EFTA00730641.pdf
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GLENCOKE
Pig Iron
Customer Footprin
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lat. Sr
WINGS
ENTERPRISES, INC •
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il
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Pm In. Eu Gd Tb Dy Ho Er Tim Vb
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Specialtv/Chemical Oxides
Proposed Pig Iron Plant
EFTA00730641
GLENCOU
Geography
Crystal City
(Wings)
600
miles
Gulf of Mexico
•
3.000 Miles to
Brazil
•
3 BOr is wst«,
A Ir tAr via Warn
.
2 CAT via Rail
-5,000 miles to
Sweden
-6,000+ miles to
Eastern Europe
EFTA00730642
Wings Layout
Beneficiation
Facility
Tailings Lake
Facility
Phase
I
Initial capital raise (miscellaneous uses)
$40.0
Pevelopmeni costs •
II
Mine development costs
$180.0
II
Iron ore beneficiation facility
$150.0
II
Tailings lake facility
$150.0
Total (Gross)
$520.0
Tailings monetization (@> 25% disc. rate)
($215.4)
Total (Net)
$304.6
Represents Wings Operations
Represents KinderMorgan Operations
Represents Kobe Steel Operations
45 mile pipeline
Capex Needs $mm
FXCIlldfli Kobe Steel development
(1) Pig Iron Facility = $400mm4)700mm
Fxrludes Kindermrvgart tioveloomeit;
(2) Port= $600mm
Tailings
• 4 MT Fe203
• 1 MT Fe304
• 1MT Phos /
Apatite
• 600KT Pyrite
• 75KT REO
I I
Mine
• 150 MT Iron
Ore Resource
• 57% Iron Ore
Grade
• 4MTPA
Annual Prod'n
• 30 Year Mine
Life
Pig Iron Facility
Initial Capital Rake Breakout
Payoff existing liabilities
Complete feasability studies
Misc working capital
Total
$20.0
$7.0
$13.0
$40.0
GLENCOU
-a
O
CO
CO
CO
-0
CD
-0
EFTA00730643
Overview of Process
6mm tonnes iron ore mined (-57% Fe)
Beneficiation
1
4mm tonnes of concentrate (-70% Fe)
1mm tonnes of OXIDES
- Specialty oxides (70%-71% Fe)
- Chemical oxides (71.6% Fe)
3mm tonnes of IRON ORE
- -70% Fe
I
GLENCO1K
All sold to Pig
Iron Partner for
pig iron
production
2mm tonnes of final PIG IRON product
- -97% Fe, 3% carbon
(Pig Iron/Wings)
owns (20%/80%)
of pig iron
process
EFTA00730644
Product Margins and Free Cash Flow Yield Calculations
Products
Oxide Margins
Iron Ore Margins
Pig iron Margins
Price ($ftonne)
Volume (tonnes)
$250 donne
0.600
Price ($0.86:dmtu)
Volume (tonnes)
$60 ;tonne
3.400
Price ($lonne)
volume (tonnes)
$400 ;tonne
2.244
Revenue
Cash cost
Transportation
$60 /tonne
$10 donne
$150
$36
$6
Revenue
Cash cost
Transportation
$47 /tonne
$2 /tonne
$204
$160
$7
Revenue
Cash cost
Transportation
$300 /tonne
$10 /tonne
$898
$673
$22
Total cost
$70 /tonne
$42
Total cost
$49 /tonne
$167
Total cost
$310 /tonne
$696
SITDA
E180 /tonne
$108
EBITDA
$11 /tonne
$37
SITDA
$90 /tonne
$202 r
6347
% margin
72%
% margin
18%
% margin
23%
Wings ownership (100%)
$108
Wings ownership (100%)
S37
Wings ownership (80%)
$162
$307
Free Cash Flow Yields
Unlevered FCF Yield %
Financial Partner Levered FCF Yield %
Msc start-up costs
$50
Financial Partner hvestment
$150
Tailings facility
$150
Mne development costs
$180
Levered FCF (steady state)
$171
Benet ication tacily
$150
Ownership %
70%
Roane
$70
Financial Partner FCF
$119
Total (Gross)
$600
Tailings monetization
($175)
yield %
80%
Total (Net)
$425
Unlevered FCF (LOM average)
$176
yield %
41%
5
EFTA00730645
Overview #1: Oxides
GLENCOU
• -1mm tonne market in the U.S.
• There are only two mines globally which contain sufficient Fe content to produce specialty and chemical oxides
• Historically, the Pea Ridge Mine was the sole supplier of oxides to the U.S. market
• When Pea Ridge closed in 2001, oxide purchasers were required to switch to the Kiruna Mine in Sweden
-The distance from most U.S. oxide purchasers to the Kiruna Mine is over 5,000 miles
• Jim Kennedy can hire Gene Koebbe, the former Quality Control and Customer Representative for Pea Ridge, now working for Reiss
Viking / Koch as well as someone from Prince and Akers
5450
$400
$350
$100
$250
$200
$150
$100
$50
•
Type
End Market
Customers
Price/ton
Volume
Revenue
Specialty wade
Water treatment
Kemira. General Chemical $130-$170
100.000 tons
$15.0.
.
___
Heavy media
Akers. Massey
_ .
$180-$220
_ .
400.000 tons
_ _
$80.0
Chemical grade 71%
Pigments
Prince. Penn Mag
$230-$350
200.000 tons
$58.0
Chemical grade ++71%
Brake pads. ceramics
Misc
5400-$1.200
150.000 tons
$120.0
$321
850,000 tons
$273.0
Production and Logistical Cost Comparison
Reiss-Viking (Kiruna Mine in Sweden) vs. Wings Enterprises (Pea Ridge Mine in Missouri)
70% Fe Speclolty Gude
Iron Oxides
71% Ft un.sizad Cnorr. ca2 Grade
"On OakleS
3541t:n a um
$314/v.
OHM ins
cog ice mtg.
