Study: 16
CFAI conducted a study
of the sale of restricted securities in the U.S. in which they examined 23 private
common equity placements over the period January 1, 1996 through April 30, 1997.
The resulting mean discount was 21% and median discount was 14%.
A similar
study was repeated over the period January 1997 through December 1998 in which
15 transactions were identified.
The mean discount was 13% and median discount
was 9%.
Trugman Valuation Associates, Inc. ("TVA") Study:"
The intent of the TVA
Study was to analyze implied restricted stock discounts associated with transactions
that took place between January 2007 and December 2008.
After a detailed
screening process, TVA identified 80 transactions occurring between January 1,
2007 and August 19, 2008.
Notably, TVA did not find any transactions that met
its search criteria between August 19, 2008 and December 31, 2008, which
encompasses the period of the fmancial market collapse in September and October
2008.
Separately, Empire sorted the transactions and broke the data set into two groups:
(1) transactions that took place on or before November 15, 2007; and (2)
transactions after November 15, 2007.
Again, on November 15, 2007, the SEC
14 Silber, William L. "Discounts on Restricted Stock: The Impact of Illiquidity on Stock Prices,"
Financial Analysts Journal, July-August 1991, pp. 60-64.
1° "Restricted Stock Discounts: 1991-1995," Shannon Pratt's Business Valuation Update (March
1999): 1-5.
16 Aschwald, Kathryn F., "Restricted Stock Discounts Decline as Result of 1-Year Holding Period,"
Shannon Pratt's Business Valuation Update, May 2000, pp. 1-5.
17 Harris, William.
"Trugman Valuation Associates, Inc. (TVA) Restricted Stock Study," Business
Valuation Review, Volume 28, No. 3.
EFTA00608831
Addendum 4-6
announced the pending change in the Rule 144 required holding period from one
year to six months.
The statistics associated with each data set are shown in the
following table.
TVA Study Data - Statistics
Transaction Dates
Number of
Transactions
Mean
Discount
Median
Discount
Standard
Deviation
1
11/16/07 - 8/19/08's
1/1/07 — 11/15/07
Overall
46
17.9%
14.7%
14.8%
34
18.4%
14.4%
16.9%
80
18.1%
14.4%
15.6%
TVA analyzed the data to assess the correlation between the size of the 'mplied
discount and several factors, including, but not limited to, the following: (1)
volatility;" (2) debt ratio; (3) trading volume; (4) shares placed per average volume
(i.e., block size); (5) share tumover;2° (6) market capitalization; (7) trailing twelve
month revenue; (8) total assets; (9) book value of equity; and (10) days until
registration. TVA found that historical stock price volatility was the main driver in
the magnitude of the implied discounts based on its regression analysis.
Although
TVA considered the explanatory power of most other variables to be weaker, it
noted that the directional trends suggested by the correlation coefficients were
consistent with expectations.
In general, TVA's quartile analysis by variable
suggested that:
•
The magnitude of implied discounts was positively correlated with measures
of risk, such as volatility and debt ratios;
•
The magnitude of implied discounts was negatively correlated with measures
of liquidity, such as trading volume and share turnover;
•
The magnitude of implied discounts was positively correlated with shares
placed per average volume, or block size, as well as days until registration;
and
•
The magnitude of implied discounts was negatively correlated with measures
of size, including market capitalization, revenue, total assets and book
value.
TVA did not analyze the impact of dividend paying history on implied discounts,
primarily because a significant majority of the 80 transactions involved non-dividend
la No transactions occurred between August 19, 2008 and December 31, 2008.
19 As measured by one year annualized historical daily price volatility.
20 Average volume divided by total shares outstanding.
EFTA00608832
Addendum 4-7
paying companies.
Due to the extremely small number of companies in the sample
which paid dividends, TVA concluded that such an analysis was unlikely to produce
meaningful results.
TVA also completed a holding period analysis by analyzing the impact of
contractual registration rights on implied discounts.
TVA indicated that a large
majority of the 80 transactions in the study had registration rights. TVA performed
additional research to verify the actual registration date, and calculated the number
of days between the transaction date and the actual registration date.
If no
registration statement was filed with respect to a specific transaction, TVA assumed
that the securities remained unregistered for the entire required holding period.21
TVA separated this data into quartiles, resulting in the statistics shown in the
following table.
TVA Analysis of Registration Rights
Quartile
Days Before
Registration
Average
Discount
Median
Discount
Standard
Deviation
I
0-31 da s
11.6%
10.0%
8.0%
2
32-63 da s
14.3%
12.9%
11.3%
3
64-185 da s
20.4%
15.9%
18.4%
4
185+ da s
26.9%
18.8%
18.6%
TVA's registration rights analysis suggests that implied discounts are positively
correlated to implied holding periods.
The growth in the standard deviation for
each quartile also appears to be consistent with the notion that risk increases as the
required holding period grows.
However, Empire noted that the exact period of
time between the transaction date and the registration date may not have been
known in all cases at the time the transactions took place.
MPI 2011 Study:22
In 2011, MPI updated its prior discount study by including
additional private placement transactions from 2000 to September 2009 and
performing additional analyses of the data.
The number of included transactions
expanded from approximately 220 in the original MPI Study covering the 1980 to
1999 period to 1,863 between 1980 and 2009.
Note that MPI excluded companies
whose closing price was less than $1.00 as these stocks were deemed to be
speculative.
The study's authors asserted that private placement discounts are a function of
company-specific factors, transaction-specific factors, and contemporaneous market
conditions.
For each transaction, MPI collected the following information: (1)
21 365 days prior to the change in Rule 144 on February 15, 2008, and 182 days thereafter.
22 Angrist, E., H. Curtiss, Ill and D. Kerrigan, "Regression Analysis and Discounts for Lack of
Marketability," Business Valuation Review, Volume 30, Number 1, pp. 36-48.
EFTA00608833
Addendum 4-8
transaction data such as transaction date, transaction price, stock price prior to the
transaction, registration status, block size, and holding period; (2) issuer-specific
data such as market capitalization, stock volatility and operating and financial
metrics; and (3) market data such as stock market indices and interest rates.
Then
each transaction was classified based on registration status, registered, unregistered,
or agreement to register, both at the transaction date and at the expiration of the
holding period.
Initial Findings: MPI's initial findings that registration status and historical time
periods had a meaningful impact on the implied discount.
Each is discussed below.
Registration Status: Of the 1,863 transactions in the study, 402 were unregistered,
203 were registered, and 1,258 either had registration rights or agreements to
register at a later date or were subsequently registered.
As shown in the table
below, the unregistered shares had the highest average discount, shares with some
registration rights or were later registered exhibited a somewhat lower average
discount, and registered shares had the lowest discount.
Discounts by Registration Status
Status
Observations
Average
Discount
Unregistered
402
22.1
Registration Rights/Agreements or Later Registered
1.258
15.0%
Registered
203
8.7%
Total
1,863
15.9%
Time Period: Transactions in unregistered shares were divided into four distinct time
periods that match the changes in holding period restrictions: (i) prior to 1990 (time
period I); (ii) between 1990 and April 1997 (time period II); (iii) between May
1997 and February 2008 (time period III); and (iv) after February 2008 (time
period IV). The discounts by time period are shown in the following table.
Discounts by Time Period
Time Period
Observations
Average
Discount
Median
Discount
Pre-1990
79
30.5%
32.3%
1990-4/1997
110
25.1%
22.5%
5/1997 - 2/2008
164
20.8%
16.6%
Post 2/2008
49
5.9%
5.0%
Total
402
22.1%
19.6
EFTA00608834
Addendum 49
Regression Analysis & Conclusions:
MPI performed a detailed regression analysis
to measure the impact of a variety of factors, including: (1) registration status; (2)
market conditions during the time period in which the transaction occurred, as
measured by the 30-year Treasury yield and the S&P Twelve-Month Index; (3) the
company's stock price volatility; (4) the company's market capitalization; (5) the
volatility of the S&P; and (6) several company-specific factors, including price-to-
book ratios, revenue, and prior year earnings.
MPI had the observations listed
below upon the completion of its study.
1. The changes in SEC Rule 144 holding periods have had a significant impact
on private placement discounts, with sharp decreases in discounts as the
holding period shortened.
2. Unregistered shares without the prospect of being registered in the near term
resulted in large private placement discounts.
3. Private placement discounts were also affected by market conditions, as
measured by yield on the 30-year Treasury (higher yields lead to lower
discounts) and performance of the S&P 500 (stronger performance in the
prior year leads to higher discounts).
4. The relationship between market capitalization and private placement discounts
has varied over the years.
Prior to 1997 (during the two year holding
periods), there was a significant relationship between size and private
placement discounts. After 1997, size seems to have less of an impact.
5. Volatility in the company's stock price had a significant impact on the
private placement discount, as higher volatility leads to larger discounts.
6. Lastly, revenue, earnings, stock market volatility and industry factors had
little impact on the private placement discounts.
Stout Risius Ross, Inc. ("SRR") Restricted Stock Study:23
In 2011, Stout Risius
Ross, Inc. published The SRR Restricted Stock Study (the "SRI? Study").
The SRR
Study included restricted stock transactions that had announcement dates between
September 2005 and May 2010.
According to SRR, this study: (1) provided
updated data and analysis to measure the impact of the reduction in Rule 144
holding period from twelve months to six months, which was enacted on February
15, 2008; (2) helped to quantify, since the data included the financial crisis of
2008, the way in which restricted stock discounts change during different market
environments and in periods of heightened volatility; and (3) provided a more robust
and comprehensive data set by including numerous ways to analyze factors such as
size, growth, profitability, risk, and financial market conditions.
23 The SRR Restricted Stock Study. Stout Risius Ross, Inc., 2011.
EFTA00608835
Addendum 4-10
Screening Criteria:
In order to minimize factors other than lack of marketability
that could contribute to the restricted stock discount, SRR utilized the following
screening criteria: (1) determination that the company was not a development-stage
company; (2) establishment of a minimum $1.00 stock price to remove the
companies that were likely trading at a speculative price; (3) exclusion of financially
distressed companies; (4) requirement of minimum six-month average daily trading
volume greater than 10,000 shares in order to consider only actively traded
companies; (5) removal of transactions between related parties; (6) exclusion of
transactions involving financial institutions which may have issued restricted stock
under duress in order to satisfy regulatory capital requirements; and (7) removal of
transactions involving significant control attributes such as board seats.
Initial Findings:
Based on the above criteria, 98 transactions involving companies
in a variety of industries were selected.
The price at which the transactions were
consummated was then compared with the price one day prior to the transaction
announcement date.
Overall, these transactions exhibited average and median
discounts of 10.9% and 9.3%, respectively.
Quantity of transactions over time: During market turmoil, companies often find it
difficult to complete private placement transactions because there are fewer interested
investors.
During the financial crisis during the fourth quarter of 2008 and first
quarter of 2009, there were no transactions that occurred that satisfied SRR's
screening criteria.
