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Extracted Text (OCR)
Chart 31: Among the 50 names highlighted by BofAML equity & credit strategists, the 15 below have liquid options. Notably, Shell equity shows best value vs
CDS (highest div yield - CDS). Enel risk reversals price lowest across names & vs history (large bubble size denotes low %-ile of risk reversal price vs 5y history)
e@ Automobiles & Parts @Oil&Gas HealthCare @RealEstate O@Telecommunications Utilities
-0.10%
Highest div yield vs CDS
Bubble size legend:
The bigger the bubble
RDSA NA the cheaper the risk
reversal versus history*
0.15%
0.20%
0.25%
0.30%
0.35%
0%
-~0.40%
-~0.45%
0.50%
Cheapest risk-
0.55% reversal
i 0
2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 40% 45% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0% 7.5% 8.0% 8.5%
Projected 1y div yield** - CDS
Current price of 3m -25d put / +25d call bullish risk reversal
Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. Data as of 2-Jun-17. *5-yr percentile of 3m 959%f-105%f bullish risk-reversals. **Projected dividend yield = implied 12m dividends/current stack price, where implied 12m
dividends are derived from mid-single stock dividend swap pricing. This screen is not a recommended list either individually or as a group of stocks. Investors should consider the fundamentals of the companies and their
own individual circumstances/abjectives before making any investment decisions
Chart 32: Korean-issued SX5E-linked structured products in May1/7 fell Chart 33: We estimate current vega outstanding from Korean-issued
to €0.9bn from €1.3bn in Apr17 SX5E-linked structured products sums up to €53mn vega and would
peak at €81mn vega should the SX5E fall to 2875 (all else equal)
EUR bn .
35 m Issuance of SX5E structured products in South Korea SX5E Vega (from Korean structured product issuance)
90 M
ax vega:
2.0 80
€81mn at ~2875
45 70
, — 60
=
1.0 0.9 w 50
> 40
0.5 > 30
20
0.0
tttTTTMONMONMNNNDODOWOWOORRRER 10
= 08 = 0 BOS SO 8 = 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 — 4500
Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. Monthly Korean structured product issuance data from
Jan-14 to May-17 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. Data as of 2-Jun-17.
SX5E Dec18 div futures are high relative to Dec17 and BofAML div forecasts
SX5E Dec18 dividend futures are trading at €122.4 (6.8% higher than Dec17 dividend
futures), which is unusually high relative to history. Indeed, Chart 34 highlights that the
second DED future (currently Dec18) is at its highest level in 8 years relative to the first
(currently Dec17). Moreover, Dec18 div futures are trading only 1.5% below BofAML
fundamental bottom-up forecasts of 124.2 for 2018, suggesting low upside potential if
BofAML forecasts materialise (Chart 35).
deg oct Bankof America
16 Global Equity Volatility Insights | 06 June 2017 Merrill Lynch
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