HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025990.jpg
Extracted Text (OCR)
Chart 23: European issuance of ESTX50-linked products rose to €9.9bn
Chart 24: Issuance of ESTX50-linked structured products in Korea was in
so far in 2016 (vs €7.2bn as of 4-Jul) line with the 2016 issuance trend
n Hi mKorea sEurope £52016 annualised , a i i Issuance of SX5E structured products in South Korea
Total ,
30 annualised 20 Rapid growth of SXSE Issuance slowed
expected: 20.5 " products in Korean down due to
95 structured market * China sell-off and
90 poe 1.9 i . new local
H : - . regulations
15 Pt "0 4
10 0.5 .
5 0.0
astratrwrwrwr Tyr OOH WO WM HO OO OO ©
0 ees eg ae 243442 44 435
2013 2014 2015 2016 SSESFZSSFSFZSLIEEF
Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. Data as of 4-Aug-16 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. Data as of 31-Jul-16
Current vega outstanding near at least 2.5y high as European Issuance picks up
We estimate the current vega outstanding in SX5E-linked products (issued in Europe
and Korea) sums up to €143Mnh, which is in its 97“ percentile since Jan-14 (when our
records begin). Moreover, this could rise to as much as €169Mn if the SX5E rallies to
3280 (assuming no net SX5E-linked issuance', Chart 25, 26 and Chart 27).
Chart 25: We estimate the current vega outstanding in SX5E-linked Chart 26: The ESTX50 vega outstanding due to structured products
structured products is EUR 83Mn (European issuance) and EUR60Mn issuance could rise to EUR168Mnh, assuming no new net issuance
(Korean issuance) ;
Max vega: ——=Vega (Aggregated issuance)
em Vega (Korean issuance) 480 EUR168mn at ~3220
120
Max vege: «=== Vega (European issuance)
EUR111mn at ~3400
spot level
160 4 spot level
100
= 120
S 80 w 100
=
a 60 im 80
= WwW
= 40 Bo
aD
> Max vega: > 40
> 20 EUR61mn at ~3000 20
0 spot level 0
-20
20 na et at SRESSSsSeessesee28838
SSS8SSBS8ESB8SBESBSBEBSBBSSBSBSSB AN ANN MO OO OS TTT TH
ON SF O DOAN FT O DON AT O WO OD
NN NN N OO OO OO MOM MO DS TF Tt FT OO
SX5E spot level
Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. Data as of 4-Aug-16
SX5E spot level
Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. Data as of 4-Aug-16
‘i.e. notional of newly issued structured products = notional of expiring structured
products
Bankof America <> eg boc
Merrill Lynch Global Equity Volatility Insights |09 August 2016 13
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