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line with the rest of the world on this issue. Similarly, the accelerated depreciation of
machinery & equipment would become irrelevant due to the move toward taxation
based on business cash flow and the immediate write-off of capital expenditures. Once
the depreciation from legacy investments has run off, then depreciation should become
irrelevant for tax purposes. We also highlight the deduction for US production activities
(section 199) due to it being specifically highlignted by the Blueprint proposal as no
longer being necessary under the new tax policies. Both the Blueprint and Trump have
noted that they would likely maintain the Research & Development related tax credits.
Table 16: Top 25 US corporate tax breaks (2016)
2016
Government tax expense Category/Industry ($mn)
Deferral of income from controlled foreign corporations International affairs 102,100
Accelerated depreciation of machinery & equipment Commerce 28,570
Deferred taxes for financial firms on certain income earned overseas International affairs 15,320
Deduction for US production activities Commerce 12,080
Credit for increasing research activities General science, space, and technology 9,580
Exclusion of interest on public purpose State & local bonds General purpose fiscal assistance 8,400
Credit for low-income housing investments Housing 8,200
Expensing of research & experimentation expenditures General science, space, and technology 6,350
Deferral of gains from like-kind exchanges Commerce 5,720
Inventory property sales source rules exception International affairs 4270
Graduated corporation income tax rate Commerce 3,300
Exemption of credit union income Financial institutions and insurance 2,310
Special ESOP rules Income security 910
Deductibility of charitable contributions, other than education & health Training, employment, and social services 1,720
Tax credit for orphan drug research Health {00
Exclusion & deferral of policyholder income earned on life insurance & annuity contracts Financial institutions and insurance AT0
New markets tax credit Community and regional development ,260
Energy production credit Energy ,050
Exclusion of interest on hospital construction bonds Health ,010
Energy investment credit Energy 890
Work opportunity tax credit Training, employment, and social services 830
Deductibility of charitable contributions (education) Education 820
Tax exemption of insurance income earned by tax-exempt organizations Financial institutions and insurance 690
Exclusion of interest on bonds for private nonprofit educational facilities Education 660
Special Blue Cross/Blue Shield tax benefits Health 630
Source: BofAML US Equity & Quant Strategy, US Department of Treasury
Immediate capex expensing should provide some initial cash tax benefits
The shift to the immediate expensing of capital expenditures should provide a
significant near-term reduction in cash taxes as companies benefit from the ongoing
reduction of taxable income from the depreciation of legacy assets combined with the
full expensing of new investments. As the depreciation of legacy assets rolls off, the tax
benefit would become more modest. Keep in mind that, for tax reporting, many
companies already take advantage of the accelerated depreciation schedules discussed
above. The ongoing benefit of capex expensing derives from the deferral in the timing
of tax payments.
Chart 16: S&P 500 capital expenditure to depreciation & amortization ratio
‘86 '87 '88 '89 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '99 '00 ‘01 '02 03 '04 05 '06 '07 '08 ‘09 '10 12 13 '14 15 16
a——CapexD&A —Avg.
Source: BofAML US Equity & Quant Strategy, S&P, Compustat
BankofAmerica <2”
16 Equity Strategy Focus Point | 29 January 2017 Merrill Lynch
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