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Lege Mason (LM), C-1-7, Buy
Presenting from LM was Joe Sullivan, Chairman & CEO, and Alan Magleby, Head of
IR. Joe was optimistic on the flow outlook for LM given the repositioning over the
past few years, mostly favorable investment performance, and a healthy
institutional pipeline, and does not expect a significant change in the DOL impact
because of the election or a lower corporate tax rate on their cash tax rate.
e When asked what would get you more interested in investing in LM stock, investors
overwhelmingly (82%) replied “strong organic growth, particularly in
equity/alternatives” while the absence of deal noise (12%) and higher
margins/operating leverage (6%) were less interesting for investors. Nobody said
that a stronger balance sheet or more affiliate deals would get them more excited
about LM’s stock.
Chart 58: What would get you more interested in investing in LM stock?
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Stronger organic The absence of deal Operating leverage and A stronger balance More affiliate deals
growth, notably in noise higher margins sheet
equity/alternatives
Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research
e« LM was relatively upbeat on the flow outlook, despite some ongoing headwinds for
the industry. Management sees the following drivers offsetting some of the
industry headwinds to position LM to flow better than the industry: strong
investment performance, notable progress with consultants over the last several
years, a healthy institutional pipeline ($8B of unfunded wins/$3B uncalled
committed capital), highest level of search activity in active equity in several years,
large cash balances in Europe (20-50% cash allocation across the continent},
increasing demand for real estate / infrastructure / alts (Clarion, RARE, and
EnTrustPermal), and a diverse / differentiated product/vehicle set.
« Management also mentioned that besides offering well performing products across
strategies, it also wants to be able to deliver to clients in different vehicles,
including ETFs. The firm has been launching some ETF products and also has an
interest in Precidian, which has its non-transparent ETF submission under the
review process.
¢ Regarding potential changes from the election, while very early, regarding the DOL
fiduciary rule, LM sees it getting delayed and watered down some as the most likely
outcome. However, they mentioned the fiduciary rule was just an accelerant for
trends that were already occurring (i.e. the shift to fee based accounts and away
from brokerages) and whether or not the rule goes through as expected or gets
Bankof America 2 2016 Future of Financials Conference | 17 November 2016 39
Merrill Lynch
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