Discounts by industry: SRR noted that different industries exhibited varying
discounts.
For example, the 18 transactions involving manufacturing companies
exhibited an average discount of 14.6% while the 10 transactions involving
transportation, communication, and utilities companies exhibited an average discount
of 7.9%.
Discounts prior to and after Rule 144 change: SRR noted that the 73 transactions
prior to enactment of the Rule 144 change in 2008 had median and average
discounts of 9.3% and 10.6%, while the 25 transactions after had median and
average discounts of 11.1% and 11.5%. This is contrary to what one would expect
when the holding period was shortened from one year to six months.
Additional
factors may explain this trend, as discussed below.
1. Transaction activity declined drastically during the financial crisis in 2008.
As a result, the small sample size after the rule change makes it difficult to
draw effective conclusions.
2. The volatility for the overall stock market and the companies in the study
increased significantly after 2008.
It is possible that the increased market
EFTA00608836
Addendum 411
volatility offset any decrease in the discount attributable to the shortened
holding period.
3. The majority of transactions in the study included registration rights granted
to the acquirer.
The presence of registration rights mitigates any impact
from the Rule 144 change as someone who has been granted registrations
rights within six months would not be impacted by the change.
Statistical Analysis:
In addition to the comparisons of discounts to industry and
time period, SRR also performed two statistical analyses of the data.
First, a
linear regression was performed with the independent variable being company
specific factors and the dependent variable being the restricted stock discount.
Factors that were statistically significant at the 5% level were deemed to exhibit a
"very strong" relationship.
However, due to the nature of private placement
transactions, few factors were significant at the 5% level.
Therefore, a quartile
analysis was also performed to determine if there were any apparent linear
relationships for the remaining factors.
Those factors that showed a consistently
increasing trend (i.e., each subsequent quartile exhibited an equal or greater average
discount than the prior quartile) were deemed to exhibit a "strong" relationship,
those factors that showed a generally increasing trend (e.g., the third and fourth
quartiles exhibited larger average discounts than the first and second quartiles) were
deemed to exhibit a "moderate" relationship.
Very Strong Relationships: The following factors exhibited very strong relationships
with the restricted stock discount.
1. Volatility: Investors were expected to demand larger discounts for companies
with greater volatility.
Volatility was determined to be significant at the 5%
level and consistently increased from the first quartile to the fourth quartile,
increasing from 6.3% to 16.6% as shown below.
Annualized Volatility
1
2
3
4
Quartile Range
<36.7%
36.7'
to 47.9%
47.9% to 68.9%
>68.9%.
Average Discount
6.3%
8.7%
13.4%
16.6%
Median Discount
7.0%
8.5%
14.4%
16.1%
2. Block size: Larger blocks were expected to warrant a higher discount since it
would take longer for an investor to liquidate them after the expiration of
Rule 144 holding period.
Block size (as measured by the shares placed as a
percentage of shares outstanding) was determined to be significant at the 5%
level and exhibited a very strong linear relationship as shown below.
EFTA00608837
Addendum 4-12
Block Size
4
Quartile Range
<6.6%
6.6% to 13.3%
13.3% to 19.3%
>19.3%
Average Discount
6.5%
10.6%
12.2%
14.2%
Median Discount
6.5%
9.1%
9.5%
12.4%
3. Dividends: Transactions involving dividend-paying companies were expected to
feature lower discounts as consistent, meaningful dividends provide a current
return and reduce the importance of an uncertain future liquidity event. The
companies that paid a dividend traded at an average discount of 7.4% while
discounts for non-dividend-paying companies were higher at 11.9%.
The
results were deemed to be significant at the 5% level and are summarized in
the following table.
Dividends
Dividends
No Dividends
V of Transactions
23
75
Average Dividend Yield
5.2%
0.0%
Average Discount
7.4%
11.9%
Median Discount
7.7%
10.1%
Strong Relationship: Companies with higher profitability were viewed as more stable
and therefore investors were expected to require a smaller discount for these
companies.
LTM EBITDA Margin
1
3
4
Quartile Range
>30.2%
11.9% to 30.2%
5.tr; to I tin
<5.0%
Average Discount
9.0%
10.3%
I I.9ci
12.2%
Median Discount
7.5%
9.3%
9.9%
11.0%
Moderate Relationships:
The following factors exhibited moderate relationships with
the restricted stock discount.
1. Growth: Companies with higher growth were expected to exhibit lower
discounts since investors are compensated for their longer holding period with
growth during that time period. SRR reviewed 21 growth factors and nearly
every growth factor exhibited a moderate relationship.
The strongest
relationship related to EBITDA growth over the last fiscal year ("LFY") as
shown below.
EFTA00608838
Addendum 4-13
LFY EBITDA Growth
1
3
4
Q uartile Range
>88.4%
32.0% to 88.4%
2.2% to 32.0%
<2.2%
Average Discount
9.5%
10.0%
10.2%
11.9%
Median Discount
7.8%
10.1%
9.9%
10.6%
2. Size: Larger companies were expected to exhibit lower discounts since they
are subject to less risk because they have established products and customers
and greater liquidity.
SRR considered various size metrics, including
revenues,
earnings,
enterprise
value,
book
value
of
equity,
market
capitalization, and total assets.
The majority of these metrics resulted in a
moderate relationship with the transaction discount.
3. Leverage: Companies with lower financial leverage were generally perceived
as less risky and therefore were expected to exhibit lower discounts.
SRR
considered
various
leverage
ratios,
including
interest
coverage
and
debt/EBITDA.
The majority of the leverage ratios predicted on interest
coverage resulted in a moderate relationship, with the three-year average
interest coverage ratio exhibiting the strongest relationship as shown below.
3-Year Average EBIT/Interest Expense
1
3
4
Quartile Range
> 13.2x
2.8x to 13.2x
0.7x to 2.8x
<0.7x
Average Discount
7.9%
11.8%
11.8%
12.2%
Median Discount
7.7%
13.3%
9.5%
9.2%
Conclusion:
Overall, the transactions SRR analyzed exhibited average and median
discounts of 10.9% and 9.3%, respectively, which were generally lower than
restricted stock discounts from prior years when holding periods were longer. SRR
also concluded that the Rule 144 change appeared to have had minimal impact on
private placement discounts due to the registration rights attached to these
transactions.
Additionally, the global financial crisis resulted in a drastic decline in
private placement transactions due to investors' flight to quality.
Lastly, SRR
concluded that the most reliable factors influencing the transaction discounts were
volatility, block size, dividends, profitability, growth, and size.
EFTA00608839
Addendum 4-14
Quantitative Analysis of FMV Database
A. FMV Restricted Stock Study
Overview: In 2013, FMV updated The FMV Restricted Stock Stud?" 24 (the "2013
Discount Study").
At March 2013, the 2013 Discount Study contained data on 779
restricted stock transactions occurring from 1980 to 2013.
The study provided data
on approximately 50 variables for each transaction.
FMV used multiple techniques
to define the market reference price including: (1) the stated discount, if explicitly
in the language describing the transaction; (2) the closing market price as of the
date prior to the agreement date; or (3) the closing market price as of the day
prior to either the announcement date or the closing date, whichever occurred first.
For many transactions in the 2013 Discount Study, only the month of the
transaction, rather than the exact transaction date, was specified. In those instances,
FMV used the highest and lowest average stock price for the month of the
transaction.
Analysis:
In its analysis, FMV eliminated all transactions which occurred at a
premium to the market price. It is assumed that these transactions had deal-specific
characteristics that were available to a specific investor, and are not generally
representative of the overall market for restricted stocks.
When transactions
involving premiums are excluded, the sample set declines to 715 transactions.
This
group of 715 transactions exhibited an average restricted stock discount of 21%, and
a median restricted stock discount of 16.1%.
A summary of transactions by time
periods, which coincides with changes in the Rule 144 holding period, is presented
in the following table.
FMV Restricted Stock Study Transactions'`
Time Period
Observations
Median
Discount
Pre-1990
65
23.7%
1990 - 3/31/97
178
21.15E
4/1/97 - 11/15/07
342
15.7%
11/16/07 - 2013
130
12.0%
Total
715
16.1%
24 Determining Discounts for lack of Marketability: A Companion Guide to The FMV Restricted Stock
Study.tm' FMV Opinions, Inc., 2013 (data within study current through March 2013).
23 Excluding transactions that transacted at a premium.
EFTA00608840
Addendum 4-15
Several conclusions reached by the 2013 Discount Study are listed below.
1. The median discounts varied slightly across industries. This conclusion is based
upon an analysis of 715 underlying transactions by primary SIC grouping.
However, FMV noted that differences between observed discounts were more
the result of differing key financial data than from the SIC group itself.
This
supports the assertion that the most important determinants of marketability are:
(1) company-specific risk factors; and (2) the differential in observed discounts
between small and large blocks of restricted stock.
2. Observed discounts tend to increase in periods of overall economic and financial
uncertainty.
3. Observed discounts tend to be inversely related to measures of company size,
including revenue, book value, market value, and total assets; i.e., as these
measures increase, discounts tend to decrease. Companies with larger revenues,
book value, market value, or total assets will tend to be more financially stable
than smaller companies, suggesting a lower degree of financial risk.
4. Observed discounts tend to be higher for companies with lower market values
of equity.
The market capitalization is perceived as a measure of increased
financial risk.
5. Observed discounts tend to be inversely related to profitability.
No clear
relationship was identified between the absolute dollar value of a firm profit and
observed discounts.
However, profitable firms (as measured by net profit
margin) were observed to have lower discounts than firms which were not
profitable.
6. Dividend-paying firms have lower observed discounts than non-dividend paying
firms.
7. The 2013 Discount Study identified the market-to-book ("MTB") ratio as a
measure of balance sheet risk not tied directly to firm size.
It was observed
that discounts tended to increase as MTB ratios increased.
Additionally, firms
with a market value below book value, or firms with a negative book value,
were also considered more risky.
8. Observed discounts tend to increase as stock price volatility increases.
Stock
price volatility is an observable measure of risk.
As risk increases, discounts
can be expected to increase.
9. The size of the block of restricted stock being sold impacts the expected
holding period because of the limitations imposed by Rule 144 following the
expiration of the initial restriction period; i.e., larger blocks of restricted stock
EFTA00608841
Addendum 416
are frequently subject to the "dribble-out" provisions of Rule 144, which limits
the number of shares that can be sold in a given three-month period.
As a
result, the required holding period generally increases with block size.
Observed discounts increase as the expected holding period increases, with
holding periods expressed in terms of block size.
In the valuation of interests
in closely-held companies, regardless of the block size of the subject interest in
the closely-held company, the transaction in the data set involving large blocks
of restricted stock become most comparable because they represent the most
illiquid blocks of restricted stocks being traded.
Registration Rights Analysis:
FMV indicated that registration rights may be
negotiated with the issuing company to provide for possible liquidity prior to the
end of the required holding period.
