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Regan Ails - Base Scenario
2015 Income Statement & Cash Flow
Key Assumptions
Revenue - Income Statement
Revenue derived is based on the lay down quantities as proposed by RA Sales team (done in conjunction with S&S)
• Laydown quantities are the quantities that the sales team are committing to sell
- The selling list price is reduced by the average discount rate of 53%. (This is the industry standard discount rate)
- The model assumes laydown occurs during the month of publication of the book
• Returns then occur 3 months after laydown. Return rates vary based on category of book:
- Fiction 50%
- Other 40%
- Illustration 30%
• The model spreads the returns over 3 months: 60% in Month 1, 20% in month 2 and 20% in Month 3
Exoenses - Income Statement
Most expenses are based on the expenses per the Individual Title Budgets which are prepared by Production Director
- PPB (Paper Print & Binding) unit cost comes from the individual title budgets.
- Plant Expense (Costs to Develop the book) unit cost again comes from the individual title budgets.
• PPB and Plant expenses units are based on the laydown units less the returned units and match the month of revenue and returns.
Royalties are based on the % contractually agreed on each title - Royalty %and expense increases based on the number of books sold.
Note in the P&L for simplicity we booked royalty expense in total during the laydown ( Publication month) (Units are laydown quantities less returns).
- Selling and Distribution (paid to our distributor) is 13% of Revenue. The contract stipulates a flat 10% but also includes additional charges,
such as special packaging, etc. and this model assumes an additional 3%.
Marketing & Promotion (M&P) spend comes from the individual title budgets. As a guide $1.00 per hardcover copy $0.50 to $0.75 per paperback.
Freight spend comes from the individual title budgets.
- M&P and Freight expense is booked in total during the publication month.
Cash Flow - Inflows
- Cash is received 60 days after invoicing/publication. (e.g. February revenue is paid In April)
- Note during months where no books are published, returns of earlier publications could result in negative revenue.
- Cashflow model shows the total revenue and selling & distribution on a separate line (note actual cash received is the net of these 2 lines).
Cash Flow - Outflows
- Royalty Advances (14) are the commitments we have made in 2014. These are the installments that we have to pay per title in 2015.
- Royalty Advances (15) is a placeholder for advances on titles that will be produced in 2016 and beyond. The model front loads (75%) in the first half of 2015.
- PPB payments occur In the month of invoicing/publication and are based on the total print run per the individual title budget, not the laydown quantities.
Plant expense payments occur in the month of invoicing/publication and are based on the individual title budget, not laydown quantities.
- Other expenses (salaries etc.) are based on the P&L and occur in the month the expense is occurred.
- The Cash flow Model also includes a capex placeholder of $240k.($200k in leasehold improvements for the proposed move and $40k in Computer equipment, printers etc.)
Prepared by J. Murphy 12/5/2114
EFTA_R1_01392933
EFTA02379468
Regan Arts
Income Statement 2015
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
May-15
Jun-15
Jul-15
Aug-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
FY 2015
Revenue•
0
510,916
1,972,382
779,069
396,750
19,968
-
352
2,359,713
990,249
r 1 i
_
6,265,576
Direct Costs
PPS
0
80,000
269,080
139,135
55,230
27,330
:
196,332
438,014
1,089,249
Plant Expense
0
21,456
89,906
68,646
42,251
43,071
26,142
''),AF.6
42,352
143,752
435,347
Royalty
0
86,240
305,942
80,432
50,027
56,608
28,342
17,192
255,116
111,215
0
15,833
1,006,946
Selling & Distribution
0
66,419
256,410
101,279
51,577
2,596
306,763
128,732
814,525
0
254,115
921,338
389,492
199,085
129,605
43,627
800,562
821,713
LA". C',.,4,
11; A/c.,
3,346,066
Gross Marin
0
256,801
1,051,044
389,577
197,665
10', 70: I
1,559,152
168,536
rl-i8 CCA,
7,
2,919,510
Other Expenses
M&P
0
50,000
285,000
58,000
73,000
62,500
27,500
5,000
246,000
153,000
0
0
960,000
Freight
0
11,791
64,464
12,926
16,412
16,085
6,266
2,433
59,087
50,764
0
3,537
243,765
Salaries- Existing Employees
142,265
142,265
142,265
142,265
142,265
142,265
142,265
142,265
142,265
142,265
142,265
142,265
1,707,180
Salaries- New Employees
50,875
50,875
50,875
50,875
50,875
50,875
50,875
50,875
50,875
50,875
50,875
50,875
610,500
Overhead
67,300
67,300
67,300
67,300
67,300
67,300
67,300
67.300
67,300
78,300
67,300
67,300
818,600
260,440
322,231
609,904
331,366
349,852
339,025
294,206
267,873
565,527
475,204
260,440
263,977
4,340,045
Net Profit
(260,440)
(65,430)
441,140
58,211
(152,1871 (448,661) (356,370) (448,634)
993,625
(306,668) (328,468)
(546,6531 11,420,535)
• Negative revenue occurs in months where no books are published and we have returns of earlier publications.