Mho'
Mena
Iffeleassid
71.0%Ft Pt t0:1011 nulled
and Sind °Iowa, Glade
kanaeldes
Oxide Margins
Price ($11onne)
Volume (tonnes)
Revenue
S250 lonne
0.600
$150
Cash cost
$60 /tonne
$36
Transportation
$10 'tonne
$6
Total cost
$70 /tonne
$42
EBITDA
5180 /tonne
$108
% margin
72%
6
EFTA00730646
Overview #2: Iron Ore
GLENCOU
• The ideal strategy is to lock in 3mm tons of iron ore sales to our pig iron partner
-The vast majority of iron ore is concentrated in the Mesabi region of the U.S. and is owned by vertically integrated BOF steel producers
- Cleveland Cliffs is the only major merchant iron ore producers in the U.S.
- The market is very tight with few imports/exports
- Merchant sales of iron is a suboptimal strategy
- Wings' cash cost is competitive, but it would be reliant on robust steel production such that BOFs possess insufficient capacity
Iron Ore Cost and Margin Comparison
Average 65% Fe North American Steel Grade Iron Ore vs. 70% Fe Wings Special Grade Iron Ore
Production Cost per Ton Finished Ton
Wings
Production
Cost/Ton
S zo
Hoisted Cost Per Ton
$22.45 x 6mm tpy
$33.40
70°A Fe Concentrate
$11.50 x 4mm tpy
$11.50
Pipeline to River
$2.10 x 4mm tpy
$2.10
Stan
Fully Diluted Worst Case Production Cost°
$47.00
S too
WingartOretka
craft
Cleveland Cliffs
Cash Operating Expenses
$1.499
Oi
S18.5/ton
Tonnes (mmj
22.7
SW
Cash Cost (Mona)
$66.04
(22%)
toff margin
SWUM
(18%)
gloss romp.
Iron Ore Margins
Soo
Price ($0.66/dirtu)
$60 :Yonne
SWAM
S91 Roo
martio Moo
Volume (tonnes)
3.400
S'o
Market Price
65%Fle MM
gaol We
$66/ton
roma
prodtxtion
Con
70%f de
SOne.
Revenue
$204
Cash cost
5471tonne
$160
wing ere
$20
Vitt t
Clit
rAft
Transportation
$2 :Yonne
$7
Total cost
$49 itonne
$167
SO
EBITDA
$11 /tonne
$37
Onent Noah Aintica,
AVMS.%
Wimp Preforms
% margin
18%
Wings ownership 100%
$37
I Includes dewatering cost at River Site
2 Wings 70% magnetite concentrate. If one assuming a $1.32dmtu. then Wings' product would earn $1.32 x 5= -$6.5arton more than Cleveland Cliffs
7
EFTA00730647
GLENCOR
Overview #3: Pig Iron
• Market Overview:
-The U.S. imports 4-10mm tons of pig iron annually from Brazil (70% of imports) and Eastern Europe (20%)
• 3 types of pig iron:
End Market
Ingredients
Basic
EAF steel production & iron castings
<1.5% Silicon. 0.5.1.0% M2. <0.12% Phos
Foundry grade
Grey iron castings
godurar—
iron castings
Z.55.%
alnPhos
<1.5%-3.5% Silicon, 0.5-1.0% Mg, <0.12% Phos
i▪ t Wings will produce foundry grade (15-20% premium)
• Pricing:
- Pricing is a function of scrap price and capacity utilization in steel mills (i.e.- it scrap price I or utilization t then pig iron price I)
- Kobe Steel estimates the long-term price of pig iron to be $400/ton
- Brazilian pig iron cash costs are about $500/ton FOB
- When pig iron prices last hit $250/ton, 80% of Brazilian capacity was curtailed
•Strategy:
- Wings has close geographic proximity to 27 EAFs in the region
Pig Iron Margins
Price ($itonne)
$400 "tonne
volume (tonnes)
2.244
Revenue
$898
Cash cost
$300 /tonne
$673
Transportation
$10 donne
$22
Taal cost
$310 donne
$696
8
EBITDA
S90 Ronne
$202
% margin
23%
EFTA00730648
Overview #3: Pig Iron
Pig Iron Cost Comparison (Wings vs. Brazil)
Wings
Brazil
Consumption
Unit
Unit
Cost/ton
CosVton
per ton
Amount
Cost
Nuggets
Nuggets
Iron oxide (I)
1.5
$47
$71
$208
Coal (0
0.5
$325
$163
$163
Natural gas (GJoules)
5.0
$4.00
$20
$33
Other ($)
$64
$45
Subtotal
$317
$449
Logistics Brazil
C
$32
Ocean Freight
C
$20
Logistics USA
$10
$13
Total
$327
$514
Yield increasetost Decrease
10%
0%
Total Cost ($Iron)
$294
$514 I
75% greater
Foundry grade premium
($50)
Total Cost (Snon) • w. foundry prem.
$244
$514
110% greater
Wings will produce a 4.70% Fe. increasing yields by 10% or more.