The presence of registration rights agreements
tends to improve the liquidity of restricted stock.
When the data in FMV's study
is adjusted to remove transactions including registration rights, the trend in the
implied discounts tends to confirm this conclusion.
This is presented in the table
below.
FMV Restricted Stock Study Transactions"
Time Period
Observations
Median
Discount
Pre-1990
58
23.2%
1990 - 3/31/97
141
21.0%
4/1/97 - 11/15/07
169
21.1%
11/16/07 - 2013
27
14.4%
Total
395
20.2%
B. Empire's Analysis of the 2013 Discount Study Data
Overview: The underlying data from the 2013 Discount Study can be used to
estimate a discount for lack of marketability for closely-held companies.
The 2013
Discount Study recommends using a multi-step process in which: (1) a quantitative
analysis of the company-specific risk factors result in an "as if" publicly traded
restricted stock discount (the "Restricted Stock Equivalent Discount"); and (2) a
second quantitative analysis is used to estimate an incremental discount above the
Restricted
Stock
Equivalent
Discount
to
recognize
the
similar
illiquidity
characteristics between privately-held companies and large blocks of restricted stock
(the "Private Company Discount Increment").
Empire analyzed the data set in the 2013 Discount Study as guidance in estimating
discounts for lack of marketability for certain interests in privately-held businesses.
26 Excluding transactions that transacted at a premium and those that included registration rights.
EFTA00608842
Addendum 4-17
We then applied the two-step process described in the preceding paragraph to
estimate a reasonable discount for lack of marketability to apply in valuing the
interests.
We applied the quantitative analysis described in the first step using a sample of the
most liquid restricted stock transactions to estimate a Restricted Stock Equivalent
Discount, limiting the sample to transactions involving block sizes of 20% or less
of a firm's outstanding stock following the restricted stock transaction."
We then
estimated a range of Private Company Discount Increments based on the discount
differential between small and large block restricted stock transactions.
Analysis: The 2013 Discount Study dataset included 779 transactions.
Between the
time when FMV published the 2013 Discount Study and when Empire analyzed the
underlying data (September 2013), three additional transactions were added to
database.
As such, 782 transactions were considered in Empire's analysis.
Again,
the discounts observed in the study data are calculated from the difference between
the price for the restricted shares and one of the following, depending on the level
of pricing disclosure: (1) the stated discount, if explicitly stated in the language
describing the transaction; (2) the closing market price as of the date prior to the
agreement date; (3) the closing market price as of the day prior to either the
announcement date or the closing date, whichever occurred first; or (4) the average
of the highest and lowest market price of the company's shares for the month of
the transaction if the specific transaction date was not disclosed.
Empire first reduced the sample to 717 transactions by removing 65 transactions
which occurred at a premium.
These transactions were removed because it was
considered to be highly likely that observed premiums were due to material
company-specific or transaction-specific factors, as an illiquidity premium is
counterintuitive and not consistent with financial theory.
Empire further reduced the data set by excluding 320 transactions in which the
subject block of restricted stock included registration rights.
It is recognized that
registration rights improve marketability, and that the shares of closely-held
companies do not have such rights.
This screen reduced the sample set to 397
transactions.
The remaining sample of 397 transactions was separated into two groups, based on
block size, using a break point between the small and large block samples of 20%
" Because of the relatively long periods generally required to liquidate larger blocks of restricted
stock following the expiration of the initial restricted period, larger blocks of restricted stock in
the 2013 Discount Study data set tend to have illiquidity characteristics more similar to stock in
privately-held companies (in blocks of any size), for which no market exists. Therefore, an
adjustment based on the differential discounts between small and large blocks of restricted stock is
appropriate to estimate a discount for lack of marketability.
EFTA00608843
Addendum 4-18
of the subject firm's outstanding stock following the transaction.
There were 345
transactions involving blocks of less than 20%, and 52 transactions involving blocks
greater than 20%.
Finally, the 345 transactions involving blocks less than 20% were sorted based on
the following metrics selected by Empire: (1) revenue; (2) market value; (3) book
value; (4) total assets; (5) volatility; (6) net profit margin; and (7) dividends.
In
selecting these metrics, several factors were considered, including, but not limited
to, the following: (1) analysis of revenue, market value, book value, total assets,
and volatility produced clear trends in observed discounts across quintiles in the data
set; (2) there were clear differences in median observed discounts between profitable
and unprofitable firms, as measured by net profit margin; and (3) there were clear
differences in median observed discounts between dividend-paying and non-dividend
paying firms. Additional measures of profitability were not included in the selected
metrics because the determinant of financial risk appeared to be profitability versus
lack of profitability, rather than the relative magnitude of profit margins, and
because this test could be applied to all firms.
Empire opted not to utilize the MTB ratio as a measure of risk because it was
recognized
that
challenges
exist
in
interpreting
the
data
and
applying
it
appropriately.
While an MTB ratio below 1.0 times may indicate fmancial distress,
high MTB ratios will not necessarily be caused by balance sheet risk.
For
example, a service business may have stable cash flows and a low asset base.
If
the market places value on the company's stable cash flows, it is likely that the
company will exhibit an MTB ratio in excess of 1.0 times.
As a result, one
cannot assume that a high MTB ratio is a clear indicator of financial risk.
Conclusions: The results of Empire's analysis are summarized below.
•
Analysis of Size Metrics:
Implied restricted stock discounts are inversely
related to a company's size, measured as revenue, market value, book value
or total assets.
This is demonstrated by the trend in the median discounts
for each quintile.
•
Analysis of Risk Metrics:
Discounts are positively correlated with
volatility, given that a greater lack of marketability discount would be
demanded by an investor for taking on greater risk.
•
Analysis of Profitability Metrics:
Discounts are inversely related to net
profit margins.
Many of the companies in the data set are start-up firms
which have not yet reached profitability.
For the 91 companies with a net
profit margin greater than 0%, the median discount was 14.5%.
This
compared to a median of 22.6% for the 229 companies with negative
margins.
EFTA00608844
Addendum 4-19
•
Dividend Payments:
Finally, discounts for dividend paying firms are less
than for those not paying dividends. This result also likely reflects the fact
that dividends provide shareholders with more immediate economic returns,
partially mitigating the impact of illiquidity.
A company's dividend history
and
expectations
for
dividends
going
forward
should
therefore
be
considered, as a richer payout policy provides an early form of liquidity.
Block Size Analysis:
In addition to the initial holding period requirements under
Rule 144, restricted stock is subject to a "dribble out" provision following the
expiration of the holding period.
This provision limits the volume of quarterly
resales to the greater of: (1) one percent of the total shares outstanding; or (2) the
average weekly trading volume for the four weeks preceding the sale? Therefore,
a 20% block could take up to five years after the expiration of the initial holding
period to fully resell.
Because of the relatively long periods generally required to
liquidate larger blocks of restricted stocks following the expiration of the initial
restriction period, larger blocks of restricted stock in the 2013 Discount Study data
set tend to have illiquidity characteristics more similar to stock in privately-held
companies (in blocks of any size), or which no market exists.
As described earlier, there were 52 transactions involving blocks of more than 20%.
These were reviewed, and segmented further as block size increased up to 40% and
greater. This additional segmentation further reflects that observed median discounts
tend to increase with block size.
Block Size Comparative Analysis
Observations
Median
Discount
More than 40%
5
42.3%
More than 35%
6
40.4%
More than 30%
12
41.6%
More than 25%
23
38.5%
More than 20%
52
25.5%
20% or Less
345
20.0%
The median discount for blocks less than 20% was 20.0%, while median discounts
for transactions involving larger blocks ranges from 25.5% to 42.3%. These results
demonstrate that larger blocks of restricted stock are more illiquid than smaller
blocks of restricted stock.
As noted earlier, larger blocks of restricted stock (i.e., blocks representing more
than 20% of post-transaction shares outstanding) are considered to be more similar
28 For OTCBB and Pink Sheets companies, only the 1% of outstanding metric applies.
EFTA00608845
Addendum 4-20
to the securities of privately-held companies (in blocks of any size) due to the
liquidity issues they face.
Therefore, if a Restricted Stock Equivalent Discount is
estimated based on an analysis of the subject company's financial risk characteristics
relative to small blocks of restricted stock (i.e., blocks representing less than 20%
of post-transaction shares outstanding), an adjustment based on the differential
discounts between small and large blocks of restricted stock is appropriate to
estimate a discount for lack of marketability.
As discussed previously, this is
referred to as the Private Company Discount Increment.
C. Quantitative Analysis Based on 2013 Discount Study
Based on Empire's analysis of the 2013 Discount Study data, we estimated a
reasonable range of discounts for lack of marketability.
In doing so, an estimated
Restricted Stock Equivalent Discount was developed by comparing the subject's
financial metrics to the size, risk, profitability, and distribution paying metrics
analyzed by Empire in the previous section.
Next, a range of Private Company
Discount Increments was developed based on the block size analysis described
earlier.
This results in an estimated range of reasonable discounts for lack of
marketability for the subject interest.
Restricted Stock Equivalent Discount:
The seven variables which were identified
and described earlier are considered in the calculation of the Restricted Stock
Equivalent Discount.
They include measures of size (revenue, market value, book
value, and total assets), volatility, net profit margin, and dividends.
Private Company Discount Increment:
As discussed earlier, the selection of the
Restricted Stock Equivalent Discount was based upon an analysis of the subject's
financial characteristics relative to the financial characteristics of transactions
involving blocks of restricted stock representing less than 20% of the post-
transaction shares outstanding.
However, it was shown earlier that transactions
involving large blocks of restricted stock (i.e., greater than 20% of the post-
transaction shares outstanding) have illiquidity characteristics more in common with
the equity of closely-held companies.
This is because the volume limitations
imposed by Rule 144 following the expiration of the initial restriction period
generally prevent large blocks of restricted stock from being sold quickly; i.e., the
liquidity issues associated with larger blocks of restricted stock are generally much
more significant than those associated with smaller blocks of restricted stock due to
the Rule 144 volume limitations.
EFTA00608846
Appendix A-1
Apollo Entities
Defined Terms for Black Family Partners LP Investments
A. Apollo Operating Group Units ("AOG Units")
•
A signed copy of the Amended and Restated Tax Receivable Agreement
by
and among APO Corp., Apollo Principal Holdings II, LP ("APH II"),
Apollo Principal Holdings IV, LP ("APH IV"), Apollo Principal Holdings
VI, LP ("APH VI"), Apollo Principal Holdings VIII, LP ("APH
Apollo Management Holdings ("AMH") and any other entity or persons
which APO Corp acquired an interest from, dated May 6, 2013 (the
"TRA");
•
A signed copy of Apollo's Amended and Restated Limited Liability Company
Agreement, dated July 13, 2007 (the "Apollo Agreement");
•
A signed copy of the Agreement Among Principals, dated July 13, 2007 (the
"Principals Agreement");
•
A signed copy of the Amended and Restated Exchange Agreement, dated
May 6, 2013 (the "Exchange Agreement");
•
A signed copy of the Shareholders Agreement, dated July 13, 2007, and a
signed copy of the First Amendment and Joinder, dated August 18, 2009, by
and among Apollo, AP Professional Holdings L.P., BRH Holdings L.P.,
Black Family Partners L.P., MJR Foundation LLC, Leon D. Black, Marc J.
