HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_024207.jpg
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Global Utility White Paper CONFIDENTIAL
Global Sector Positioning
Tech
Industrials
Insurance
Pharma
Discretionary
Materials
Energy
Banks
Staples .
Substantially
Telecoms underweight
Utilites
-40 -35 -30 -25 -20 “15 “10 5 +0 +5 +10 +15 +20 225 +30 +35
<= underweight // overweight =>
Source: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Fund Manager Survey, Feb 12, 2013
Net % Overweight Global Utilities
u ET TY COTM i
i vy | i}
I Red circle =
ao | ae crossing below
1o underweight
So + T T T T T T T T T r 7 8S
2003 2004 2006 200G 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 204% 2013
Met % Overweight Wtilities Pc rte mtially Underowne 4
— Sector Relative te VWorldacR WH SCALE)
Potentially OQverowned
Source: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Fund Manager Survey, Feb 12, 2013
The sector has been not only a substantial long-only underweight, but also a wholesale short for
many macro/generalist hedge funds. However, it is very interesting to note that an inflection point
appears to have occurred in the middle of 2012, with hedge funds increasing their net exposure to
the global utility sector after a long period of reducing net. The long/short ratio of utility stocks held
by hedge funds fell from 3.0x in Jan 08 to about 1.7x in Jan 12 (4 years), but has since risen by 60% to
2.7x, which is more than twice the increase for hedge funds’ overall net exposure during the same
period (source: Goldman Sachs).
Based on discussions with the Street, it appears that this short exposure has been expressed via ETFs,
regional utility indices or large bellwether index utility proxies. Individual name crowdedness has
continued to remain at a low level (e.g., utilities rarely show up Goldman Sachs Hedge Fund VIP list —
ticker GSTHHVIP). Today, utilities account for the lowest in gross assets held of the 10 global
sectors. (Source: Goldman Sachs Hedge Fund Trend Monitor analysis of 700 hedge funds with $1.3
trillion in gross assets.)
In addition, global QE programs have boosted demand for higher-beta stocks, which has contributed
to the recent relative underperformance of and lack of interest in utilities. However (see below), the
underperformance of US utilities has diminished with each successive QE round (QE1
6 Electron Capital Partners, LLC
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_024207
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| Indexed | 2026-02-04T16:53:28.874049 |