GLENCOU
9
EFTA00730649
GLENCOR
Overview #3: Pig Iron (Cont'd)
• Existing project: Mesabi Nugget Project — Steel Dynamics and Kobe Steel
• Currently producing 500.000 tons and plans to increase production (all for Steel Dynamics internal consumption)
• Start-up capex per unit $200mm-$250mm
• Kobe Steel also has a project in Vietnam producing 2mm tons per year with 3 units
• Kobe would arrange financing for 70%-80% of the pig iron facility
•There are currently no merchant pig iron producers in the United States
- Almost all domestic iron ore is controlled by vertically integrated BOFs who do not to supply their EAF competitors with supplies
- Pig iron production has historically been a very pollutive and energy intensive endeavor
- EAFs historically purchased pig iron from Brazil which lacked environmental regulations and access to cheap charcoal/coke
- Coal currently sells for $325/ton
- Pig iron production normally requires 0.5-0.6 tons of charcoal/ coke for each ton of iron ore
• Wings' pig iron technology
- Kobe system is attractive because it requires half the levels of charcoal/coke
- Wing's technology reduces emissions by 40% and energy use by 30%
-We can use Kobe Steel's ITkm3 technology to produce pig iron with a cost/ton of $300/ton
- Jim Kennedy prefers to use Omnisource's technology with a cost/ton of $200-$280/ton
10
EFTA00730650
Historical Pricing
BRAZIL MPI PRICE DEVELOPMENT
5100)
5403
PO)
5603
5103
$4,3
5303
5203
5103
So
No •I
MO,
...in•enfolern/31104111001310•1
-11310.01101,101emilliell
1110
1111111 ~1miiillllllll
NIADUANMPIPRKU
Current value:
00010n FOB
MP
MN
IMP
Mel
h•IN
Mo,
NINI
rn le
Iron ore prices (5/metric ton based on 64% iron content)
GLENCO1<
SCRAP-MPI PRICE DEVELOPMENT
5c. Oc
INK
SIM
WO<
Ism
550C
51m
'MC
slm
5:
1.•••01 Area: 1•• l7 On 0) /N•011 Apt Ot
:
Current value: -$125/ton CFR
($ price and 96 change)
175
150
125
100 •
7536
SO •
25
0
4
•
Lump
10 year average = $71/ton = $1.10dm
0
87% A
Source: Otis and vanous industry pu bbCatiOnSfrepOrtS
DMTU: $0.47
$0.55 $0.63
$1.25
$1.17 $1.25 $2.20
$1.14
$1.95
EFTA00730651
Pig Iron Data
USA Ore Based Metallics Imports - Tonnes
10:0.000
4003000
0:30000
1.10$000
3=000
1500.000
1.0.0.003
1X0$000
100000
Min
UMW
131.014
1,161.461
1.401.154
2003 31P1
29:19 IAN
1003 001
I0091101
• SOMA
• TAMA!
IP Veit nab
• Uttar*
• Mime
• GYM
2008 DRI/HBI Production
Mellon Metric Tons
20
18 -
16 -
14
12 -
8
6
4
2
0
I
2008 World DRI/HBI
production: 68.5 mt
Diamond =
HSI countries
iDnfor=—
it
iHi
i
i
i1
8
1
1
1
I
$* 1
a
1
Dots scurvy lAldre• Technologies l NOM
GLENCOKE
$100
$SCO
5400
$100
$200
$103
so
MPI - VALUE CHAIN
0,01000 PAN 1Y0k31 value chain
tWOUL. $35
ganef !ma WM.
US
CurcOak $195
MPI COST STRUCTURE
Raw Materials
Iron ore ("1600 kg / 1000 kg pig iron)
Coke or charcoal (500600 kg or 2.5-3.0mt / 1000 kg pig iron]
Fluxes, etc.
•Production
• Smelting • metal treatment + casting
+Logistics
• Delivery to FOB lbente/rail/terminal, etc.)
• Ocean Freight
• Delivery to customer Iclischarge/barip/rael/truck/stockyard, etc.)
❖Financing
+Trader/distributor margin
12
EFTA00730652
Rare Earth Metals
GLENCOU
• Pea Ridge possesses the highest value of heavy rare earth elements of any permitted mine globally
• The Pea Ridge deposit is classified as a "Strategic and Critical- asset by the USGS
• Producing 20,000tpy of rare earth concentrates could possibly be more valuable than the 4mm tonnes of iron ore concentrates
• Much of Wings rare earth ore production will be at no cost, as it is a byproduct of the normal beneficiation process for the iron ore
• China controls '-97% of total rare earth supply
• Global demand expected to grow to190-210kt REO per year by 2014, representing a +10% CAGR over 2008 levels (124kt)
• China expected to supply only 160 -170kt per year by 2014
-The numbers above suggest a minimum shortfall of 30kt annually. GMP notes that the shortage could be as high as 50kt annually
-Global availability of REOs will depend to a large extent on China's export policies. Further restrictions will increase the planned shortfall.
• The lower value REE from the mine could sell for $11/kilo ($11,000/ton) — volume would be -5,000 tpy
• The higher value REE from the breccia pipes could sell for $18/kilo ($18,000/ton) - volume would be -10,000 tpy
Pea Ridge has the highest value Heavy Rare Earths Distribution of any
Permitted mine in the World
100
95
90
aS
10
75
70
6S
60
Relative REO Distribution of Lanthanides
Pea Ridge vs. Other Deposits
se UGY geftd, Pr. Oy •GSA
1
Mt Pass
0rotou
MI Weld
Nol•nt
Pea 0.46.
13%.• SOW
21%- Nd.. Pr., Dy.
66%- Ce. + La.