Rowan and Joshua Harris (the "Shareholder Agreement");
•
A copy of BRH Holdings, L.P.'s ("BRH") initial Exempted Limited
Partnership Agreement, dated July 13, 2007 (the "BRH Agreement"); and
B. Apollo Co-Invest Entities
The Co-Invest Entities' are invested in funds affiliated with Apollo.
•
Apollo Co-Investors IV, LLC ("ACIV")
•
Apollo Co-Investors V, LLC ("ACV")
•
Apollo Co-Investors VI (A), LLC ("ACVI")2
•
Apollo Credit Opportunities Co-Investors III (A), LP ("ACC III")
Collectively, ACIV, ACV, ACVI, ACC III, AVC, ASC and FCI II are referred to as the "Co-
Invest Entities?
2 ACVI is formerly known as Apollo Co-Investors VI, LLC
EFTA00608847
Appendix A-2
Apollo Entities
Defined Terms for Black Family Partners LP Investments
• Apollo SOMA Co-Investors, LLC ("ASC")
• FCI Co-Investors II (A), L.P. ("FCI II")
C. Apollo Related Entities
•
AP Technology Partners LLC ("APTP")
•
AP SHL Investors LLC ("APSHL")
D. Investments Not related to Apollo
•
Athene Holding, Ltd. ("AHL")
•
Anchorage Capital Partners ("ACP")
•
Canyon Value Realization Fund ("CVRF")
•
King Street Capital ("KSC")
•
Lone Cascade, LP ("LC")
•
Millennium Group USA ("MG")
•
HAO Capital Fund II, LP ("HAO")
•
Wolfensohn Capital Partners, LP ("WCP")
•
Tenfore Holdings Fund I, LP ("TEN4")
•
iCrete LLC ("iCrete")
•
Truckast LLC ("Truckast")
•
Knowledge Universe Education, LP ("KUE")
•
Environmental Solutions Worldwide ("ESWW")
•
Rally Labs, LLC ("Rally")
•
Artbinder Inc. ("Anbinder")
•
Curation Media, Inc. ("Curation")
EFTA00608848
EXHIBIT A
COMPARATIVE INCOME STATEMENTS
BLACK FAMILY PARTNERS, LP
FOR THE YEARS ENDED DECEMBER 31,
INTERNAL
INTERNAL
HISTORY
2010
HISTORY
2011
HISTORY
2012
HISTORY
2013
HISTORY
2014
Interest Income
39,559,148
33,249,458
50,219,778
4,661,369
651,615
Dividends
2,276,840
7,417,671
27,525,302
482,906
482,906
Portfolio Income
3,403,283
4,774,754
10,060,768
0
0
Passthrough Income
0
2,119,698
133,861
0
0
Net Short•Term Capital Gain (Loss)
20,437,720
6,212,510
4,584,881
0
0
Net Long•Term Capital Gain (Loss)
20,885.007
70.875,303
219,985.333
7.409.899
(2.150.877)
TOTAL REVENUES
86,561,998
124,649,394
312,509,923
12,554,174
(1,016,356)
Depreciation
5,488
0
5
0
Deductions Related to Portfolio Income
8,880,968
8,173,457
10,634,735
18,500,000
21,000,000
Charitable Contributions
181
108,728
1,722
0
Travel and Entertainment
0
7,642
473,595
0
Miscellaneous Expenses
0
0
0
1.682.909
2300.57
Total Operating Expenses
8.886.637
8.289.827
11.110.057
20.182.909
23.300.57
NET OPERATING INCOME
77,675,361
116,359,567
301,399,866
(7,628,735)
(24,316,93
Ordinary Income from Partnerships
(1,161,368)
14,762,810
52,580,261
Interest Expense
(5,657,423)
(20,509,986)
(24,876,987)
Real Estate Income
4,249
5,455
17,113
Amortization Expenditures
(919,361)
(919,833)
(734,176)
Foreign Taxes
(66,945)
(930,893)
(1,028,670)
Unrealized Gains (Loss)
0
0
0
1,950,867,85
(472,018,285)
Other Income
0
1.938.329
13.055.195
Total Other Income (Expense)
(7.800.848)
(7.592.447)
25.957.541
1.952.806.188
(458.963.090)
PRE-TAX INCOME
69,874,513
108,767,120
327,357,407
1,945,177.453
(483,280.022)
Provision (Benefit) for Taxes
0
0
0
0
NET INCOME
69.874.513
108.767.120
327.357.407
1.945.177.453
(483.280.022)
FinanciaStaterneols for 2010 ihrough 2012 swat,' using Me rectmis of Rath. Ende. Maffei & Co LLP and ate presented on a non-GAAP basis. Prtancial Statements It, 2013 and lanyard ate
int et ")
prepared by Management
EFTA00608849
EXHIBIT B
COMPARATIVE BALANCE SHEETS
BLACK FAMILY PARTNERS, LP
FOR THE YEARS ENDED DECEMBER 31,
ASSETS
INTERNAL
INTERNAL
HISTORY
2010
HISTORY
2011
HISTORY
2012
HISTORY
2013
HISTORY
2014
Cash and Equivalents
56.286.395
13289.724
18.748.910
5.819.649
18.320838
Accrued Interest
0
0
0
896.557
203.013
Investments
987.923.724
965.786.061 1.139.271.686
0
0
Other Receivables
0
0
0
3.315.619
10,286.821
Total Current Assets
1.044.210.119
979.075.785
1.158.020.596
10.031.825
28.818.672
Loans Receivable
0
75.000.000
136.000.000
99.547.077
61.491.093
Due To/From LBF Holdings. LLC
0
0
0
2.105.809
0
Apollo Investment Corp Stocks
8.319.017
8.318.966
8.319.017
0
0
Marketable Securities and Direct Investments
0
0
0
101.974.930
110.863.533
Apollo Investments (Private)
0
0
0
3.002.864.421
2.240.570333
Investment Partnerships (Private)
0
0
0
61.947.079
57.367.722
Deferred Tax Asset • TRA Benefit
0
0
0
302.797.259
228.950000
Deferred Tax Asset • TRA Div 2007
0
0
0
87.113,203
95.798.116
Other Assets
0
0
5.081.091
10.695.823
202.342
Total Other Assets
8.319.017
83.318.966
149.400.108
3.669.045.602
2.795,258.139
TOTAL ASSETS
1.052.529.136 1.062.394.751 1.307.420.704
3,679.077.427
2.824.076.811
LIABILITIES & PARTNERS' CAPITAL
TOTAL LIABILITIES
0
0
78.200
4.720.594
0
Partners' Capital Accounts
1.052.529.136 1.062.394.751
1.307.342.504
3.674.356.833
2.824.076.811
Total Partners' Capital
1.052.529.136 1.062.394.751 1.307.342.504
3.674.356.833
2.824.076.811
TOTAL LIABILITIES & PARTNERS' CAPITAL
1.052.529.136 1.062.394.751 1.307.420.704
3.679.077.427
2.824.076.811
Pinata) Statements for 2010 Weigh 2012 compOed using rbeteomds of Rath. Enda Malfm & Co LLP and me presented on a non-GAAP basis. FInancial Stafesnana for 2013 and forward me
(NNW* prtplred by Management.
EFTA00608850
EXHIBIT C
COMPARATIVE CASH FLOW STATEMENTS
BLACK FAMILY PARTNERS, LP
FOR THE YEARS ENDED DECEMBER 31,
CASH FLOW FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES
INTERNAL
INTERNAL
HISTORY
2010
HISTORY
2011
HISTORY
2012
HISTORY
2013
HISTORY
2014
Net Income
69,874,513
108,767,120
327,357,407
1,945,177,463
(483,280,022)
Adjustments to reconcile Net Income to Net Cash
Provided from Operating ActMlles
Depreciation
5,488
0
5
0
0
Change in Accounting Convention
0
0
0
904,751,039
0
(Inc.) Dec. in Accrued Interest
62,496
0
0
(896,557)
693,544
(Inc.) Dec. in Loans Receivable
45,000,000
(75,000,000)
(61,000,000)
36,452,923
38,055,984
(Inc.) Dec. in Other Assets
0
0
(5,081,091)
(5,614,732)
10,493,481
(Inc.) Dec. in Other Receivables
0
0
0
(3,315,619)
(6,971,202)
Due To/From LBF Holdings. LLC
280,983,533
0
0
(2,105,809)
2,105.809
Inc. (Dec.) in Total Liabilities
0
0
78.200
4.642.394
(4.720.594)
Net Cash Provided By (Used In) Operating Activities
395 926 030
33 767 120
261 354 521
2 879 091 091
443 623 000
CASH FLOW FROM INVESTING ACTIVITIES
Capital Expenditures
(5,48
0
(5)
0
0
Investments
(23,027,73
22,137,683
(173,485,625) 1,139,271,686
0
Apollo Investment Corp Stocks
(8,319,01
51
(51)
8,319,017
0
Marketable Securities and Direct Investments
0
(101,974,930)
(8,888,603)
Apollo Investments (Private)
0 (3,002,884,421)
762,285,088
Investment Partnerships (Private)
0
(61,947,079)
4,579,357
Deferred Tax Asset • TRA Benefit
0
(302,797,259)
73,841,259
Deferred Tax Asset • TRA Div 2007
0
(87.113.203)
(8.684.913)
Net Cash Provided By (Used In) Investing Activities
(31,352.24
22.137,71
(173.485.681) (2.409,106.189)
823.132.188
CASH FLOW FROM FINANCING ACTIVITIES
Contributions
0
93,466,375
0
0
0
Distributions
(342,109,052)
(192,367,880)
(82,409,654)
(462,914,162)
(367,000,000)
Prior Year Adjustment
770
0
0
0
0
Net Cash Provided By (Used In) Financing Activities
(342.108.282)
(98.901.505)
(82.409.654)
(462.914.162)
(367.000.000)
NET INCREASE (DECREASE) IN CASH
22,465,506
(42,996,671)
5,459,186
(12,929,260)
12,509,188
Beginning Cash
33.820.889
56.286.395
13,289,724
18,748.910
5.819.649
Ending Cash
56.286.395
13.289.724
18.748.910
5.819.650
18.328.838
Financial Statements for 2010 Through 202 oantated using Me moards of Rath. Ende. Matter & Co UP and me preseMed on a non-GAAP basis. Fttranclal StatenientS10, 2013 and forward are
internally prepared by Management
EFTA00608851
EXHIBIT 0
CALCULATION OF NET ASSET VALUE
BLACK FAMILY PARTNERS. LP
AS Of JUNE 3.2015
/665Fig
SUPPOHTW0
Exli•INT
CAPITAL
ACCOUNT BALANCE
ADJUSTMENTS
JU>TLD
-1
/2
BOOK VALUE
Aneli
Cosh JI Maeletable Socurtles
B4.6, of ~Onto • Chocking Acorn 5 Money MEAD: Fur46
515.930181
33
314930.181
0.7%
JP Mooan Brokers, AcccuNc • C.N.,
JP MooanBrokeraoo AcccuNc • Apolo Iwourmani Cap økkix AMY,
Na
mo
Na
19.433
14.712693
50
50
19.433
00%
14.768123
02%
JP Morgan Beokeraoo AcccuNc • Ennetrunottal Soknons WNW <Tina SST"
Na
3963.520
a.6.352.
