HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_021019.jpg
Extracted Text (OCR)
Focus on Revenues —
Drive Sustainable Economic Growth + Change Tax Policies
Focus on
Revenues
Invest in Technology / Infrastructure / Education
Increase / Improve Employment
Improve Competitiveness
Review Tax Rates
Reduce Subsidies / Tax Expenditures*/
Broaden Tax Base
Drive Sustainable
Economic
Growth
Consider
Changing Tax
Policies
Note: *Tax subsidies / expenditures are losses to the U.S. Treasury from granting certain deductions, exemptions, or credits (such
as those on mortgage interest payments and employer-sponsored health insurance payments) to specific categories of taxpayers.
USA Inc. | What Might a Turnaround Expert Consider? 355
(@ 4 www.kpcb.com
GDP Growth =
Biggest Driver of Federal Revenue Growth...& 85% Correlation
1940 — 2009 Historical Correlation Between USA Real GDP Y/Y 2010E — 2019E
: P= fi)
& Real Federal Receipts Y/Y = 85% If Real Real Federal
60% | © Real GDP Y/Y vs. Real Federal Receipts Y/Y 7 ie C oe
is ou row...
— -Linear Trendline (y=2.77x-0.0438, R42=0.73) 4
_ ee Y al 5% 7%
xe
o 7 4 5
= 40% Prod > 3 2
a - 7 m 2 0
wa
3 r) Pa . 1 -2
< a 0 4
S 20% - 7 1 7
ng a +, 7 -2 -9
8 eo’ . 3 11
weg Fac 4 13
e
5% .° ee oy ee 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
- € Current Consensus
a 7 GDP Forecasts
7 © Real GDP Y/Y (%)
7 ®
-20% —
Data source: White House Office of Management & Budget (1940 — 2009).
(@ EB) www.kpcb.com USA Inc. | What Might a Turnaround Expert Consider? 356
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_021019
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