HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014341.jpg
Extracted Text (OCR)
Chart 39: How do you view fundamentals for multifamily lending in 2017?
30% 27% 27% 27%
25%
20%
1 13%
10% 7%
5%
0%
Softening Softening Softening | Someconcern, but No concern
fundamentals fundamentals fundamentals only in certain
should leadto § shouldleadto = shouldlead to _—regions and at
slower financing worsening credit slower financing certain rental price
activity next year metrics activing and points
worsening credit
metrics
Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research
= Confident past most of taxi medallion issues: Management expressed confidence
that it has taken care of most of the issues on its Chicago taxi medallion loan book
and is seeing stabilization of its New York book with New York fleets near 100%
utilization. Management also expects the $20mn +/- in quarterly provisioning
outlook to absorb the impact from any incremental provisioning associated with the
medallion portfolio.
Chart 40: How much does SBNY’s taxi medallion exposure impact your decision to invest in
the stock?
45%
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
Not at all, the portfolio only —_A little bit, | think this portfolio | am staying away from the
accounts for 2% of total loans could continue to cause some name due to this exposure
EPS volatility
Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research
synovus Financial (SNV), C-2-7, Neutral
SNV hesitant to react too quickly to post-election excitement. Chairman and
CEO Kessel Stelling noted that despite the very positive reaction seen in bank
stocks from the results of the US elections, it was too soon to say the real impact
on growth outlook. That said, he believes that a more encouraging business climate
(i.e. increased infrastructure spending) as well as some regulatory relief (i.e. raising
the $50bn asset threshold) could be a benefit for SNV and the overall industry.
= SNV could see a benefit at both ends of a steepening yield curve. As of 3Q16,
50% of SNV’s total loan portfolio was fixed rate (includes variable rate loans with
floors), implying a benefit to spread income from a rise in both the short- and long-
end of the yield curve. With the futures market now pricing in a 94% probability the
Fed raises rates in Dec., CFO Kevin Blair believes the net interest margin could
expand by 6bp in from a 25bp rate hike (vs. +9bp last year). That said, the benefit is
Bankof America iar
Merrill Lynch 2016 Future of Financials Conference | 17 November 2016 27
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014341