EFTA00642087.pdf
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From: Richard Kahn ..tj
To: Neale Attenborough
Cc: Chris Lawler <1
k Tyler Shean
Subject: Re: Next
Date: Wed, 30 Aug 2017 10:25:54 +0000
i already pointed out currency exchange, board fees etc. as a bad number in your calculations. sorry....the other
transactions that we know very well are far from relevant.. if faith and joel walk there is NO business which is
hardly the same idea as IMG where multi divisions exist and succession is planned.
I do not know what cash
was on the balance sheet when you bought it.
The open gate transaction to summarize was a stepping into
your shoes for only 6 million or roughly the same as the current offer. taking out cash 14 of the 15 mil which
has not come out. and even on your calculation of 8 cash would mean 3.2 to you back then... and then
leveraging the biz. / the liability to the buyer was no where near that to golden gate. sorry. . . We can go back
and forth on comps and can show mom and pop at 1 to 3 times ebitda. . so lets try to short circuit a tiresome
uncessary excercise, as i see it the current bid offer is 5 bid and approx 9 .2 offer. open gates 6 + 3.2 from 2
years ago with more growth potential and lower cash out. multiples from before digital photos and amazon.
sorry
I am suprised that you would inflate current Ebitda, pull multiples from many years ago to biz that are
tangential. leave out liabilites even of lawsuits that you know about, and then pick a cash number to subtract for
enterprise value. If I have misunderstood and you are not really sellers then I will not be insulted if you decide to
cancel our call.
Richard Kahn
HBRK Associates Inc.
575 Lexington Avenue, 4th Floor
New York. NY 10022
On Aug 29, 2017, at 10:40 PM, Neale Attenborough <
wrote:
Richard,
Not funny at all, just factual.
I think if we are to ultimately agree on value it will be important we agree on a set of facts:
1.
TTM EBITDA is $6.7Million. If you disagree, please let us know precisely what items you disagree with in the
number and we can discuss.
2.
The current cash balance for the company is $13.1 Million.
3.
The past three comparable transactions for companies in this market average an enterprise value at —10x
multiple of EBITDA
a.
Wilhelmina: 7x (average meaningful trading multiple since 2010)
b. Creative Artists Agency: 10x (TPG acquisition, 2014)
c.
IMG: 13x (WME acquisition, 2013)
4.
We invested $18 million for a 42% stake in the business, implying an enterprise value of $42.9 million.
5.
We received a bona fide offer from OpenGate Capital which would have resulted in $18 million in proceeds for
us (and in fact a $17 million distribution to Faith and Joel), and while they were, as you point out,
contemplating leverage in the <3x EBITDA range, it is in fact a relevant data point and an independent look at
value.
EFTA00642087
6.
One other note that is relevant to us, is that when Elite Models in Europe contacted us with an interest in
buying the company, Faith told me to relay to them that they would not contemplate selling to Elite for less than
$100 million (which at the time was a +10x synergy-adjusted EBITDA value). Ultimately they walked based on
that value requirement.
I would hope you agree that the following is a commonly agreed upon formula for value:
a.
Enterprise value = EBITDA x Market Multiple
b. Equity Value = Enterprise Value + net cash (or — net debt).
One matter of judgment is what of the cash balance is "excess cash". Joel has said he believes all the cash is due to the
models. The facts show that in the ordinary course of business the collection of receivables offsets the payables and in
the past three years, the cash balance has only fluctuated at most by $3 million, meaning anywhere from $8-n million
on the balance sheet should be considered to be "excess cash", not needed for day-to-day operations. I have attached
both a three year cash balance tracker and a current balance sheet for your review.
Using the above, a very modest calculation of value would be $6.7 million of EBITDA x 5 multiple (a 50% discount to the
market) or an enterprise value of $33.5 million and if we took a conservative view of what excess cash is at the moment
of $8 million, would result in a total equity value of $41.5 million. Our 42% would equate to $17.4 million of proceeds to
us. That is at a multiple that has been deeply discounted to the market comps that were actually paid for companies in
the same business.
We are, however, willing to take much less than this very discounted value calculation, as I have mentioned to you
before. However, your proposal of $5 million of proceeds to us represents an equity value of $11.9 million ($5/.42), an
enterprise value of $3.9 million ($11.9 million - $8 million of excess cash) or an EBITDA multiple of 0.58x ($6.7 x 0.58 =
$3.9 enterprise value), a level that is far too low for us to accept.
