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From: Neal Berger
To: jeevacation@gmail.com
Subject: Eagle's View Capital Management, LLC- April 2017 Performance Update...
Date: Mon, 15 May 2017 23:26:56 +0000
Eagles View Capital Management, LLC April 2017 Performance
Update
May 15, 2017
Low Levels of Realized Volatility Challenges Trading Oriented Strategies
Dear Partners/Friends,
Click here to view our most recently updated investor tearsheet
Performance of Eagle's View Capital Partners,
is estimated at -0.70% for April with
YTD performance estimated at +4.59% net of all fees and expenses.
Performance of Eagle's View Offshore Fund, Ltd. Class G is estimated at -1.10% for
April with YTD performance estimated at +3.55% net of all fees and expenses.
Performance of Eagle's View Offshore Fund, Ltd. Class B ("High Alpha") is estimated
at -1.33% for April with YTD performance estimated at +4.48% net of all fees and
expenses. This Share Class seeks to generate substantially higher returns through a more
concentrated portfolio of some of our historically higher return opportunities. Investors
in this Class should have a willingness to accept increased volatility and risk in
exchange for the potential for higher returns.
Performance of Spearhead Insurance Solutions IDF Series E/Eagle's View Insurance
Dedicated Fund is estimated at -0.62% for April with YTD performance estimated at
+4.36% net of all fees and expenses.
Performance of Eagle's View Partners, Ltd. is estimated at +0.72% for April with YTD
performance estimated at +2.55% net of all fees and expenses. Eagle's View Partners,
Ltd. is our 'niche-oriented', multi-strategy hedge bind which is focused on strategies that
have positive expectancy, lack correlation to broader markets, and, take advantage of the
structural alpha in terms of the efficiency of capital usage inherent within the multi-
strategy hedge fund model.
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The Fund does not attempt to compete against the larger multi-strategy hedge funds.
Rather, the Fund seeks to hire traders/strategies that focus on more niche-oriented and
capacity constrained opportunities that are too small for the larger multi-strats to care
about. Eagle's View Partners, Ltd. has been profitable in 100% of all months after fees
and expenses since inception on Nov. 1, 2016. Currently, we are deploying Electricity
Trading (non-directional congestion trading in California and the Midwest US), Natural
Gas Basis Trading, Closed-End Fund Arbitrage, Dual-Share Class Arbitrage, Option
Volatility trading, Quantitative Equity and Event (commodity index rebalance trades,
seasonal tendencies, etc.). There is roughly $10 Million left within the Founder's share
class at this time.
Beta-oriented investors (long only or long-biased), have experienced very little stress as
the equity market continues to march higher ignoring any and all events that in the past
may have caused turbulence in broader price movement. As regular readers are aware,
Eagle's View is one of the few Funds that shuns 'risk on' or directionally biased
positioning. Simply put, we are in the absolute return business for better or for worse.
One of the rationales behind this is that we feel investors do not need hedge funds to
obtain risk-on exposure since that exposure is widely available through cheaper, simpler,
and more liquid offerings such as ETFs and passive index Funds. However, most
investors appreciate a level of diversification and recognize that times may not always
be as rosy as they are today. This is the niche that Eagle's View seeks to fill- provide
non-correlated, absolute returns to our investors.
Eagle's View is focused on market neutral actively trading oriented strategies that we
believe have positive expectancy and capitalize upon inefficiencies in the markets. To be
sure, we have a substantial portion of our Fund allocated to inefficiencies in non-
mainstream markets such as trading within the electricity space capitalizing upon
congestion across the US electricity grid, seeking to capitalize upon inefficiencies in
shipping derivatives, IPO flipping, etc. In short, we are in the business of finding
inefficiencies in liquid securities effectuated in a directionally neutral manner.
Trading oriented strategies thrive upon volatility. Without volatility, nobody can make
money. Markets must move in order to generate opportunity. Despite the seemingly high
level of geopolitical and economic risks on a macro basis, volatility across a variety of
products has dampened substantially. In fact, on both an implied and realized basis,
market volatility is near all-time lows. Why?
According to May 4 commentary released by JP Morgan, selling of volatility is one of
the key parts of risk premia/smart beta programs. According to the JP Morgan estimate,
approximately 20% of risk premia strategies are allocated to selling volatility across
asset classes (and about half of volatility selling is via Equity options). Selling of
volatility is a yield generating strategy that can be benchmarked against bond yields.
Increased supply of options also suppresses realized market volatility through hedging
activity. Indirectly, central banks have managed market volatility over the past decade
through increased asset purchases which coincided with dampening market volatility we
believe.
In plain English, in a desperate search for solutions to provide yield to their clients, the
banks have created products that utilize option selling to generate cash and therefore
create a synthetic yield for those investors who purchase those structured products. We
are not in the prediction business, but, one can easily see how this could lead to an
unfavorable outcome.
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What could catalyze a reversal of volatility? Most likely, this reversal will be caused by
something nobody is contemplating at the moment. Markets have a tendency to surprise.
