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liberals to attempt an end run around the referendum. "The people
made a choice, and we have to respect it," he says.
The Brotherhood, meanwhile, is sitting pretty. It has offered to form a
broad coalition with liberals and leftists in the elections, and
promises that there will be no attempt to hijack the constitutional
reform process afterward. "The new constitution has to be written by
all Egyptians," says Essam Erian, a top Brotherhood leader. "No one
group should have a louder voice than the others." This makes the
Islamists look responsible and conciliatory, and is likely to play well
with voters. (See more on the Brotherhood's election strategy in posts
to come.)
In Iraq, it took the liberals years to catch up with the religious parties
in organizational and campaigning skills. In the last election, Allawi
finally cobbled together a coalition that won more seats than any
other group, only to be outmaneuvered by postelection horse trading.
If Egypt's liberals aren't careful, a similar fate awaits them.
Bobby Ghosh, TIME's Deputy International Editor, writes mainly
about conflict and terrorism. His previous assignments have included
stints in Iraq, London and Hong Kong. He has also traveled
extensively in the Middle East.
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