I look forward to our discussion tomorrow morning.
Neale
From: Richard Kahn rmailto:
Sent: Friday, August 25, 2017 11:51 AM
To: Neale Attenborough
Cc: Chris Lawler
Subject: Re: Next
Pretty funny Neale...
Even the silly open gate proposal was in essence stepping into your shoes for only 6 million cash. BACK
THEN !!
Then proposing to distribute what they estimated to be almost the full total (14 of the 15 million) of cash on the
balance sheet. Chris i must point out that is more than it totals today. Then having Joel, Faith, etc leverage
themselves up by borrowing at 7 percent against the entire co in order to make a further distribution of an
additional 15 million which on paper creates a highly inflated enterprise value. He only proposed 6 million
cash infusion which is around the same amount that you are currently being offered. They valued faith and
joels ongoing equity (that they proposed they "keep in") silly, at 8mm which is roughly the same as we
suggested. Financial engineering done well is like lipstick.. however not done well is also like lipstick. :)
This is a personal service business, no more no less and suggesting that they leverage themselves up so you that
they can pay themselves a higher salary fails the HBS first year class that i am aware you have taken.
Regarding the 18 million, we have distributions from Next directly to the former shareholders of the claxon
offshore entity of approx 3. Regarding the receivables you can ask millie... sorry
EFTA00642088
PS
Faith and joel will have to borrow the money to buy you out at 5.. can be done, but not so easy. they
have never taken out real money from the company in any form: salary etc.... hence they have little net worth
and current lenders are not that comfortable with the potential liabilities....
On Aug 24, 2017, at 4:50 PM, Neale Attenborough <
I look forward to our conversation.
wrote:
For the record, we did actually pay $18MM for 42% of this business in 2008. At the time that represented an —8x
multiple of EBITDA. That is not a fictitious number. In addition we did receive a bid for about the same amount from
Open Gate Capital, a reputable private equity firm. I do not understand why you say that ii is "hardly legitimate".
While I did say we didn't expect to receive what we paid, I did not say it was immaterial.
I don't follow most of what you say below and look forward to hearing your clarification. However, can you please
clarify one statement specifically? What do you mean when you say the current receivables have not be reviewed in
years?
Thanks,
Neale
From: Richard Kahn fmailto:
Sent: Thursday, August 24, 2017 3:45 PM
To: Neale Attenborough
Cc: Chris Lawler
Subject: Next
confirmed thank you
We have reviewed your statements that you sent to us along with the K-1's and some financials. Frankly,
some of the numbers are inaccurate as a result of millie. Your annual financial statements were reviewed but
not audited - shame on all of you... Your calculation of Ebitda includes things like adding back foreign
exchange costs? board fees etc. That is not the way we look at what is unfortunately for all merely a
personal service business.
Faith and Joel make up the business, nothing more. We calculate the Ebidta, which we think is an odd way
of measuring value of a personal service biz with lots of competition and small growth opportuinties if any.
Giving you the benefit of the doubt, and ignoring how much you paid or if some of that money was repaid
directly to the former owners of Claxon and not truly understanding what you described as a fixed tax
payment per quarter (ie based on what I think looking back over the past three years) ebitda looks like 4-5
million. We have bought many small biz and usually pay mom and pops for 1- 3 times ebita or more usually
4 times net income. We are finding it difficult to get to more than a 15 million total value for Next ( not
including liabilities). The 18 million dollar bid that you mentioned Faith said was hardly legitimate. I think
further review of the accounting tax etc. is probably a waste of all our time. As you rightly said, what you
initially paid is somewhat if not totatly immaterial to todays value. You have not factored in the liabilities,
both reputationally and fiscal yet. I think the 5 million cash offer or 6m over time is fair. I look forward to
our conversation on tuesday. As another note, the current receivables have not been reviewed for years...
Rich
EFTA00642089
On Aug 24, 2017, at 3:28 PM, Neale Attenborough <
> wrote:
Disclaimer: This message contains information that may be confidential and/or privileged and is intended only for the person(s)
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<Mail Attachment.ics>
<170829 - Next - Jun'17 Balance Sheets.pdf>
<170816 Next - Min Cash Analysis.pdf>
EFTA00642090
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| Filename | EFTA00642087.pdf |
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