Prepared by J. Murphy 12/5/2014
EFTA_R1_0 1392934
EFTA02379469
Regan Arts
Cash Flow - 2015
Cash Inflow
Jan-1S
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-1.5
May-16
lun-1S
Jul-15
Aug-1S
Sep-15
on-is
Nov-1S
Dec-1S
FY 2015
Revenue
0
0
0
510,916 1,972,382
779,069
396,750
19,968
1&.': ,.s
.., se. i J. 2,359,713
990,249
6,772,158
Selling & Distribution
0
0
0
..6,41;1 i 756,4:0',
:LC: in
1? 'Int,
2,410
30,986
+i6 J6 ,,,
: 1;F, 772,
•27.., 3p,: ,
0
0
0
444,497
1,715,972
677,790
345,172
17,372
(16,128)
(207,367) 2,052,951
861,517
5,891,777
Cash Outflow
Royalties - Advances (14)•
141,000
91,250
295,000
205,000
1,250
0
0
33,750
368,750
230,000
10,000
65,000
1,441,000
Royalty Advances (15)
250,000
250,000
250,000
250,000
250,000
250,000
83,333
83,333
83,333
83,333
83,333
83,333
2,000,000
PPS
0
100,000
473,350
123,700
116,725
158,700
44,775
17,000
456,920
526,305
0
0
2,017,475
Plant Expense
0
26,820
133,546
65,080
73,307
92,903
46,644
14,500
108,424
185,000
0
0
746,264
Salaries & Fringe Benefits
193,140
193,140
193,140
193,140
193,140
193,140
193,140
193,140
193,140
193,140
193,140
193,140
2,317,680
Other Overhead
67,300
67,300
67,300
67,300
67,300
67,300
67,300
67,300
67,300
78,300
67,300
67,300
818,600
M&P
0
50,000
285,000
58,000
73,000
62,500
27,500
5,000
246,000
153,000
0
0
960,000
Freight
0
11,791
64,464
12,926
16,412
16,085
6,266
2,433
59,087
50,764
0
3,537
243,765
Capex (L11I & Computers)
70,000
70,000
70,000
10,000
0
0
10,000
0
0
10,000
0
0
240,000
721,440
860,301
1,831,800
985,146
791,174
840.628
478,958
416,456
1,582,954
1,509,842
353,773
412,310
10,784,784
Net Cash Flow
(721.440) (860,301) (1,831,800) (540,649)
924,798
(162,838) (133,786) (399,084) (1,599,082) (1,717,209) 1,699,177
449,207
(4.893.007)
• Commitments made in 2014 for titles published in 2015. This does not reflect payments made in 2014.