5777.158
OD%
JP MorganW*8442x Actors • AP Manske Ands LP. (TietatAAA • lensweNtE
Na
11.055.828
SO
$1.055221
OD%
K12 inc.(Tietar:U1N)
Na
3927.853
50
1227463
OD%
Apollo Flied Tors BEY, "NNE* Equity Illionlinsols)
ApolloColn/Eton; N. LLC
E.1 through 23
1398.708
Ø9O.7011
5290,060
00%
ApolloG.68=m V. LLC
E.11krou9nE3
12.372264
(Ø%.9141
11.780.060
0.1%
Apollo GaInvostors V1 (A). LLC
E.11krou9nE3
523.519.975
l$4599175)
118220.0CD
02%
ApdloCrollOpponuillin Co•knosurs IN JAI. LP
E.1 through 53
16.084.149
152.131.149)
33250.CCO
02%
~Apollo FMS Tr Billies (Rival* Faulty brocl Inlores4s1
IMO Ceptal ',OE II LP
6.11hrougn E-3
13.822218
(8952.318)
128)0/350
0.1%
Woren~ Coplol Pantem LP
64 ihrough 5-3
$1.494.393
C1524.393)
22/00
OD%
Tonle,. INA:~ Fund I LP
6.11firougn E-3
3998593
(83411593)
5850/00
OD%
Apollo Copal MSS Funds 040490 Fund Direct Invosimonis)
Apollo 505660>Irnmses.LLC
FA itwougiNF.3
12.857.390
4177.393)
12.680.603
0.1%
FCI Colnvosien • (4). LP
F.11firourin F-3
512.709.156
113209.156)
93,900.060
0.4%
ASK« 114180.2 Ud.
FA through F-3
162.030200
1146080001
338400000
IS%
AP Tochrdogir Potato. L.P.
FA through F-3
325.579
(67.579)
$111,060
00%
AP SHL lisps. LLC
F.1 through F.3
so
so
SO
OD%
Nonapollo Cops, Markin Funds (Hodge Fund Wool Invosisons]
Anchorapneop,s P&rwi's
FA through F.3
518.603.995
111(1.995)
117.300.060
0.7%
Con8an Volvo Pt:4148,0n 4.49
FA through F.3
519.79).178
(1990.178)
1184100.060
02%
Kra] Svea CEng
FA through 5.3
$1.02.1.387
(5304.3971
5720.060
OD%
Lone GEM,. LP
F.$ [Nosh f3
1211.365.105
41415.1051
5261500S
12%
1.4110-rken Crap USA
F.1 Sough f3
$27.968.954
41.111191ø
526.6500S
12%
B6$414~0*(AP 0110 OPsOloil GPJP1
Apollo ~sing Group WEE
0.1
12108.152119
($338.152.119)
31.770000,050
785%
Tax 144444/able AoroononlITRAI Borom for Apolb CporalP4 Cro4>una
G3
SO
$195.100.000
5195.000,060
8.4%
I'S Dhisa • Jiy 2007 Transaelon
0.5
so
181.403.003
181.00002
35%
Aliscalinous Womb
Te9:129 LLO
$1.263.070
Mann
$298201
OD%
522.95120e
154410.2411
515.040.5•36
02%
101261. 1/
U140149 Edwatir LP
NU Monern,enl.
526.612
C46.9021
$21210
OD%
Corobr LISA
5650.000
(5227.500)
42242
OD%
ESY/W Cowen., Rohe
52.993373
05562.3721
$2.441.<07
0.1%
Italy LE» the
1181277
~.447)
8117830
OD%
Anbrder Inc
$9898
(83.489)
WEB
OD%
Promissory Naas and RecoNabån
Duo from Leon O. Blik. AY
542.157.000
83
342.157.050
IS%
Duo from LEIF Hol:Inos LLC
1174.135
83
$174.135
OD%
Duo from PLO LLC. ircLeino4484.4.3 irtorool
$3.205.332
83
33208332
0.1%
Rodonoon R4COLV4110
3864113
90
1865.113
OD%
Duo from 8441, Holanos. LP
1127.645
so
8137.616
OD%
Cue from "Inca Glot41
$7.456.753
30
$7.456.753
03%
TOTAL ASSETS
12 4I11‘1919
111P71119BT
12 112 242 496
1109.
LLABILOBEHILEARTHERSICAPITAL
TOTAL LIABILITIES
60
so
PARTIERS CAPITAL
52.415.353 999
15102.11 L 503)
52.311242 496
TOTAL INRUTES a CAPITAL
884141M999
LLN71115pii
It it] 247 4%
Aapsiod Sock Vat
S2.313242"
Pro Rob ASV a 329( 429 MINE/
LO%
123132425
Loss: 0080.82.1136~41 for Lack ol Control an3MorluitabBN
16.13%
(13469884)
Fa4 Mortal Value of a 1.0% La4844I ParinorsNp Hama
319.662.561
Pro Reis Fa Matte< Value ol a 1.0% Limbed Part~ship Into. eel. round«,
518750/50
EFTA00608852
EXHIBIT E-1
PRIVATE EQUITY INVESTMENTS - CAPITAL ACCOUNT ANALYSIS
BLACK FAMILY PARTNERS, LP
AS OF JUNE 3, 2015
Fund
Name
Total
Capital
Commitment
Total
Capital
Contributed
Distributions
Since
Inception
% of
Capital
Called (1)
Capital
Account
Balance (2)
L.P. Investment Positions
1
Apollo Co-Investors IV, LLC
$26,099,000
$26,816,435
$42,884,715
103%
$388,708
2 Apollo Co-Investors V, LLC
$23,647,681
$34,661,561
$69,508,216
147%
$2,376,964
3 Apollo Co-Investors VI (A), LLC
$45,503,255
$62,201,877
$76,539,394
137%
$23,519,975
4 Apollo Credit Opportunities Co-Investors III (A), LP
$15,000,000
$8,521,575
$1,716,928
57%
$6,084,149
5 HAO Capital Fund II LP
$6,000,000
$5,040,000
$2,309,849
84%
$3,822,318
6 Wolfensohn Capital Partners LP
$5,000,000
$4,864,384
$2,725,995
97%
$1,484,393
7 Tenfore Holdings Fund I, LP
$1,500,000
$881,325
$78,966
59%
$998,593
Total Capital Account Balance
$38,675,100
(1) Certain distributions were recallable. allowing for called amounts greater than 100%.
(2)
The most recent quarterly capital account balance was adjusted to reflect contributions and otistributions after the statement date and as of the Valuation Date.
EFTA00608853
E•2
PRIVATE EQUITY INVESTMENTS - RISK ANALYSIS
BLACK FAMILY PARTNERS. LP
AS OF JUNE 3, 2015
Valuation Oats
842015
Distributed
Total
Estimated
Expected
(5)
(%)
Cash
Net
Contactual
Extensions
Tears
Primary
Cause of
Remaining
Remaining
as a%
Multiple of
Ford
Termination
Possible
Remaining
Lilecycle
Investment
Growth
Capital
Capital
Contributed
Contributed
Preferred
Carried
Name
Date
(In years)
In Term
Stage (1)
Structure (2)
In Value
CommitmeM (3)
Commitment
Capital (4)
Capital (51
Return %
interest %
L.P. Investment Positions
I
Accile Ctimesices IV. LW
2 arcoo Co-imesices V. LW
90302010
4302012
NA
NA
2.00
2.00
VON
KM
*PO
*PO
5127.203
11.473913
0.5%
6.2%
1599?,
200.5%
1.6
2.1
0.0%
0.0%
00'4
0.0%
3 Aped, Co-lnyostors VI (Al. LLC
1/122017
200
1.61
(6)
VON
App
51,774.518
3.9%
121.0%
1.6
0.0%
0.0%
4 Aped, Credit Cppcilmbes Co.Inveslon III IA). L
90112019
3.00
4.28
I
App
17.994.008
52.6%
20.1%
0.9
0.0%
0.0%
5 HAO Ceplial Fund II LP
12,52016
200
1.51
17)
VOH
Rep
3160.003
16.0%
45.8%
1.2
8.0%
20.0%
6 WofenscAn Captal Partners LP
2.023;2019
3.00
3.73
VOH
Apo
11.029.051
20.6%
56.0%
0.9
8.0%
20.0%
7 Tenfore HOVIngS Fund I. LP
4112023
200
7.63
VOH
Apo
5640.308
42.7%
9.0%
1.2
0.0%
20.0%
- Investment Stage:YOH . Value Gowan/lamest Stage
(2) FOF . Fund of Finds: D. Direct
(3) Includes recallable datibubens.
(4) illistntuted Cashldivded by (CaplalContnbAions)
(S) illistntuted Cash a Cacilal Raceme Balance) gelded by (Capial Contributions)
(6) The illegal ccntractival lamination date for Apolb Co.Investors VI IN. LLC was t112118. HOMOSI. a of the Valuta" Dale. It was evaded that Aped, 02.1mm:tors W IA). LW would extend one-year and Laga0 Ore el is two total pas:bk.titanium. Therefore. the
Contractual Terminetcon Oate was update/0 to 111212017.