SEGY = Heaviest and Most Valuable (Samarium. Europium. Gadolinium. Yttrium. and Terbrum)
Nd. Pr. Dy = The kiddie REO Values (Neodymium. Praseodymium and Dysprosium)
Ce • La • The Light abundant and lowest value (Cerium and Lanthanum)
19,,000
30,,000
(
)
• Inc
Inc
so.=
Rare Earths Suppty IS Demand
2008
2108E
1010E
2011E
2017E
2013E
2314E
Ctela Se*
oft0INS.pm
—Cara Cenrd
GOA Derund
13
EFTA00730653
GLENCOR
Investment Merits
• One of the two highest quality magnetite reserves mines in the world (57% Fe ore and 70% Fe concentrate)
- Capable of serving the specialty and chemical oxides markets (+$250/ton price) and foundry grade pig iron (15-20% premium to basic)
• Low cost producer at $47/ton
- Iron ore: $47/ton fully diluted cost vs. $65-$75/ton for the industry'
• $40/ton 'apples to apples- cost comparison with 65% Fe producers and '-$28/ton if byproduct production is included2
- Oxides: Kiruna Mine (Sweden) has 4x higher cost structure excluding transportation cost of -$50/ton
- Pig iron: Cost basis (FOB) could be the lowest globally - $300/ton potential + $10/ton transportation = $310/ton
• Logistical advantage
- Pig iron — Wings can function as the only U.S. merchant pig iron producer servicing a 500 mile circumference primarily by barge
• 4-10mm tons demand currently serviced by Brazil (+3,000 miles from Nola) and Eastern Europe (+6,000 miles from Nola)
- Oxides— Specialty/chemical oxide producers currently source product from the Kiruna Mine in Sweden (+5,000 miles)
• Upside Potential From Other Assets
• Byproducts (cob rock, phosphorous, and REM) could generate north of $2,000mm LOM
14
(1)
$65-$70/ton operating cost for Cleveland Cliffs and $75tIon-for NA: Australia estimated at $4Mon: China can range from $40,ton-$80ff on
(2)
$40/ton effective cost = f$47.00 $1.32 x (70%-65%)]; Byproducts could reduce cost/ton by another $10-$14/ton
EFTA00730654
GLENCOlk
Financial Model
15
EFTA00730655
Liquidation Analysis
ASSET LIQUIDATION VALUATION SUMMARY
Mcnt;
Under Ground Iron Ore Deposit.
150mm tons of proven reserves
105mm tons of finished iron ore
Full Feasability Sale Value
S
$120mm
= 3x reserves = $450mm - $330mm startup costs
It would cost over $150mm to discover and "prove out"
a green field ore body of similar size today (no
permits or infrastructure included)
Existing Operations:
Residual from 38 yrs of running the mill
This is finished inventory: Sold as off spec oxides
[330kT x (1-31% loss)] x ($120/ton - $18/ton) = $24mm
$20mm
330.000 tons at surface of mine
Tailings Lake Reserve •
(1) Rare Earth: REE willing to pay $25mm for 25% of the
$240mm
rare earths = $100mm value
(2) Hematite - 4MT x $77/ton (price) - $15.1ton (transport)
- $18/ton (processing) = $175mm
(3) Maanetite - 1MT x 31% loss = 700kT x $200/ton (price)
-$151ton (transport)-$18/ton (processing) = $115mm
MINUS $150mm cost for tailings lake facility
River Property/Port
Jefferson County has approved $21mm of Industrial
Revenue Bonds for other real estate properties.
Wings would own 2.5 miles of therfront
properties. Am believes the value is: $50-100mm
S10mm
Total
$390mm
Value Not Included
(1) Capex funded by Bethlehem Steel from the 1950s-2001 (invested $75mm into the mine in 1950s alone)
(2) Two major rail lines (BNSF and Union Pacific) intersecting on the property
(3) Two shafts in the mine which go down 2.500 feet
(4) 5 miles of underground roads
(5) 30MW of electrical service onsite
GLENCO1<
16
EFTA00730656
(a)
(b)
(a)
(b)
Sources & Uses
Debt: pipeline
Debt: nine development & f acilities
Taillings Monetization
Financial Partner - Correnn Equity
SOURCES ($mm)
Lain
$70
$240
$215
$150
la
10%
36%
32%
22%
gat
4.0%
8.0%
NA
NA
TOTAL
$675
100%
Equity Ownership
Existinq
Post Deal
Jim KennedyNna Abboud
Glencore
Financial Partner
30%
70%
-
30%
30%
40%
TOTAL
100%
100%
Debt: Mine Development and Facilities
Asset Amt
%Debt
Debt Arnt
Tailings lacility
$150.0
50%
Mine development costs
$180.0
50%
Benelication facility
$150.0
50%
$75.0
$90.0
$75.0
$480.0
1
$240.0
Tailings Monetization
Rthenue
EBIMA
$850.0
$400.0
NPV 631. 24.9%
$215.4
Phase I
Phase
Phase!!
Phase II
Phase!!
Phase II
GLENCOU
USES Sin m
$amt
24
Msc start-up costs
$40
6%
Iron ore development costs
Nine dev. costs (start up)
$180
27%
Iron ore beneficiation facity
$150
22%
Taings Lake lack/
$150
22%
Pipeful system w . dew ater
$70
10%
Cash on balance sheet
$85
13%
Dividend
TOTAL
$675
100%
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Total
170.0
170.0
170.0
170.0
170.0
850.0
80.0
80.0
80.0
80.0
80.0
400.0
17
EFTA00730657
Assumptions
Cumuluati% Over 5 yrs
Iron ore tailings monetization INCLUDED in the Model
Revenue
EBIIDA
1) Hematite - 4.8MT x 31% loss = 3,360kt x $120/ton (price) - $15/ton (transport) - $18/ton (process
$403.2
$292.3
2) Magnetite - 1MT x 31% loss = 700kT x $200/ton (price) -$15/ton (transport)-$18/ton (processing)
1412-4
11E.2
543.2
409.2
Phosphorous and rare earth tailings EXCLUDED from Model
1) Phosohnrmic - 1MT x $100/ton (price) - $15/ton (transport)-$18/ton (processing)
100.0
67.0
2) REM - 75KT x $10/kilo (price) x 1000 kilos/ton -$15/ton (transport)-$18/ton (processing)
750.0
746.0
$850.0
$813.0
Cumulative
▪ All non-tailings byproducts EXCLUDED from the Model
1) Cob Rock - 1MT/yr x $14/ton (price) = $14mm/yr x 30 years
2) Phosphorous - 300KT/yr (for 5 yrs) and 50kT/yr (for 25 yrs) x $100/ton
3) REM - 144KT x $10/kilo (price) x 1000 kilos/ton
▪ Pricing
- Iron ore: $1.10/dmtu (model) vs. $1.95 $/dmtu current value'
- Pig imn:$400/ton (model) vs. $500/ton current value
- Specialty and chemical oxides: $250/ton (model) vs. $320/ton (guidance)
- Low end oxides sell for $140/ton: Heavy: $220/ton: Specialty: +$700/ton
- Pricing groat!): 0%
Opex
- Iron ore: $47/ton (model) vs. $47/ton guidance
- Pio Iron: $300/ton (model) vs. $280/ton guidance
- Oxides: $60/ton (model) vs. $47/ton guidance
.'-Transportation cost
- Iron ore: $2/ton
- Pig Iron: $10/ton
- Oxides: $10/ton
'..-Tax rate of 35% vs. 23% guidance
I) Implies $0.86 for every 1% of Fe. Wings' iron ore contains -70% Fe which equals a price of $0.86 x 70 = $60.00/ton
over 30 yrs
EBITDA
$420.0
275.0
1.440.0
$2,135.0
GLENCOU
18
EFTA00730658
EBITDA Build
GLENCOU
EBITDA BUILD UP
Year
-4
-3
-2
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Specialty/Chemical Oxides 8. Iron Ore
2006
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2016
2010
Production (mm tones)
Crude Ore
c- 6rnm fon capacity
1.752
5.025
5.500
6.000
6.000
6.030
6.030
6.000
Flotation Concentrate Weight Yield @ %
69.0 <-- % of code ore that becomes saleable volume
1.209
3.467
3.795
4.140
4.140
4.140
4.140
4.140
Revenue
ore.ktity thanlrol Addax
Vottsne (tones)
0.600 <- U.S. market size - !mm tones
0.600
0.603
0.600
0.600
0.600
0.600
0.603
0.600
Pnce (Stone)
$250.00 <- Low end: $140: Heavy: $220: Specialty: $700.
