HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_022375.jpg
Extracted Text (OCR)
POLLING
Election results ee STATION
Along with the House GOP majority, Senate Republicans will unambiguously set the agenda in the new Congress. However,
with a closely divided Senate, Republicans will be well short of the 60 votes necessary under the Senate rules to bring
debate to aclose (cloture) and advance controversial legislation without votes from the other party. Narrow Republican
and Democratic majoritiesin the recent past have both found their legislative agendas stalled unless they were willing to
compromise to attract bipartisan support.
One area where 60 votes are not required is confirming appointmentsto the Administration and the Federal courts, with
the exception of the Supreme Court. There could be speculation about whether Senate Republicans would consider a rules
change to create a 51 vote threshold for Supreme Court nominees, also known as the “nuclear option.” But any serious
consideration on this front is far from certain.
Republican House losses in the election were minimized for a number of reasons, including the Republican turnout for
Donald Trump, the relatively static map created by the post-2010 redistricting process, and highly localized campaigns
run by Republican House Members in marginal districts where support for Trump was weaker. With a loss in the single
digits, the GOP majority goes from 246 members to somewhere in the 230s, giving Republicans a margin of 20 or so seats
versus the current 30.
EY 3 | Election 2016
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_022375