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The time is right for this pivot. Recent weeks have brought new
outreach to the Taliban. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton on Feb. 18
announced a “diplomatic surge” and subtly shifted what had been
preconditions for Afghan peace talks so that they were instead
“necessary outcomes.” And she hired Marc Grossman, a veteran
diplomat who strongly favors negotiation with the Taliban, as her
new Afghanistan representative. The quiet, low-key Grossman may
have better luck facilitating this process than did his high-voltage
predecessor, the late Richard Holbrooke.
There’s new momentum from Afghanistan and Pakistan as well.
Pakistani Prime Minister Yousaf Raza Gillani visited Kabul last
weekend to meet with President Hamid Karzai. They upgraded plans
for a “joint peace commission” that, crucially, will include Gen.
Ashfaq Kayani and Lt. Gen. Ahmed Shuja Pasha, the chiefs of
Pakistan’s army and intelligence agency, respectively, who
accompanied Gillani to Kabul. The message is that Pakistan wants to
help broker a peace deal, now.
Another push for the Af-Pak peace train is coming from Britain,
which also wants a prompt start for negotiations. The British are
working several possible contacts with the Taliban and are circulating
a plan that they are calling, in classic Anglo-speak, a “non-paper.”
The awkward question, of course, is whether the Taliban are ready to
play. Some intermediaries have been saying yes, but Grossman wants
more clarity about who’s on the other side. The U.S. wants a Taliban
representative who can make decisions, who is connected with
Mohammad Omar, the Taliban leader, and who will work toward a
settlement that would include America’s three “outcomes” of
renouncing al-Qaeda, halting violence and respecting the Afghan
constitution. Grossman hasn’t yet found such a negotiating partner,
but he’s looking — with British, Afghan and Pakistani help.
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