$250.00
$250.00
$250.00
$250.00
$250.00
$250.00
$250.00
$250.00
Revenue Specialty/Chemical Oxides
150.0
(50.0
150.0
150.0
150.0
150.0
(50.0
150.0
kin fa
Volume available alter oxide sales
0.609
2.867
3.195
3.540
3.540
3.540
3.540
3.540
Iron Om Fine;Pig Iron Grade. % Fe
Fines Concentrate feed. Um ei Sfdrntu
70.0 <- Avg% Fe grade
$0.86' <- Omen, value is $1.95
Price (Stone)
$60.00
$60.00
$60.00
$60.00
$60.00
$60.00
$60.00
$60.00
$60.00
$60.00
Revenue (Iron Ore)
36.5
1720
f9f.7
2(2.4
212.4
2124
2124
212.4
Revenue (Existing Operations)'
4.4
4.4
4.4
4.4
3.2
Revenue (Total)
4.4
190.9
326.4
346.1
365.6
362.4
362.4
362.4
362.4
Operating Cots
Specialty/Chemical Oxides
$60.00 <-- A4a)ontyai $47non. Chemical can be 20-30% high
36.0
36.0
36.0
36.0
36.0
36.0
36.0
36.0
Iron ore (70% Fe)
$47.00 Fully °fluted *a.Y in-: embeds $6.lon of mine develops
28.6
134.8
150.2
166.4
166.4
166.4
166.4
166.4
Total Operating Cast
64.6
1'70.8
(86.2
202.4
202.4
202.4
2024
202.4
Transportation Cost (oxides)
$10.00
6.0
6.0
6.0
6.0
6.0
6.0
6.0
6.0
Transportation Cost ((otron ore)
bits=
$2.00
1.2
5.7
6.4
7.1
7.I
7.f
7.f
7.1
Fully loaded operating cost
c- Eftecuve 'MC cast
$53.45
$49.25
$49.06
$48.88
$48.88
$48.88
$48.88
$48.88
EBITDA
4.4
119.1
I43.9
147.6
150.1
146.9
1469
(46.9
1469
man ,:
Concentrate available alter oxide sales
0.609
2.867
3.195
3.540
3.540
3.540
3.540
3.540
Pig iron volume
66.7% <-. f .5mm tons concentrate makes lmm tan pig Ira
0.406
1.912
2.130
2.360
2.360
2.360
2.360
2.360
Price ($350/tome • $sOttome premium)
$400.00' <-- Current value is $500 FOB . $30 transport from 8
$400.00
$400.00
$400.00
$400.00
8400.00
$400.00
$400.00
$400.00
Revenue Pig Ion
c-- Earns an extra 15-20% to (pondy grade quality
162.4
764.6
852.0
944.0
944.0
944.0
944.0
944.0
Operating Cots
Pig ton Costs
$300.00 <-- Brazil - $50Ctilon; Kobe System - $309Ton; own
121.8
573.5
639.0
708.0
708.0
708.0
708.0
708.0
Total Operating Cast
12/.8
573.5
639.0
708.0
708.0
708.0
708.0
708.0
Trans pan anon Cost (peg iron)
$10.00 c--Same cost
4. I
19.1
21.3
23.6
23.6
216
216
23.6
Pig Iron EBITDA
36.5
172.0
191.7
2124
2124
212.4
212.4
212.4
Kobe Steel ownership (20%)
7.3
34.4
38.3
42.5
42.5
42.5
42.5
42.5
Wings ownership (80%)
29.2
137.6
153.4
169.9
169.9
169.9
169.9
10'9
Existing operations consists of a minimum of 330.000 tons 010(0 sitting at the surface of the mine: this volume is the result of spillage over the 38 years from when the mine was in production
Math on existing operations: $120/ton $30/ton costs x 330.000 tons x (1.30% loss) = $21 inventory EBITDA over 5 years
EFTA00730659
Consolidated Financials
G L E NCOKE
Case #2: Pig Iron & Oxides - Byproducts (
-2
-1
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
Memo:
Revenue
320.8
938.1
1.027.7
1.120.8
1.117.6
1.117.6
1.117.6
1.117.6
1.117.6
1.117.6
Operating Costs
172.5
656.5
726.8
800.7
800.7
800.7
800.7
800.7
800.7
800.7
EBITDA - Mine
0.0
4.4
148.3
281.6
300.9
320.0
316.9
316.9
316.9
316.9
316.9
316.9
. EBITDA - Tailings
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
- Depreciation 8 Amortization
0.0
100.0
101.9
107.3
113.3
119.9
126.4
32.9
37.6
38.6
39.1
39.1
EB1T
0.0
(95.6)
48.5
174.2
187.6
200.1
190.5
283.9
279.3
278.2
277.7
277.7
1.0% Interest income
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.4
8.0% Interpol Expense - Project Financing
19.2
14.4
4.8
-
-
-
4.0% Interpol Expense - Pipeline
2.8
