HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023596.jpg
Extracted Text (OCR)
Chart 45: We estimate that structured product issuers are currently long Chart 46: Structured product issuers are currently long ~US$89mn of
USS$10mn of KOSPI2 vega HSCEI vega
90 :
KOSPI2 Autocall Vega Outstanding Profile 110 HSCEI Autocall Vega Outstanding Profile
g, 80 g, 100
® ® 90
2 70 2 80
i] i]
27° gE 50
© 540 8& 40
a3 mS 30
o = 30 B 20
2 = 10
g g |
£ HC) gfeano+sagmmanans susewasonssesicunnunnnyeineveumsnuwuneniesuseencess = 10
= uw -20
PRNNRKRAARAARARBH SD SB eoFrFrFSBBSBESESSLLARA BS
KOSPI2 Spot Level HSCEI Spot Level
Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research.
KOSPI2 3M ATM IV over SPX is at its 4-year high
Table5 lists Asian index pairs with the highest IV ratio vs their 4-year histories. For
instance, the ratio of KOSPI2 3M ATM IV over SPX is at its 4-year high.
Chart 47: The ratio of KOSPI2 3M ATM IV over SPX is at its 4-yr high Table 5: Index pairs* with the highest implied vol ratio vs their histories
(Daily data from 1-Oct-12 through 02-Jun-17) (data as of 02-Jun-17)
——KOSPI2 3MATMvol «=-—==SPX3MATM vol ——==Vol ratio Index A Index B AJB Implied Ratio 4-yr
25% 60 (Implied vol} (Implied Vol} Volratio —_ percentile
° 3M ATM KOSPI2 (12.8%) SPX (9.4%) 36 100%
50 6M ATM KOSPI2 (13.6%) NIFTY (11.8% 16 99%
20% 40 2M ATM KOSPI2 (14.8%) NIFTY (13.8% 07 99%
/ ,
s 30 3M 25d-Put KOSPI2 (13.6%) HSCEI (16.4%) 0.83 99%
> 209 6M 25d-Put KOSPI2 (14.7%) NIFTY (12.5% AT 99%
B 15% 08 2M 25d-Put — KOSPI2 (16.0%) NIFTY (14.4% ae 99%
a Kz
FS
~ 00 3M 25d-Call KOSPI2 (12.6%) SX5E (11.6%) 09 100%
10% 0.90 6M 25d-Call KOSPI2 (13.4%) NIFTY (10.8% 25 100%
: 2M 25d-Call = KOSPI2 (14.6%) NIFTY (12.0% 21 100%
0.80 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research
5% 0.70 * Index universe includes the ASX200, HSCEI, HSI, KOSPI2, NIFTY, NKY, TWSE, SPX and SX5E
Oo m7 Oo t+ +t TO OW MH OO OK Re * mid level implied vol
ew» A&A & wa FH ee He EE BH
oS os SOGoGST OO G&S OB S
> BY > BH > BY FEY 78
Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research
Bankof America
22 Global Equity Volatility Insights | 06 June 2017 Merrill Lynch
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023596
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