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ACKRELL
CAPITAL Cannabis Investment Report | December 2017
ever, that the DEA recognized and responded to the demand for expanded registration is a significant
development on its own, and one that we believe may signal an important redirection of DEA policy.
In October 2017, the FDA accepted GW Pharmaceuticals’ New Drug Application (NDA) for the
cannabis-derived drug Epidiolex. The steps required to file an NDA for any drug involve extensive
coordination and data sharing between the FDA and the applicant; submission of the Epidiolex NDA
is an important milestone toward FDA approval. Many observers expect that Epidiolex will be the first
cannabis-derived drug approved by the FDA.
Additionally, the FDA published industry guidance on botanical drug development in December
2016, several months after the DEA announced its new registration policy. The FDA guidance dis-
cusses challenges inherent to botanical drugs, including challenges related to ensuring therapeutic con-
sistency, and suggests certain steps to address those challenges. The FDA guidance updates and replaces
similar guidance last issued in June 2004, and we believe that the timing of this update may relate to
other cannabis-related developments at the FDA and the DEA.
Federal Legalization: Predicted Developments
We predict six developments on the path to federal legalization: (1) the FDA will begin approving indi-
vidual pharmaceutical-grade drugs derived from cannabis; (2) more states will adopt medical cannabis
laws; (3) more states will adopt recreational laws; (4) the FDA will adopt routine approval procedures
for drugs with extracts of low-THC/high-CBD cannabis varieties; (5) the FDA will adopt routine
approval procedures for drugs with extracts of high-THC cannabis varieties; and (6) cannabis parts
and derivatives will be removed from the CSA schedules (either incrementally, starting with CBD, or
all at once) and will be fully legal for medical and
Path to Federal Legalization
recreational purposes.
. The U.S. Food and Drug Administration will We do not predict that these developments
begin approving individual pharmaceutical-
necessarily will occur in the order presented. We
grade drugs derived from cannabis.
do expect some of them to develop in parallel, and
. More states will adopt medical cannabis
none of them depends fundamentally on any other.
laws.
The manner in which federal cannabis legalization
3. More states will adopt recreational laws. actually proceeds, and the timing of any related
. The FDA will adopt routine approval developments, are not known to us or anyone else.
procedures for drugs with extracts of Almost certainly, our predictions will prove inaccu-
bevel elnc eye cliecishe ilies rate in some respects. States may reverse their legal-
- The FDA will adopt routine approval ization efforts. The medical efficacy of cannabis
procedures for drugs with extracts of
may not be proved to be significant. Cannabis may
high-THC cannabis varieties.
never be legalized federally. However, we believe
. Cannabis parts and derivatives will be
removed from the CSA schedules and will
be fully legal for medical and recreational
purposes.
these developments will likely be among others
that lead to the federal legalization of cannabis. We
expand on each of these developments in the fol-
lowing discussion.
86 © 2017 Ackrell Capital, LLC | Member FINRA/SIPC
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