2.8
1.4
-
-
-
Profit before tax
(117.1)
29.7
168.5
188.0
200.6
190.9
284.4
279.7
278.7
278.2
278.2
NOLs
1171
87.4
-
-
-
-
-
-
Taxable income
-
81.1
188.0
200.6
190.9
284.4
279.7
278.7
276.2
278.2
Taxes
35.0%
-
28.4
65.8
70.2
66.8
99.5
97.9
97.5
97.4
97.4
Net income
(117.1)
29.7
140.1
122.2
130.4
124.1
184.9
181.8
181.2
180.8
180.8
CASH FLOW STATEMENT
Net income
(117.1)
29.7
140.1
122.2
130.4
124.1
184.9
181.8
181.2
180.8
180.8
Depreciation 8 Amortization
100.0
101.9
107.3
113.3
119.9
126.4
32.9
37.6
38.6
39.1
39.1
A Waking Ca lel
Operating Cash Flow
(17A)
131.6
247.5
235.6
250.3
250.5
217.8
219.4
219.8
219.9
219.9
lExpandonary Capital Expenditures
Cumulative
Pig Iron Plant Construction
Tailings Lake Facility
(150.0)
(150.0)
Beneficiation Plant
(150.0)
(150.0)
Mine Development Costs
(180.0)
(180.0)
Pipeline
(70.0)
(70.0)
Misr: Start-Up Costs
(50.0)
(50.0)
Expansionary Capin
(600.0)
(600.0)
3.5% Maintenance Capex
(979.8)
(11.2)
(32.8)
(36.0)
(39.2)
(39.1)
(39.1)
(39.1)
(39.1)
(39.1)
(39.1)
Cash Flow from Inwstirg
(1.579.8)
(600.0)
(11.2)
(32.8)
(36.0)
(39.2)
(39.1)
(39.1)
(39.1)
(39.1)
(39.1)
(39.1)
Cash Flow Available or Debt Paydown
120.4
214.6
199.6
211.0
211.4
178.7
180.3
180.6
180.8
180.8
Minmetals debt payoff
(14.0)
bdustrial revenue bond paydown
(120.4)
(119.6)
Pig Iron debt paydown
Pipeline debt paydown
(70.0)
Cash Flow from Financing
(14.0)
(120.4)
(189.6)
Cash Flow Available for Dividends
25.0
199.8
211.0
211.4
178.7
180.3
180.6
180.8
180.8
EFTA00730660
IRR Analysis
Qffidefrit
Jim KemedyiNine Abboud
Glamor°
Financial Penner
30.0%
30.0%
40.0%
• 1
2
3
4
6
GLENCOKE
8
9
10
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
L5
7.5
10.0
59.9
59.9
79.8
63.3
63.3
84.4
63.4
63.4
84.5
53.6
53.6
71.5
5t.1
54.1
72.1
54.2
54.2
72.3
54.2
54.2
72.3
512
54.2
723
Tots
1t» 0,,
25.0
199.6
211.0
211.4
178.7
180.3
180.6
180.8
180.8
Escrease,(Oecrease) in Cash on B'S
(631.1)
RETURNS ANALYSIS - FINANCIAL PARTIER
Imestmeni
(150.0)
Dardends from operations - (40% equity stake)
10.0
79.8
84.4
84.5
71.5
72.1
72.3
72.3
72.3
Total
(150.0)
10.0
79.8
84.4
84.5
71.5
72.1
72.3
72.3
72.3
IRR (held for LOM)
28.4%
MOIC
10.8x
Le‘ered FCF - Taal
(17.1)
120.4
214.6
199.6
211.0
211.4
176.7
180.3
190.6
180.8
180.8
Leered FCF Financial Penner (40% equdy)
1150.0j
(6.9)
48.1
85.9
79.8
81.4
84.5
71.5
72.1
72.3
72.3
72.3
Yield %
(4.6%)
321%
57.2%
53.2%
56.3%
58.4%
47.6%
48.1%
48.2%
48.2%
48.2.4
Assume Sale of Asset in 2015 (Year 5):
EBITDA in 2016
5317
Mahal.)
5.08
Enterprise Value
1.584
- Debt
0
Cash
44
&pity Value
1.629
Finacial Penner Ownership (40%)
asI
IRR (Sale In Year 5)
34.1%J
RETURNS ANALYSIS - FULL PROJECT
Unlegmed FCF
(460.0)
37.9.
120.8
187.8
199.3
210.7
211.1
178.4
180.0
180.4
180.5
180.5
Yield%
32%
26.3%
40.8%
43.3%
4S8%
45.9%
3a"
39.1%
39.2%
39.2%
39.2%
IRR
31.1%1
NPV
0%
12,130
NPV 4)10%
$715
NPV WO%
3215
NPV WO%
87
21
EFTA00730661
Balance Sheet and Operating Stats
GLENCOU
-1
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
BALANCE SHEET
Assets
Latestil
t/-
125/611Bagi
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2018
2017
2018
2019
Current Assets:
Cash
0.0
675.4
675.4
44.3
44.3
44.3
44.3
44.3
44.3
44.3
44.3
44.3
.ler
__QA
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
Subtotal
1.0
676.4
45.2
45.2
45.2
45.2
45.2
45.2
45.2
45.2
45.2
Gross PP8E
4.4
4.4
604.4
615.6
648.4
684.4
723.6
762.7
801.9
841.0
880.1
Acc. Depr.