(7) The initial contractual lamination date for MAOCanal Fund II LP was 12/5,15. However. as et the Valuation Dye. 4 was expected that HAD Carnal Find II LP would extend onayear and Wee ono of is two total possbb intentions. Therefore. the Contractual
Terminated Date was update020 120102016
EFTA00608854
EXHIBIT E-3
PRIVATE EQUITY INVESTMENTS - SUMMARY OF FAIR MARKET VALUES
BLACK FAMILY PARTNERS, LP
AS OF JUNE 3, 2015
Fund
Name
Selected
Restriction Period
Discount
Capital
Account
Balance
Less: Selected
Restriction Period
Discount
Estimated
Fair Market
Value
L.P. Investment Positions
1
Apollo Co-Investors IV, LLC
25%
$388,708
($97,177)
$290,000
2 Apollo Co-Investors V, LLC
25%
$2,376,964
($594,241)
$1,780,000
3 Apollo Co-Investors VI (A), LLC
20%
$23,519,975
($4,703,995)
$18,820,000
4 Apollo Credit Opportunities Co-Investors III (A), LP
35%
$6.084,149
($2,129,452)
$3,950,000
5 HAO Capital Fund II LP
25%
$3,822,318
($955,580)
$2,870,000
6 Wolfensohn Capital Partners LP
35%
$1,484,393
($519,538)
$960,000
7 Tenfore Holdings Fund I, LP
35%
$998,593
($349,508)
$650,000
Total Fair Market Value of Private Equity Interests
$29,320,000
EFTA00608855
EXHIBIT F-1
CAPITAL MARKET/HEDGE FUNDS - CAPITAL ACCOUNT SUMMARY
BLACK FAMILY PARTNERS, LP
AS OF JUNE 3, 2015
Valuation Date
6/3/2015
Capital
Unrestricted
Account
Sidepocket
Capital
Fund Name
Balance
Amount
Amount
Apollo SOMA Co-Investors, LLC
$2,857,390
$24,739
$2,832,651
FCI Co-Investors II (A). LP
$12,709,156
$12,709,156
$0
Athene Holding, Ltd.
$52,000,000
$52,000,000
$0
AP Technology Partners, L.P.
$25,579
$25,579
$0
AP SHL Investors, LLC
$0
$0
$0
Anchorage Capital Partners
$18,603,995
$0
$18,603,995
Canyon Value Realization Fund
$19,790,178
$0
$19,790,178
King Street Capital
$1,024,397
$1,024,397
$0
Lone Cascade, LP
$28,365,105
$0
$28,365,105
Millennium Group USA
$27,968,994
$0
$27,968,994
Total
$163,344,794
$65,783,871
$97,560,923
EFTA00608856
EXHIBIT F-2
CAPITAL MARKET:HEDGE FUNDS - UNRESTRICTED CAPITAL ANALYSIS
BLACK FAMILY PARTNERS LP
AS OF JUNE 3. 2015
Apollo SOMA Co-
Anchorage Capital
Canyon Value
Millennium Group
Investors. LLC
Partners
Realization Fund
Lone Cascade. LP
USA
Capital Account Balance at Valuation Date (Unrestricted)
Earliest Withdrawal Date
$2.857.390
$18.603.995
$19.790.178
$28,365.105
$27,968,994
2,28/2016
6/3012016
1231/2015
93012015
9/30/2015
PUT OPTION ANALYSIS
INPUT VARIABLES
Unrestricted Capital Balance (Most Recent Available)
$2.857.390
$18.603.995
$19.790.178
$28365.105
$27.968.994
Exercise Price
$2.857.390
$18.603.995
$19.790.178
$28.365.105
$27.968.994
Term (years)
0.74
1.08
0.58
0.33
0.33
Volatility
13.50%
7.50%
7.50%
15.00%
5.00%
Annual Rate of Ouanerly Dividends
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Continuously Compounded Risk Free Rate
0.16%
0.26%
0.16%
0.04%
0.04%
Put Option Value
$130.469
$551.050
$440.572
$966.753
$316.474
Discount Implied by Black Scholes Model
4.57%
2.96%
2.23%
3.41%
1.13%
Plus: Adjustment for Other Factors
1.00%
1.50%
1.00%
0.50%
0.50%
Estimated Discount Based on Put Analysis
5.60%
4.50%
3.20%
3.90%
1.60%
RESTRICTED STOCK STUDY - OUALATAMIE ANALYSIS
Estimated Discount Based on Qualitative Analysis
7.00%
10.00%
7.00%
6.00%
6.00%
HOLDING PERIOD SUMMARY ANALYSIS
Selected Liquidity Discount for Holding Period
6.0%
7.0%
5.0%
5.0%
4.0%
Note: The term for Apollo SOMA Co-Investors, LLC assumes withdrawal at the end of the current month. The agreement provisions for Apollo SOMA Co-Investors. LLC require 90 days notice for
withdrawals that are permitted annually on the anniversary date (March 1st) of the investment.
EFTA00608857
EXHIBIT F-3
CAPITAL MARKET/HEDGE FUNDS - HOLDING PERIOD DISCOUNT SUMMARY
BLACK FAMILY PARTNERS, LP
AS OF JUNE 3. 2015
Valuation Dale
6:32015
Sidepocket
Primary Tranche
Unrestricted
Less:
Balance, less Lock-up
Unrestricted
Less:
Balance. less Lock-up
Balance, less Lock-up
Sidepocket
Capital
Sidepocket
Lock-up Period
Period Discount
Capital
Lock-op Period
Period Discount
Period Discount
Fund Name
Discount %
Discount %
Amount
Discount
(A)
Amount
Discount
(B)
Value (A.B)
Apollo SOMA Co-Investors. LLC
30%
6.00%
$20.739
($7.022)
$17.317
$2.832.651
($169.959)
$2,662692
$2.680.003
FCI Co-Investors 11(A). LP
30%
0.00%
$12.709.156
(53.812.747)
$8.896.409
SO
SO
$0
$8.900.003
Athena Holding. Ltd.
30%
0.00%
$52.000.000
($15.600.000)
$36.400.000
SO
$0
$0
$36400,000
AP Technology Partners, L.P.
30%
0.00%
$25,579
($7.670)
$17.905
SO
SO
$0
$18.003
AP SHL Inveskes. LLC
0%
0.00%
SO
SO
$0
SO
$0
SO
$0
Anthony Capital Rennes
0%
7.00%
SO
$O
10
$18.603.995
($1.302.280)
$17,301,715
$17,300,000
Canyon Value Realisation Fund
0%
5.00%
SO
$0
10
$19.790.178
($989.509)
$18,800,669
$18.800.003
King Street Capital
30%
0.00%
$1.020.397
($307.3191
5717.078
50
$0
$0
$720,000
Lone Cascade, LP
0%
5.00%
SO
10
$0
$28.365.105
($1.018.255)
$26,946,850
$26.950.003
Millennium Group USA
0%
0.00%
SO
10
$0
$27.968.990
($1.11B.760)
526.850.234
$26.850.003
Total Fair Market Value or Capital Market Fund Investments
$138.618.080
EFTA00608858
EXIMMT 0-1
APOLLO OPERATING GROUP UNITS
BLACK FAMILY PARTNERS, LP
AS OF JUNE 3.
IDelManed, sub
le 144 Volum Itestrlcdena)
March 29 Annual Odlywv el AOC Unils
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
AOG Units to be delivered
6.954.537
6.954.537
6.954.537
6.954.537
64.909.016
Percent of initial block defivered
7.5%
7.5%
7.5%
7.5%
70.0%
Share Price al Valuation Date
$22.74
$22.74
$22.74
$22.74
$22.74
Restricted Value of Delivered Shares
$158.111409
$158,111.409
$158,111,409
$158.111.409
$1,475,706,483
Aggregate AOG Units. Unrestricted Value
$2.108.152.119
INPUT VARIABLES
Unrestricted Block Value
$158.111.409
$158.111.409
$158.111.409
$158.111.409
$1.475.706.483
Exercise Price
$158.111.409
$158.111.409
$158.111.409
$158.111.409
$1.475.706.483
Estimated Term (years)
0.58
0.58
0.58
1.08
2.33
Volatity
25.00%
25.00%
25.00%
25.00%
30.00%
Annual Rate of Quarterly Dividends
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Continuously Compounded Risk Free Rate
0.07%
0.07%
0.07%
0.26%
0.88%
Discount Implied by Black Scholes Model
7.55%
7.55%
7.55%
10.17%
16.93%
Plus: AiAustrnent for Other Factors
1.00%
1.00%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
Estimated Discount Based on Put Analysis
8.50%
8.50%
8.50%
11.70%
18.90%
Selected Liquidity Discount for Lock-up Period
8.50%
8.50%
8.50%
11.70%
18.90%
AOG Units. Unrestricted Value
$158,111.409
$158.111.409
$158.111,409
$158,111,409
$1,475.706.483
Less: Restriction Period Discount
($13.439.470)
l$13.439.47M
($13.439.470)
($18,499.035)
($278.908.525)
AOG Units. Estimated Restriction Adjusted Value
$144,671,939
$144.671.939
$144,671,939
$139,612,374
$1.196,797.958
Aggregate AOG Units. Estimated Restriction Adjusted Value
$1.770,426.150
Aggregate AOG Units. Estimated Restriction Adjusted Value, rounded
$1,770,000,000
EFTA00608859
EXHIBIT G-2
APOLLO GLOBAL MANAGEMENT, LLC - VOLATILITY
BLACK FAMILY PARTNERS, LP
AS OF JUNE 3, 2015
Company
Ticker
1 yr.
2 yr.
3 yr.
5 yr.
I IMPLIED VOLATILITY
Deb-Ziff Capital Management
OZM
29.8%
30.2%
30.4%
34.0%
25.4%
Blackstone
BX
22.4%
25.1%
27.5%
34.3%
17.8%
Fortress Investment Group LLC
FIG
26.0%
30.9%
33.4%
42.5%
26.7%
Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co.
KKR
21.3%
22.9%
22.7%
32.2%
16.8%
Apollo Global Management
APO
24.2%
28.8%
29.3%
n/a
21.9%
The Carlyle Group
CG
29.4%
28.5%
28.5%
n/a
23.8%
Oaktree Capital Group. LLC
OAK
17.0%
18.4%
18.6%
n/a
16.1%
Mean
24.3%
26.4%
27.2%
35.7%
21.2%
Median
24.2%
28.5%
28.5%
34.1%
21.9%
Min
17.0%
18.4%
18.6%
32.2%
16.1%
Max
29.8%
30.9%
33.4%
42.5%
26.7%
Selected Volatility for Apollo Global Management, LLC
2017 Tranche
30.0%
2013-2016 Trenches
25.0%
*Malleydam from the Bloomberg Network
Note: Per Apao Global Management tits 3/31/2015 WO bang. based on APO's historical volatility. management expected annual volatility for equity based compensatan of 30.9% tor resale:ad share units and 32.7%
for cOstnbution equivalents when estimating the marketability discount for equity based compensation.
EFTA00608860
EXHIBIT G-3
APOLLO OPERATING GROUP - TAX RECEIVABLE AGREEMENT
BLACK FAMILY PARTNERS, LP
AS OF JUNE 3, 2015
Number of Shares
92.727.166
Price per Share
$22.74
Value of Block
$2.108.152.119
Value Attributable to APO Corp.
69.99%
$1.475.495,668
Annual Amortization (15 yr.)