Prepared by J. Murphy 12/5/2010
EFTA_R1_01392935
EFTA02379470
Expense
Jan-IS
Feb-15
Mar-I5
Apr-15
May-15
Jun-15
Jul-15
Aug-15
Sep-IS
Oct-15
Nov-I5
Dec-I5
FY 2015
7k14
Yearly
Existent Employees
Salary
CEO
450000
37,500
37,500
37,500
37,500
37,500
37,500
37,500
37,500
37,500
37.500
37.500
37.500
450,000
Head of Production
140,000
11,667
11,667
11,667
11,667
11,667
11,667
11,667
11,667
11.667
11,667
11.667
11.667
140,000
Editorial Intern
32,000
2,667
2,667
2,667
2,667
2,667
2,667
2,667
2,667
2,667
2,667
2,667
2,667
32,000
Editonal Intern
32,000
2,667
2,667
2,667
2,667
2,667
2,667
2,667
2,667
2,667
2.667
2.667
2.667
32.000
Editor
50000
4,167
4,167
4,167
4,167
4,167
4,167
4,167
4,167
4,167
4,167
4,167
4,167
50,000
Senior Editor
100.000
8,333
8,333
8,333
8,333
8,333
8,333
8,333
8,333
8.333
8,333
8,333
8,333
100,000
Associate Editor
55,000
4,583
4,583
4,583
4,583
4,583
4.583
4,583
4,583
4,583
4.583
4.583
4.583
55,000
Managing Editor
50,000
4,167
4,167
4,167
4,167
4,167
4,167
4,167
4,167
4,167
4,167
4,167
4,167
50,000
Executive Editor and Associate Publisher
160000
13.333
13,333
13,333
13,333
13,333
13,333
13,333
13.333
13,333
13.333
13.333
13,333
160,000
Head of Marketing and Publicity
103000
8,333
8,333
8,333
8,333
8,333
8,333
8,333
8,333
8,333
8.333
8.333
8.333
100,000
Head of Sales
90000
7,500
7,500
7,500
7,500
7,50D
7,500
7,50D
7,500
7,500
7,500
7,500
7,500
90,000
Creative Director
250,000
20,833
20,833
20,833
20,833
20,833
20,833
20,833
20,833
20.833
20.833
20.833
20.833
250,000
Finance Manager (40% Allocation)
29)200
2,417
2,417
2,417
2,417
2,417
2,417
2,417
2,417
2,417
2,417
2,417
2,417
29,000
Total Salaries
128.167
128,167
128,167
128,167
128,167
128,167
128,167
128,167
128,167
128,167
128,167
128,167
1,538.000
Fringe & Benefits
11%
14,098
14,098
14,098
10,098
14,098
14,098
14,098
14,098
14,098
14,098
14,098
14,098
169,180
Total Salaries and Fringe Benefits-Existing Employees
142,265
142,265
142,265
142,265
142,265
142,265
142.265
142,265
142,265
142,265
142,265
142,265 1,707,180
New Hires
Director of Publicity
150,000
12,500
12,500
12,500
12,500
12,500
12,500
12,500
12,500
12,500
12,500
12,500
12,500
150,000
Junior Publicist
75,000
6,250
6,250
6,250
6,250
6,250
6,250
6,250
6.250
6.250
6,250
6,250
6,250
75.000
Executive Assistant
75.000
6,250
6.250
6,250
6,250
6.250
6.250
6.250
6,250
6,250
6,250
6,250
6,250
75,000
Editorial Assistant
40,000
3,333
3,333
3,333
3,333
3,333
3,333
3,333
3,333
3,333
3,333
3,333
3,333
40,000
Senior Editor
150.000
12,500
12,500
12,500
12,500
12,503
12.500
12.500
12,500
12,500
12.500
12.500
12.500
150,000
Interior Designer
60,000
5,003
5000
5,000
5,030
5,000
5,000
5,000
5,000
5,000
5,000
5.000
5,000
60,000
Total Salaries
45,833
45,833
45,833
45,833
45,833
45,833
45,833
45,833
45,633
45,833
45,1133
45,833
550,000
Fringe & Benefits
11%
5.042
5,042
5,042
5,042
5,042
5,042
5,042
5,042
5,042
5,042
5,042
5,042
60,500
Total Salaries and Fringe Benefits • New Hires
50,875
50,375
50,875
50,875
50,875
50,875
50,875
50275
50,675
50,375
50,175
50,875
610,500
Total Salaries and Fringe Benefits for Existing and New
193,140
193,140
193,140
193,140
193,140
193,140
193,140
193,140
193,140
193,140
193,140
193,140
2,317,680
Prepared by 1. Murphy 12/5/2014
EFTA_R1_01392936
EFTA02379471
Expense
fan-15
Feb-15
Mar-1S
Apr-1S
May-15
fun-1S
Jul-15
Aug-15
Sep-1S
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-IS
EV 2015
Rent •
327.600
27,300
27,300
27.300
27,300
27.300
27.300
27,300
27.300
27.300
27,300
27.300
27,300
327,600
0
Other Overheads
25,000
25,000
25,000
25,000
25,000
25,000
25,000
25,000
25,000
25,000
25,000
25,000
300,000
Insurance
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
11,000
0
0
11,000
legal Fees
10,000
10,000
10,000
10,000
10,000
10,000
10,000
10,030
10,000
10,000
10,000
10,000
120,000
Travel and Entertainment
5,000
5,000
5,000
5,000
5,000
5,000
5,000
5,000
5,000
5,000
5,000
5,000
60,000
Total Overhead
67,300
67,300
67,300
67,300
67,300
67,300
67,300
67,300
67,300
78,300
67,300
67,300
818,600
• 6,300 square feet at 552
Prepared by 1. Murphy 12/5/2014
EFTA_R1_01392937
EFTA02379472
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