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So who would win if the general election were held today? Strangely, closer than you might think. The November 4" RCP* average of major polls shows a surprisingly tight race between various Republican candidates and Democratic frontrunner Hillary Clinton. *RCP = Real Clear Politics Aggregate Poll of major polls Source: Realclearpolitics.com Deutsche Bank Francis J. Kelly Global Public Affairs francis.j.kelly@db.com 11 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026805