$98.366.378
Effective Tax Rate (Per Management)
40.35%
Discount Rate
12.00%
Year
TRA Amortization
TRA Tax Shield
Days
PV Factor
Present Value of TRA
Tax Benefit
1
$98366.378
$39.690.833
366
0.89
$35.427.243
2
$98,366378
$39.690.833
731
0.80
$31.631.467
3
$98,366378
$39.690.833
1.096
0.71
$28.242.381
4
$98,366.378
$39.690.833
1.461
0.64
$25.216.412
5
$98,366.378
$39.690.833
1.827
0.57
$22.507.664
6
$98,366378
$39.690.833
2.192
0.51
$20.096.128
7
$98,366378
$39.690.833
2.557
0.45
$17.942.972
8
$98,366378
$39.690.833
2.922
0.40
$16.020.510
9
$98,366.378
$39.690.833
3.288
0.36
$14.299.587
10
$98,366.378
$39.690.833
3.653
0.32
$12.767.488
11
$98,366378
$39.690.833
4.018
0.29
$11.399.543
12
$98,366.378
$39.690.833
4.383
0.26
$10.178.163
13
$98,366.378
$39.690.833
4.749
0.23
$9.084.825
14
$98,366.378
$39.690.833
5.114
0.20
$8.111.451
15
$98366378
$39.690.833
5.479
0.18
$7242.367
$270.168.199
Aggregate Present Value of TRA Tax Benefit, rounded
$270,170.000
TRA Tax Benefit Sharing Percentage
85%
Net Unrestricted TRA Tax Benefit Available to Block
$229.644,500
Less: Restriction Period Discount (from Exhibit G-4)
15%
($34.446.675)
Net Fair Market Value of TRA Tax Benefit Available to Block, rounded
$195,000.000
EFTA00608861
EXHIBIT 6-4
APOLLO OPERATING GROUP UNITS
BLACK FAMILY PARTNERS, LP
AS OF JUNE 3, 2015
Estimated Restricted TRA Value
Weighted Average Restriction Period (yrs.)
INPUT VARIABLES
Unrestricted Block Value
Exercise Price
Estimated Term (years)
Volatility
Annual Rate of Quarterly Dividends
Continuously Compounded Risk Free Rate
Put Option Value
Discount Implied by Black Scholes Model
$229,644,500
1.8
$229,644,500
$229,644,500
1.8
30.00%
0.00%
0.69%
$35,375,852
15.40%
Selected Restriction Period Discount for TRA Value
15%
EFTA00608862
EXHIBIT G-5
APOLLO OPERATING GROUP - TAX RECEIVABLE AGREEMENT
BLACK FAMILY PARTNERS, LP
AS OF JUNE 3, 2015
Effective Entity Ownership of Existing TRA
Discount Rate (1)
($millions)
41.68%
10.0%
Payment for Fiscal Year (2)
Entity Pro Rata
Share
Days
PV Factor
Present Value of TRA
Tax Benefit
2015
$0
211
0.95
$0
2016
$11,435,945
577
0.86
$9,836,432
2017
$18,019,385
942
0.78
$14,090,059
2018
$23,079,902
1,307
0.71
$16,406,431
2019
$15,824,219
1,672
0.65
$10,226,094
2020
$16,672,581
2,038
0.59
$9,792,289
2021
$19,113,952
2,403
0.53
$10,205,615
2022
$15,117,021
2,768
0.49
$7,337,739
2023
$5,194,638
3,133
0.44
$2,292,232
2024
$1.785,025
3.499
0.40
$715,882
2025
$613,385
3,864
0.36
$223,634
2026
$210,777
4,229
0.33
$69,861
2027
$72.429
4,594
0.30
$21,824
2028
$24.889
4,960
0.27
$6,816
2029
$8.552
5,325
0.25
$2,129
2030
$2,939
5,690
0.23
$665
$127,175,639
$81,227,703
Concluded Pro Rata Present Value of Existing TRA Benefit dividends
$81,000,000
(1) Based on a review of: N 15 yr corporate bond yields (BB yield was 6.6% as of the Valuation Date): (ii) Apollo Operating Group's cost of equity: and (iii) asset specific risk factors_
(2) Distribution of TRA Dividend received by Black Family Partners by April 15 of the subsequent year. E.g. Fiscal 2014 dividend will be received by April 15. 2015.
EFTA00608863
EXMBIT H-1
BETA CALCULATION
APOLLO GLOBAL MANAGEMENT. LLC
AS OF JUNE 3. 2015
Peer Grow Data as of
Company Herne
Och-Zilf Capital Management
Blackslor*
Fatness Investment Group LLC
Apoto Global lAanagement. LLC
Kohlberg Kravis Øens 8 Co.
The Culyk Group. LP
Oalikee Capital Group. LLC
Average
Median
632015
Symbol
Bela'
RI
Share Price
Shares
Oulstanhng
(MM)
MV cl Equity
($RIM)
LT Debt
(5MIA)
Prelerred
(SUM)
MVIC (SPAM)
Tax Rai
Dahl/Equity
OZM
1.27
35.8%
$12.79
176.068
56.114.5
$451.2
$0.0
4,6.565.7
40.2%
7.4%
BX
1.50
531%
543.54
1.158.168
150.428.8
12.148.8
$0.0
$52.575.4
36.5%
4.3%
FIG
1.85
44.1%
$7.94
434.886
53.453.0
$75.0
50.0
53.528.0
41.1%
2.2%
MO
1.25
29.3%
122.89
393.186
59.000.0
$1.030.1
$0.0
$10.330.1
39.7%
11.4%
KKR
1.35
43.0%
413.19
824.208
$19.113.4
$2.406.3
50.0
$21.519.6
35.1%
12.8%
CG
0.89
11.3%
419.18
329238
59.607.2
$1.145.1
$0.0
$10.752.3
35.3%
11.9%
OM
0.81
111%
554.82
153.840
58.402.8
$850.0
$0.0
59.252.8
35.1%
10.1%
1.25
32.8%
$15.159.6
$1.158.1
$0.0
$16,317.7
37.6%
8.6%
1.27
35.8%
39.000.0
$1.030.1
50.0
$10.030.1
36.5%
10.1%
Unlevered Bela Calculation"'
Bu
BuXIM1-1)(CVE)))
Using Bela. lax rale and the inabsbys debt to equity ratio. the reported betas are hat unievered below and then rekvered in the calculation lo the right.
Och-Zill Caul.] Managemenl
1.21
Blacksione
1.46
Fatless Investment Group LLC
1.83
Apples Global lAanagement. LLC
1.17
Kohberg Kravis Roberts 8 Co.
1.24
The Culyk Group. LP
WA
Oakbee Capes! Group. LLC
WA
Overall Average
Overall Median
Selected
2,1
1.30
Relevered Bela Calculation
B
4144(1-1)(CVE)))
Bu
1.30
OE
11.4%
40.4%
B
1.39
Industry Debt/Total Capital Calculations
OebtfTdal Irv. Capital
10.3%
EbuilyiTotal IM. Capital
89.7%
Tax Rate Calculation
Combned Tax Rate
40.35%
Obomb” i~orA
'Tar mt. icy 0ZIR Arc, OX 6~0 CM SEC Fårg notes ~calm mvrmdsmeuron we ~Jo Osseo' on (fro Amen assume~
lar ~lore New Ye* Csy. Nevi Yon *me* appromanyltry 45,4.
Hon.« e »as rtstnor =CO rnai
nu< of income do~ trom b",n nymes ISO/2~k SOultei »0 WO wpm Ms acrt,a, offoc~ ear nalo.
^'mnMtKvic ea:Arockte b Mov~ CO and OAK Ma "taro
EFTA00608864
EXHIBIT H-2
CAPM SUMMARY
APOLLO GLOBAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
AS OF JUNE 3, 2015
The cost of equity capital using the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is as follows:
Re = RI +(B x ( Rm - Rf))+ Rsm
Where:
Rf
Return on a risk-free asset
Beta - a measure of the systematic risk of the firm compared to the risk of an investment in
a fully diversified stock market portfolio
Rm - Rf
=
The market risk premium defined as the expected return required for investing in
a fully diversified portfolio (Rm) less the risk-free rate (Rf)
Rsm
=
Small stock premium
We then calculated the Re as follows:
Variable
Value
Source
Rf =
2.87%
Rm - Rf =
6.00%
B.
1.39
Rsm
1.07%
20-yr treasury bond rate
Equity Risk Premium
Computed Beta. see Page 3
Duff and Phelps Mid-Cap Company Stock Premium (Deciles 3-5)
Re=
Rf + (8 x ( Rm - Rf )) + Rsm
2.87%+ (6.00%' 1.39 + 1.07%
Re =
12.3%
EFTA00608865
EXHIBIT I-I
PRICE & HISTORICAL VOLATILITIES OF PUBLICLY TRADED
BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT COMPANIES AND CEICS INVESTED PRIMARILY IN PRIVATE EQUITY
AS OF JUNE 3, 2015
#
COMPANY
TICKER
TYPE OF
ENTITY (1)
PRICE
0&03;2015 (2)
NAV
PER SHARE (2.3)
DISCOUNT
(PREMIUM) FROM
NAV
5-YEAR
VOLATILITY (2)
I
Ares Capital Corporation
ARCC
BDC
$16.77
$16.71
-0.4%
18.4%
2
Apollo Investment Corporation
AINV
BDC
$7.92
$8.18
3.2%
26.0%
3
TICC Capital Corp.
TICC
BDC
$7.19
$8.72
17.5%
22.3%
4
MCG Capital Corp.
MCGC
BDC
$4.65
$4.75
2.1%
34.2%
5
Gladstone Capital Corp.
GLAD
BDC
$8.29
$9.55
13.2%
24.6%
6
American Capital, Ltd.
ACAS
BDC
$14.27
$20.33
29.8%
30.0%
7
RENN Global Entrepreneurs Fund. Inc.
RCG
CEIC
$1.24
$1.99
37.7%
33.6%
8
MVC Capital. Inc.
MVC
BDC
$10.17
$15.86
35.9%
18.2%
9
Capital Southwest Corporation
CSWC
BDC
$49.96
$47.17
-5.9%
24.9%
AVERAGE
14.8%
25.8%
MEDIAN
13.2%
24.9%
MINIMUM
-5.9%
18.2%
MAXIMUM
37.7%
34.2%
&moles a business deyetpmenf
n
'GEC' denotes a dosedenfl investment conviany. invested N pnVaie equly.
3 Source. Bkombeg Network la BDCs.
lof CEICS. Closev Rtes.
1 Funds I Waugh Safe focused on dad securities. whk funds IS through 9 are focused on &July secutloes.
4 NAYs per slure fa the Boos am as the most recent available Quartet NAYS pee thug. tonne CEICs are as of the Valuation Dare.