However, setting aside the geopolitical risks such as North Korea, Syria, Russia, Iran,
which all certainly have that potential, we note the possibility for a confluence of events
upcoming with respect to monetary policy. 1Q US GDP grew at 0.70% (slowest rate in 3
years), monthly non-farm payrolls are averaging less than 200k during 2017, and,
average hourly earnings are increasing at a relatively tepid pace. Despite this, it appears
highly likely that the Fed will continue along its course of raising rates. Furthermore, as
articulated within the March FOMC minutes, the Fed has a desire to start shrinking its
balance sheet later this year through changes to its reinvestment policy.
If one believes in the time-tested adage, "don't fight the Fed", and, one believes that a
major contributor to the stabilization and increase of asset prices since the 2008 crisis
has been an expansion of the Fed balance sheet, there may be reason to believe that the
current placid market environment may be in the twilight of its existence.
Understandably, it's hard to contemplate this at the moment as the markets seem to
march ever higher in a smooth and stress-free manner. Experience suggests that while
this condition can last longer than anticipated, it will not last forever.
As many readers are aware, the hedge fund Elliott Associates raised $5 Billion over the
course of 24 hours. Famed Manager Paul Singer likened markets to a "coiled spring",
distorted by more than eight years of economic stimulus programs by central banks in
the United States and other developed countries.
Eagle's View is not in the prediction business. However, one thing that we will predict is
that the world and consequently the markets will not be as rosy and serene as they are
today. To that end, we are pleased to be able to provide investors a product that offers a
haven during those times as well as a pretty decent return even during less turbulent
environments.
Disclaimer: Past performance is not indicative of future results. This newsletter is provided for
informational uses only and should not be used or considered an offer to sell, buy or subscribe
for securities, or other financial instruments. Prospective investors may not construe the
contents of this newsletter or any prior or subsequent communication from us, as legal, tax or
investment advice. Each prospective investor should consult his/her personal Counsel,
Accountant, and other Advisors as to the legal, tax, economic and other consequences of hedge
fund investing and the suitability of such investing for him/her. Further, the contents of this
newsletter should not be relied upon in substitution of the exercise of independent judgment.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources generally deemed by us to be
reliable, however, all or portions of such information may be uniquely within the knowledge of
parties which are unaffiliated with us or our affiliates and, therefore, may not be amenable to
independent investigation or confirmation. In such cases, we have not undertaken to
independently investigate or confirm the accuracy or adequacy of such information, but we have
no reason to believe that such information was not accurate and adequate, to the best of our
knowledge, when given. The index comparisons herein are provided for informational purposes
only and should not be used as the basis for making an investment decision. There are
significant differences between client accounts and the indices referenced including, but not
limited to, risk profile, liquidity, volatility and asset composition. Funds included in the HFRI
Monthly Indices must report monthly returns; report net of all fees retums; report assets in US
Dollars, and have at least $50 million under management or have been actively trading for at
least twelve (12) months. Fund of Funds invest with multiple managers through funds or
managed accounts. The strategy designs a diversified portfolio of managers with the objective of
significantly lowering the risk (volatility) of investing with an individual manager. The Fund of
Funds manager has discretion in choosing which strategies to invest in for the portfolio. A
manager may allocate funds to numerous managers within a single strategy, or with numerous
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managers in multiple strategies. The minimum investment in a Fund of Funds may be lower than
an investment in an individual hedge fund or managed account. The investor has the advantage
of diversification among managers and styles with significantly less capital than investing with
separate managers. PLEASE NOTE: The HFRI Fund of Funds Index is not included in the HFRI
Fund Weighted Composite Index. It is important to note that investing in hedge funds involves
risks. Please request and read the Private Placement Memorandum for a complete description
of the risks of hedge fund investing. Hedge fund investing may involve, in addition to others, the
following risks: the vehicles often engage in leveraging and other speculative investments which
may increase the risk of investment loss; they can be highly illiquid; hedge funds are not
required to provide periodic pricing or valuation information to investors; they may involve
complex tax structures and thus delays in distributing important tax information may occur;
hedge funds are not subject to the same regulatory requirements as mutual funds and they
often charge high fees. Opinions contained in this Newsletter reflect the judgment as of the day
and time of the publication and are subject to change without notice. Eagle's View Capital
Management, LLC provides investment advisory services to clients other than the Funds, and
results between clients may differ materially. Eagle's View Capital Management, LLC believes
that such differences are attributable to different investment objectives and strategies between
clients. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. If you are not the intended
recipient or have received this communication in error please notify the sender immediately and
destroy this communication. Any unauthorized copying, disclosure or distribution of the material
in this communication is strictly forbidden.
Kindest regards,
Neal Berger
President
Eagles View Capital Management LLC
212.421.7300
Eagles View Capital Management LLC, 135 East 57th St., 23rd Floor, New York, NY 10022
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| Filename | EFTA00648579.pdf |
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