(0.7)
(0.7)
(100.71
(
k02.
(309.9)
(423.31
(643.2)
(669.6)
(7025)
(740.0)
(778.6)
Net PP&E
3.6
3.6
503.6
413.0
338.5
261.1
180.5
93.2
99.4
100.9
101.5
Total
4.6
675.4
680.0
508.9
458.2
383.7
306.3
225.7
138.4
144.6
106.2
146.7
l iabilities X. Fixity
Curren1 Liabilties
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
Debt
Existing Debt
14.0
10.0
Debt: pteine
-
70.0
70.0
70.0
70.0
Debt: mire developmen1 8 taciities
-
210.0
210.0
240.0
119.6
Debt: Pig Iron Facility
-
-
-
Subtotal
14.0
321.0
310.0
189.6
Existing Common Stock
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
Glencore . Equity
-
-
-
-
-
Financial Penner- Equity
-
150.0
150.0
150.0
160.0
160.0
150.0
150.0
150.0
150.0
150.0
160.0
Retained Earnings
(10.51
215.4
204.9
87.7
117.4
232.6
155.2
74.6
(12.7)
(6.5)
15.01
(4.51
Subtotal
(10.4)
355.0
237.8
267.5
382.7
3C6.3
224.7
137.4
1416
145.1
145.6
Total
4.6
675.4
680.0
548.9
468.2
383.7
306.3
226.7
138.4
144.6
146.2
146.7
Check
OK
OK
OK
OK
OK
OK
OK
OK
OK
OK
OK
OK
OPERATING & FINANCIAL METRICS
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Raceme (womb %
192.4%
9.5%
9.1%
10.3%)
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Opex margin
53.8%
70.0%
70.7%
71.4%
71.6%
71.6%
71.6%
71.6%
EBITDA margin
46.2%
30.0%
29.3%
28.6%
28.0%
28.4%
28.4%
28.4%
EBIF margin
14.6%
18.6%
18.3%
17.9%
17.0%
25.4%
25.0%
24.9%
Net income margin
9.3%
14.9%
11.9%
11.6%
11.1%
16.5%
16.3%
16.2%
Capex as 14 of sales
(3.5%)
(3.5%)
(3.5%)
(3.5%)
(3.5%)
(3.5%)
(3.5%)
(3.5%)
DebtfEBI1DA
70.3x
1.3x
0.0x
0.0x
0.Ox
0.0x
0.Ox
0.0x
0.Ox
EBI1DAiinterest
0.2x
10.3x
58.8x
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
EFTA00730662
Sensitivities
Sale in Year 5 - Exit at 5x 2016 EBITDA
Sensitivities at: $47 Iron Ore Cost / $300 Pig Iron Cost
IRR Sensitized to PIG IRON PRICE and OXIDE PRICE
Oxide Price ($/tonne)
OC
a." ec
$300
$350
$400
$450
$500
$550
150
29%
37%
43%
49%
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
21%
25%
22%
25%
28%
31%
34%
32%
34%
37%
39%
41%
39%
41%
43%
45%
47%
45%
47%
49%
50%
52%
50%
52%
53%
55%
56%
GLENCOU
23
EFTA00730663
GLENCOU
Appendix
24
EFTA00730664
U.S. Steel Supply/Demand (MT)
GLENCO1<
132
110
Net imports as
a%ef
17%
12%
19%
11%
9%
10%
976
ION
10%
11%
11%
11%
consumption
119
709
135
122
108
•Productim • Consume=
110
101
86
nn
so
suraptIo rt
Gt
s con
s•
4%
'09
4-
112
44
89
011
114
104
100
104
117
114
104
2004
2005
2006
2007
2006
2009
20110E
2011E
2012E
2015E
2014E
2015E
Source. Metal Strategies
25
EFTA00730665
GLENCOKE
Iron Ore Transaction Comps
Acquirer
Date
Premium
Paid
<KW Porto
DS rose
Mnattnetment)
seåke
Acquwee
Cipacily
Resents
—outom
Implied Transaction Multiple
Production of
Full Capacity
PAWN.
Implied FY
acRY
PM%
Rasmos
Ore IMO
Average
Adjusted
Resources
*4_""9.
AdNsled
Implied AV ' Ate. Implied FY 44.
Grade
I% Fe)
wad
Xel
Regemes6' (MO
Ore (MU
Resources"' GM
*
Reserves 1055'1) Resources N981)
Australian Precedents
Autos Remote,'
United Meer.) Cary
Femme Lid
Untied MerteraM C*19
Waraick Resources
At a% Rosette**
BMPEI Rio Patters JV
Weeiern Khan ~wages
Forlesore
Hammereley Iron
Centric
lAeun1G1beon Iron
dams (Midst.* Metals)
Me alien Bulk Minerals
Golden Weil Resources
Strike Resources
dengue Lid
Midwest
Cap* lambert
Centres
PUStfOilltåig.