EFTA00608866
EXHIBIT 1-2
PRICE & DIVIDEND YIELDS FOR PUBLICLY-TRADED CLOSED END FUNDS
PRIMARILY INVESTED IN CAPITAL APPRECIATION SECURITIES
AS OF JUNE 3, 2015
#
COMPANY'
TICKER
PRICE
0603:15
NAV
PER SHARE'
DISCOUNT FROM
NAY
LTM
DIVIDEND
INCOME'
LTM
INCOME
YIELD
5-YEAR
vouvnure
1
Adams Express
ADX
$14.30
$16.57
13.7%
0.21
1.5%
16.1%
2
Eagle Capital Growth
GRF
$8.10
$9.22
12.1%
0.02
0.3%
243%
3
Gabelli Equity Trust
GAB
$6.56
$6.88
4.7%
0.05
0.7%
19.2%
4
General American Investors
GAM
$35.58
$42.00
15.3%
0.57
1.6%
16.4%
5
Nuveen Core Equity Alpha
JCE
$16.77
$17.74
5.5%
0.29
1.7%
16.0%
6
Source Capital Inc
SOR
$72.47
$81.57
11.2%
1.14
1.6%
17.9%
7
Tri-Continental Corporation
TY
$21.94
$25.69
14.6%
0.78
3.6%
14.4%
8
Zweig Fund
ZF
$15.18
$17.39
12.7%
0.11
0.7%
14.8%
9
Zweia Total Return
ZTR
$13.43
$15.24
11.9%
0.22
1.7%
9.8%
AVERAGE
11.3%
1.5%
16.5%
MEDIAN
12.1%
1.6%
16.1%
MINIMUM
4.7%
0.3%
9.8%
MAXIMUM
15.3%
3.6%
24.3%
'Sample was created usi
funds listed in Barron's .
2Information from
3lnformation from Bloomberg, closing prices.
EFTA00608867
EXHIBIT 1-3
PRICE & DIVIDEND YIELDS FOR PUBLICLY-TRADED CLOSED END FUNDS
INVESTED PRIMARILY IN GOVERNMENT BONDS AND SECURITIES
AS OF JUNE 3, 2015
#
COMPANY'
TICKER
PRICE
06,0315
NAV
PER SHARE'
DISCOUNT FROM
NAV'
LTM
DIVIDEND
INCOME:.
LTM
INCOME
YIELD
5-YEAR
VOLATILITY'
1
AllianceBernstein Income Fund
ACG
$7.67
$8.35
8.1%
$0.42
5.4%
7.6%
2
BlackRock Enhanced Gov Fund
EGF
$13.76
$14.56
5.5%
$0.47
3.4%
5.6%
3
BlackRock Income Trust
BKT
$6.41
$7.13
10.1%
$0.40
6.3%
7.0%
4
Federated Enhanced Treasury In
FTT
$13.37
$13.96
4.2%
$0.45
3.4%
7.6%
AVERAGE
7.0%
4.6%
6.9%
MEDIAN
6.8%
4.4%
7.3%
MINIMUM
4.2%
3.4%
5.6%
MAXIMUM
10.1%
6.3%
7.6%
'Sample was created usi
funds listed in Barron's .
2Information from
3lnformation from Bbomberg. closing prices.
EFTA00608868
EXHIBIT J-1
QUANTITATIVE FINANCIAL RISK ANALYSIS
BLACK FAMILY PARTNERS, LP
AS OF JUNE 3, 2015
MEASURES OF COMPANY SIZE
A. Revenue
Revenue ($MM)
Discount
Low
J
High
I
Average
Low
High
I
Average
I
Median
Top Quintile
$50.1
$7.859.1
$360.2
0.0%
55.0%
18.3%
14.7%
Second Quintile
$12.8
$49.9
$26.5
0.0%
84.6%
20.6%
14.5%
Third Quintile
$4.4
$12.6
$8.6
0.0%
59.2%
20.9%
18.3%
Fourth Quintile
$0.6
$4.4
$2.3
0.0%
70.0%
28.1%
25.7%
Bottom Quintile
$0.0
$0.6
$0.1
0.0%
80.8%
26.5%
24.1%
B. Market Value of Equity
Market Value (SMM
Discount
Low
High
Average
Low
High
Average
Median
j
Top Quintile
$190.5
$5.726.1
$664.7
0.0%
65.8%
17.6%
12.8%
Second Quintile
$98.1
$184.7
$132.6
0.0%
56.8%
16.9%
12.8%
Third Quintile
$50.2
$98.0
$76.2
2.3%
84.6%
25.8%
24.1%
Fourth Quintile
$25.1
$50.0
$34.5
0.0%
80.8%
29.1%
27.3%
Bottom Quintile
$2.0
$24.4
$14.1
0.0%
59.2%
24.9%
22.8%
C. Book Value of Equity
Book Value ($MMI
Discount
Low
I
High
I
Average
Low
I
High
I
Average
I
Median
Top Quintile
$39.6
$789.4
$162.0
0.0%
65.8%
15.0%
11.2%
Second Quintile
$14.2
$39.6
$26.4
0.0%
84.6%
18.4%
14.8%
Third Quintile
$5.5
$14.2
$8.5
0.0%
70.0%
25.7%
24.7%
Fourth Quintile
$1.6
$5.4
$3.1
0.0%
57.9%
25.7%
26.1%
Bottom Quintile
($76.2)
$1.6
($2.6)
0.0%
80.8%
29.6%
26.0%
D. Book Value of Total Assets
Total Assets ($MM
Discount
Low
I
High
Average
Low
I
High
I
Average
I
Median
Top Quintile
$79.2
$12.471.4
$1.027.8
0.0%
84.6%
16.7%
13.2%
Second Quintile
$29.6
$78.5
$50.6
0.0%
65.8%
17.2%
12.8%
Third Quintile
$10.7
$28.8
$17.6
0.0%
56.7%
21.4%
19.6%
Fourth Quintile
$4.4
$10.5
$7.4
0.0%
70.0%
27.2%
26.5%
Bottom Quintile
$0.0
$4.4
$2.4
0.0%
80.8%
31.8%
30.6%
EFTA00608869
EXHIBIT J-2
QUANTITATIVE FINANCIAL RISK ANALYSIS
BLACK FAMILY PARTNERS, LP
AS OF JUNE 3, 2015
MEASURES OF RISK & PROFITABILITY
A. EQUITY VOLATILITY 1.2.3
Top Quintile
Second Quintile
Third Quintile
Fourth Quintile
Bottom Quintile
B. NET PROFIT MARGIN
Margin n 0%
Margin < 0%
No Data Reported
C. DIVIDENDS
Dividend Paying
Non-Dividend Paying
r
Volatility
Low
1
High
I
Annum
Discount
Low
1
High
I
Average
I
Median
115.2%
2024.7%
208.5%
0.0%
802%
34.9%
32.8%
86.1%
114.2%
100.7%
0.0%
55.6%
25.3%
24.7%
73.0%
86.0%
78.8%
0.0%
64.2%
20.3%
17.5%
55.9%
73.0%
64.6%
0.0%
53.2%
17.9%
15.0%
19.0%
55.7%
42.4%
0.0%
84.6%
15.4%
13.1%
Net Profit Margin
Discount
Low
I
High
Count
Low
High
I
Average
I
Median
0.1%
66.9%
91
0.0%
84.6%
19.4%
14.5%
-58225.0%
-0.1%
229
0.0%
80.8%
24.6%
22.6%
N/A
N/A
25
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Dividend Yield
Discount
Median
I
Average
I
Count
Low
1
High
I
Average
I
Median
3.5%
5.0%
26
0.0%
38.0%
13.2%
13.1%
N/A
N/A
319
0.0%
84.6%
23.7%
20.9%
Notes:
1 Volatility is defined as the annualized standard deviation of the continuously compounded rate of return on the company's common stock. The standard
deviation was calculated using the change in weekly closing prices over the one-year period prior to the transaction date.
2 Includes 337 transactions. Volatility was not reported with 8 transactions.
3 Implied discounts are positively correlated with volatility, and negatively correlated with size metrics.
EFTA00608870
EXHIBIT J-3
ESTIMATED RESTRICTRED STOCK EQUIVALENT DISCOUNT
BLACK FAMILY PARTNERS, LP
AS OF JUNE 3, 2015
BASED ON QUANTITATIVE FINANCIAL RISK ANALYSIS
Metric
Exhibit
Company Measure
Implied Quintile
Median Discount
Weighting
Weighted Average
Sized Metrics
Revenue (SMAA)
EXHIBIT J-1
-$1.02
Bottom Quintile
24.1%
0.00%
0.0%
Market Value of Equity ($MM)
EXHIBIT J-1
$2.313.24
Top Quintile
12.8%
33.33%
4.3%
Book Value of Equity ($MM)
EXHIBIT J-1
$2.415.35
Top Quintile
11.2%
0.00%
0.0%
Total Assets ($MM)
EXHIBIT J-1
$2.415.35
Top Quintile
13.2%
0.00%
0.0%
Other Metrics
Equity Volatility (%)
EXHIBIT J-2
30.0%
Bottom Quintile
13.1%
33.33%
4.4%
Profitable (Based on Net Profit Margin)
EXHIBIT J-2
N
N/A
22.6%
0.00%
0.0%
Dividend-Paying
EXHIBIT J-2
Y
N/A
13.1%
33.33%
4.4%
ESTIMATED RESTRICTED STOCK EQUIVALENT DISCOUNT (TO EXHIBIT J-4)
100.0%
13.0%
Notes:
Y
Yes: N a• No
EFTA00608871
EXHIBIT J4
ESTIMATED PRIVATE COMPANY DISCOUNT INCREMENT
BLACK FAMILY PARTNERS, LP
AS OF JUNE 3, 2015
BASED ON BLOCK SIZE ILLIQUIDITY ANALYSIS
% Shares Place
Discount
Low
High
Count
Low
High
Average
Median
More than 40%
40.4%
48.0%
5
10.6%
62.3%
42.1%
42.3%
More than 35%
39.3%
48.0%
6
0.0%
62.3%
35.0%
40.4%
More than 30%
30.4%
48.0%
12
0.0%
72.4%
40.9%
41.6%
More than 25%
25.0%
48.0%
23
0.0%
72.4%
33.8%
38.5%
More than 20%
20.2%
48.0%
52
0.0%
91.3%
30.2%
25.5%
20% or Less
0.10%
19.8%
345
0.0%
84.6%
22.9%
20.0%
Summary
Low
Mid
High
Range of Median Discounts for Blocks > 20%
25.5%
33.9%
42.3%
Divided by Median for Blocks c 20%
20.0%
20.0%
20.0%
Multiplicative Adjustment Factors for Private Company Discount Increment'
1.27
1.69
2.12
Times: Estimated Restricted Stock Equivalent (see EXHIBIT J-3)
13.0%
13.0%
13.0%
Implied Range of Private Company Discounts 2
16.5%
22.0%
27.4%
Blocks > 20%. excluding blocks with registration rights
Implied Reasonable Range of Discounts for Lack of Marketability
17.0%
27.0%
Notes:
Equal to min or max median discount for block sizes > than 20% divided by median discount for block sizes c 20%.
2 Equal to multiplicative adjustment factor times the restricted stock equivalent.
EFTA00608872
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