HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_020934.jpg
Extracted Text (OCR)
Banks & Other Mortgage Originators Helped Fuel Housing Bubble as They
Originated Lower Quality Mortgages —
Alt-A & Subprime Origination Volumes Up 374% & 94% in 2006 vs. 2003
USA Residential Mortgage Origination by Product Type, 2001 — 2010
4,000 ~~~ ~~ ~~ nn 50% _
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c ; 40% 32
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5 1,000 -- me ---- - - - tg - - - GR - - - - - - ---- +
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2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
== Conventional =a: Jumbo
mas Subprime am Alt-A
mam Home Equity “as FHA/VA
=——Total Non-Conventional as % of Total
KP Source: Inside Mortgage Finance.
BSF owe poo com USA Inc. | Income Statement Drilldown 185
Real Estate Bubble: Investors Helped Fuel It, Too, as They Reached For Yield
Without Questioning AAA Ratings of A Subprime-Backed Investments
Investors picked up 25-35bps over U.S. Treasuries with comparable maturity, typically levered
10:1 and generated 2.5-3.5% yield, meaningful against an 8% annual yield target
Illustrative AAA-Rated Subprime RMBS Yield Spread* with 10x Leverage, 2/05 — 2/07
4.0%
3.6%
3.2%
2.8%
2.4%
Subprime RMBS Yield Spread vs. 7-Year Swap Rate
2.0% t T T T T T T T T T T T
2/05 4/05 6/05 8/05 10/05 12/05 2/06 4/06 6/06 8/06 10/06 12/06
Note: Illustrative AAA-rated subprime RMBS spread represented as Mezzanine CDO spread vs. 7-year swap rate.
KP Source: Betsy Graseck, Morgan Stanley Research.
(@ EB) www.kpcb.com USA Inc. | Income Statement Drilldown 186
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_020934