Mineralogy
Mean
Median
Other Precedents
Slmandou
(BSG Resources Guinea)
Asia iron Moldings Lid
consonance Thompson
Corumbo
Perlman Ltd
JMendes
Minas4bo 1.94% Project
Amapa Mine MMX Protect
Mean
Median
Toed 1~
%Mal Median
Source: Citi Investment Banking
Mee Ilen
BHP Men
ChIneReelellylArlerlare
ChIneReelellylArlerlare
Ada hen/Hannay
Baaalad
81P13Ø
10810-10
123
16-0d4.19
185
09-33-09
11
035.49
23
osseper3
36
28.Aug.29
246
054n06
5.600
vrtSCO
04.51524)9
13
Huron Valk
243~9
822
Cheek*
1236:09
5.150
«CO
1500,08
148
AMC
034:/o4.08
sisetteare
Amigo iron &Steel
CO-Nes-08
109
Grange Retsawces
25-Ses-08
667
Hs« WM
12.Aug-09
29
Geier«
26-MM
46
Weetwn King
8544008
IS
Sheskel
Madera
1.107
Chew Metellursied
25h006
374
Cleeteu
25-8m-07
3S
Sheuglre
214.0.47
121
MCPeale
314~03
415
Vale
50
67
30.4pr.10
25:0
173.0%
450%
1.9%
22.4%
18.3%
108%)
200%
Ni
192%
Ni
11.1%
MA%
MS%
»ex
o.Ses
12.0%
34.1%
27%
51.7%
Ni
Ni
(13.0%)
Ni
42.9%
26.2%
Ni
100%
ICO%
12%
11%
78%
15%
5%
50%
16%
IC%
40%
11%
14%
24%
IGO%
11%
10%
103%
100%
50%
50%
100%
6.0
We
We
We
Na
250
4250
We
550
1700
Ne
10/3
20.5
nl
We
We
Na
46.9
272.3
Na
90.8
202.0
We
46.7
67
sax
35
100
e2%
66
238
45%
106
456
45%
206
O
We
Ne
158
58%
92
Na
We
Ne
87
59%
39
Na
We
Ne
158
SS%
92
rda
Na
n%
26
56%
15
O
Ws
nY
649
57%
126
4.774
61%
2.916
24.923
60%
15.070
M
nå
ne
589
35%
202
1.66
50%
957
1.799
59%
1364
1525
6114
991
5.910
61%
3515
Ne
tel
Ne
685
55%
483
51%
Ne
2.4
Ne
Ne
Ne
7.5
Ne
Ne
114
27.6
We
We
230.3
We
We
We
147.4
nl
We
21.1
15.0
114.3
68.8
il“lialoilWilR
3614
6
1.69
33%
0.489
a
231
52%
tn
Ne
119
59%
tel
Ne
172
62%
tel
Ne
94
59%
58%
5
568
41%
tn
Ne
979
31%
Ne
Ne
250
36%
We
Ne
1.100
31%
We
Ne
LOW
32%
Ne
vel
tel
Ne
CharesirqChoowarg
lea
viumn
Vale
CloglaneCalls Inc
UemOse
leg% American
Mroes-09
260
3044.05
240
30Jna
750
11 Sep.08
432
01-Feb*
1.900
174,003
5.500
16.8%
NA
21.5%
FU
FU
20.1%
20.1%
60%
20%
KO%
15%
160%
51%
70%
5.0
BA
2.0
8.4
292
218
6.5
66.7
150.8
375.0
347.1
6.1
3036
119
119
Uls1-1181131g1X
5.000
58%
2300
1.2
We
Ne
Ne
Na
Na
382
We
5.2
36.6
We
132
13.2
4.0
10.4
We
We
We
Col
20
23
22
32
8.9
7.7
13
4.7
9.7
COS
7.1
7.1
13
6.6
29
4.5
75
4.0
1.2
17
17
Col
3.7
29
Ne
lit
sul
lit
15.8
11.0
Wit
1.7
192
37es
n
vel
209
67%
140
95
62%
586
1.460
47%
802
ng
ng
Ma
ng
ng
Ma
71.0
1.780
37%
WA
1.133
2/95
330
197
67
IMO
454
29
298
4E%
141
62%
2.350
47%
1.485
33%
74
40%
6.1
Na
5,4
49.5
2.8
nh
16.0
$7
rwe
5.7
6x multiple on 150MT of reserves = $900mm
26
07
3.7
3.8
313
1.4
206
106
37
as
2.9
EFTA00730666
GLENCOKE
Management and Advisors
Management
James Kennedy
President
- Designed and constructed the iron ore beneficiation
facility at Pea Ridge
- Former portfolio manager for Kennedy Capital
Management with AUM of $100M
- 13 years as a securities research analyst and
marketing representative funding over $300M in early
1990s.
Laurence M. Nuelle
Chief Geologist
- Transitioning to become the company's full time
geologist
- Completed extensive work at Pea Ridge under the
USGS, specifically relating to the rare earth deposit
- Will coordinate the laboratory and processing for the
production of rare earth concentrates from the Apatite
and the heavy rare earths from the breccia pipes
Martin Schaper
Interim CFO
jay Norwood
Interim COO
Advisors During Feasibility Study
Terry Gooding
Former Senior Mining Manager for Pea Ridge
Larry Tucker
Former Chief Underground Mine Manager and
Acting Geologist for Pea Ridge
David James
Former Senior Mine Engineer for Pea Ridge
Tom Gallagher
Former Senior Personnel and Safety Officer for
Pea Ridge
27
EFTA00730667
GLENCOR
Pig Iron Data
MPI STRUCTURE: BRAZIL
at
KULA ctzLIL
a
MUNI
LIMrn
a
MEMO
C'S =SO
ibrak ea
4And••••INel
&VAS ICA
rfl.
S'
WIM
IMMS
L'Z..111=.1.rn
Total Braiilian nameplate capacity is now about 15 million
tonnes per year with 80.90 companies and 163 charcoal-fired
blast furnaces.
20
16
H.
14
11
10
14 —
11.1
CROSS BORDER PA E RCHANT PIG IRON TRADE million tonnes
- I iporn
D ,
IIA--
•••••••-
17 4ul
12.412.4 WILI 4
I I
I I
III
11.71—
L4
II
200)
2001
/0112
1004
10%4
20,5
7006
1001
T 14
207.9
3/1
16
MPI EXPORTS - mt
2.1
G0
62
• ern•e.
• heu
• ;Anew
Ina
I-1
60
12
to
10)1
100)
Total MPI trade
International trade = 17-18 mtpy
Domestic trade
[Russia, Brazil, India, Japan, South
Africa, EU, etc.] = ± 9 mtpy
China domestic trade = 30 mtpy ???
+Total excl. China = ± 27 mtpy
Total incl. China = ± 57 mtpy ???
28
EFTA00730668
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